Global FX Volatility Outlook 2026

FX vol remains subdued into 2026 on resilient US growth and low central bank activity, but starting levels limit further downside. Policy events in 1Q26 could test this regime, making cheap forward vols over 1Q attractive as portfolio hedges. Beyond that, FXO trade recommendations focus on European growth, Antipodean revival, debasement, carry via options, EUR skew harvesting, selling x-corrs, and leveraging the macro backdrop for efficiency in x-asset directionals.   Speakers Arindam Sandilya, Global FX Strategy Ladislav Jankovic, Global FX Strategy Juan Duran-Vara, Global FX Strategy Sanjana Shinde, Global FX Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 28 November 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5125942-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.