EPISODE · Mar 13, 2026 · 1H 24M
Great Power Politics & International Stocks
from Lumida Wealth : Non-Consensus Invest Beyond the Ordinary · host Justin Guilder
03:21 Davos and Great Power Lens 05:10 China as Rising Hegemon 08:34 Neorealism Core Principles 16:24 Nationalism vs Trade Peace 28:11 Island Chain Strategy Explained 31:57 Containment and Economic Limits 44:34 Shift to Markets and Software 47:13 Scaling Into Positions 48:00 International Stock Setup 51:46 Retail Rotation Returns 52:42 Country ETFs Outperform 54:22 Banks As Country Bets 56:27 US Banks And Fintech 58:18 Fed Chair Speculation 01:01:52 New High Beta Themes 01:04:19 Trend Following Framework 01:07:20 Midterms And Prediction Markets 01:08:48 OpenAI Bubble Talk 01:12:56 Software Value Opportunity 01:17:13 Q&A On Apple And Uber 01:23:44 Final Wrap And Signoff Connect with Us Online:Lumida NewsLumida DealsLumida WealthLumida ETF Watch the video on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@Lumida_Wealth🌐 Website: https://www.lumidawealth.com🐦 Twitter Follow us on https://twitter.com/LumidaWealth🎵 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@lumidawealth📸 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lumidawealth📘 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lumidawealth
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What this episode covers
Ram Ahluwalia hosts a live Non-Consensus Investing episode covering Davos, his travel plans (Miami and Dubai), and a long discussion of “great power politics” framework: countries operate in international anarchy, seek survival, can’t know others’ intentions, and therefore try to build power, making a rising China an “aspiring hegemon” and increasing the risk of U.S.-China conflict despite trade ties; he highlights nationalism, reputation, China’s push to control the “first island chain,” and why the U.S. will try to prevent other regional hegemons. He then shifts to markets, arguing software stocks may have bottomed (using HubSpot as an example) and suggesting investors scale in. He shares international opportunities (América Móvil, Greece/Alpha Bank, other country and bank examples), notes rotations in U.S. retail/value, discusses fintech and defense tech, comments on Fed chair possibilities favoring Rick Rieder, and outlines a rotation from older high-beta names (Robinhood/Palantir/Bitcoin) toward biotech, space, drones, and rare earth themes.
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Great Power Politics & International Stocks
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