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FSD: Unfinished Business?

In this episode of FSD, we dive into the intensifying geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran and why the market may be drastically underestimating the timeline for a resolution. We explore the "Trump Vision" for oil, the shifting goalposts of negotiations, and why military movements toward Kharg Island suggest a strategic play for leverage rather than a simple weekend deal. Beyond geopolitics, we discuss the "pernicious" return of inflation, the unwinding of high-beta market themes, and why being "defensively positioned" is the key to outperforming in the current market cycle. From the SpaceX IPO to the risks of "Death by Cop," this episode provides a candid look at where value is emerging and which "cult stocks" to avoid

Episode 116 of the Lumida Wealth : Non-Consensus Invest Beyond the Ordinary podcast, hosted by Justin Guilder, titled "FSD: Unfinished Business?" was published on April 1, 2026 and runs 18 minutes.

April 1, 2026 ·18m · Lumida Wealth : Non-Consensus Invest Beyond the Ordinary

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In this episode of FSD, we dive into the intensifying geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran and why the market may be drastically underestimating the timeline for a resolution. We explore the "Trump Vision" for oil, the shifting goalposts of negotiations, and why military movements toward Kharg Island suggest a strategic play for leverage rather than a simple weekend deal. Beyond geopolitics, we discuss the "pernicious" return of inflation, the unwinding of high-beta market themes, and why being "defensively positioned" is the key to outperforming in the current market cycle. From the SpaceX IPO to the risks of "Death by Cop," this episode provides a candid look at where value is emerging and which "cult stocks" to avoid

00:00 - Spring Updates and Market Volatility 

00:56 - The Iran Negotiation Reality Check 

02:32 - Shifting Goalposts and the Trump Oil Vision 

03:39 - Inflation’s Return: From Airfare to Agriculture 

04:44 - Defensive Positioning and Finding US Value 

06:17 - Avoiding "Death by Cop" and Theme Exhaustion 

07:39 - Ferrari, Nike, and the Brand Name Trap 

08:25 - SpaceX, Tesla, and Tech Sector Shorts 

09:59 - Berkshire Hathaway and High-Quality Insurance 

11:32 - Breaking Free from Tribal Investing 

12:36 - Strategic Maneuvers: Kharg Island and Centcom

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