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Highlights: #200 – Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks episode artwork

EPISODE · Sep 18, 2024 · 22 MIN

Highlights: #200 – Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks

from 80k After Hours · host The 80,000 Hours team

This is a selection of highlights from episode #200 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risksAnd if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected]:Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)Why we need forecasts about existential risks (00:00:26)Headline estimates of existential and catastrophic risks (00:02:43)What explains disagreements about AI risks? (00:06:18)Learning more doesn't resolve disagreements about AI risks (00:08:59)A lot of disagreement about AI risks is about when AI will pose risks (00:11:31)Cruxes about AI risks (00:15:17)Is forecasting actually useful in the real world? (00:18:24)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong

Episode metadata supplied by the publisher feed · Published Sep 18, 2024

What this episode covers

This is a selection of highlights from episode #200 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risksAnd if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected]:Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)Why we need forecasts about existential risks (00:00:26)Headline estimates of existential and catastrophic risks (00:02:43)What explains disagreements about AI risks? (00:06:18)Learning more doesn't resolve disagreements about AI risks (00:08:59)A lot of disagreement about AI risks is about when AI will pose risks (00:11:31)Cruxes about AI risks (00:15:17)Is forecasting actually useful in the real world? (00:18:24)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong

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Highlights: #200 – Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks

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This episode is 22 minutes long.

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This episode was published on September 18, 2024.

What is this episode about?

This is a selection of highlights from episode #200 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full...

Is there a transcript available for this episode?

Yes, a full transcript is available for this episode. You can read the complete transcript on the episode page.

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