EPISODE · Oct 20, 2025 · 20 MIN
Gold Shines Through Data Blackouts
from Baird Fixed Income Insights: Convexity Pulse · host Kirill Krylov
This week on the Convexity Pulse, Kirill Krylov and Steven Scheerer widen the lens, tackling how the government shutdown’s data blackout is distorting market visibility and mortgage valuations. They explore the global “gold rush” as central banks swap Treasuries for bullion, the potential long-term impact of the Senate’s ROAD to Housing Act on affordability and Ginnie supply, and finish with a technical dive into the paradoxical behavior of Quicken low-loan-balance pools, the MBS trade investors love to hate but can’t ignore.
What this episode covers
This week on the Convexity Pulse, Kirill Krylov and Steven Scheerer widen the lens, tackling how the government shutdown’s data blackout is distorting market visibility and mortgage valuations. They explore the global “gold rush” as central banks swap Treasuries for bullion, the potential long-term impact of the Senate’s ROAD to Housing Act on affordability and Ginnie supply, and finish with a technical dive into the paradoxical behavior of Quicken low-loan-balance pools, the MBS trade investors love to hate but can’t ignore.
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Gold Shines Through Data Blackouts
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