FX Moment: Fiscal Strain Leaves No Way Out of Sterling Bear Trap

The UK fiscal predicament will likely keep sterling under pressure heading into the Nov. 26 budget. The view is starting to look crowded, and recent moves appear stretched, but any upside is set to be contained until the fiscal path clears. For now, sterling bulls might have to settle for some consolidation ahead of the budget and/or renewed dollar weakness, which isn’t in sight yet. In this episode of FX Moment, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief G10 FX Strategist Audrey Childe-Freeman and Laura Cooper, managing director and head of macro credit at Nuveen, discuss UK fiscal- and monetary-policy dynamics and the shaky sterling backdrop. Laura and Audrey also touch on the recent dollar rebound and share their views into 2026. FX Moment is part of the FICC Focus podcast. Listen to FICC Focus on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.