FX Moment: Euro-Dollar 2H Outlook Has Become Binary

Recent euro-dollar price action has validated structural euro-dollar bulls, with the case for diversification strategies beyond the dollar still holding as we look to 2H and 2027. Yet this view is increasingly at risk from an evolving cyclical narrative, with an outperforming US economy and the potential for a hawkish tilt from the Federal Reserve likely to revive cyclical euro-dollar bears into 2H. In this episode of FX Moment, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief G10 FX Strategist Audrey Childe-Freeman and Laura Cooper, managing director and head of macro credit at Nuveen, discuss euro-dollar views into 2H. They also explore compelling FX views beyond the greenback, with Cooper highlighting a potentially more supportive context for the Canadian dollar. The FX Moment podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series. Listen to this episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.