Global Election Calendar

Episode 53 is all about elections.  Frank first covers the upcoming twin bill of elections on the other side of the Atlantic starring the French and English. The former coming as quite a surprise to the market, and the latter appearing to be a foregone conclusion, with the only item left to decide being the future of the UK Conservative Party which is expected to be obliterated at the polls on July 4.  In France, Frank questions President Macron's calculus for calling a surprise summer election.  Believing he could be holding together a centrist coalition while being threatened on both flanks, with the right-wing National Rally party occupying first place in polling, and a left-wing coalition also leading the incumbent government.  We then move on to discuss two recent important elections. First, Mexico and the success of out-going leader AMLO's hand-picked successor Claudia Sheinbaum, who bucked the global trend of incumbent government disruption in other elections.  Then we discuss President Modi's inability to garner a majority victory in India despite having tailwinds, including a powerful social media campaign.  Finally, Frank offers his opinion on the importance of the US Presidential debates, and Trump's never-ending Apprentice-like search for his November running mate. Chapter Headings: 03:08 - Bank of Canada Rate Decision06:18 - Frank's Hot Button Topics: Elections and Capital Gains09:21 - Macron's Gambit15:10 - Starmer's Steamroll in the UK18:02 - Future of the Conservative Party22:48 - AMLO's Protégé in Mexico28:16 - Reining in Modi in India33:13 - Importance of US Election Debates and Trump Running Mate This podcast was recorded on June 18, 2024. For relevant disclosures, visit: tdsecurities.com/ca/en/legal#PodcastDisclosure. To learn more about TD Securities, visit us at tdsecurities.com or follow us on LinkedIn @tdsecurities. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.