Global Intelligence Briefing | 7 May: How likely is a return to full-scale conflict with Iran?

This week’s Global Intelligence Briefing covers Ecuador’s expanding curfews amid rising gang violence, Bolivia’s nationwide strike, and planned transport disruption in Belgium. We also assess the US troop withdrawal from Germany, Romania’s government collapse, escalation risks in Ukraine around Victory Day, unrest in Turkey, renewed tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, Israeli strikes in Beirut, rising anti-migrant violence in South Africa, the assassination of a prominent religious scholar in Pakistan, and disruption caused by activity at Mayon Volcano in the Philippines. Delivery supported by AI.