HOW LONG UNTIL CATASTROPHIC DISCLOSURE? WITH DR. MATTHEW SZYDAGIS

Claims of retrieving crashed craft and vehicles from non-human intelligence (NHI) abound in popular culture and the media. For his paper, Dr. Szydagis utilizes the number of such claims to estimate the years expected before a Catastrophic Disclosure occurs. This term was defined at the 2023 Sol Foundation's inaugural conference as the accidental disclosure of conclusive evidence of the existence of NHI, outside of the control of human institutions, such as governments and militaries.  Here, we will consider one possible example: the crash of a piloted spacecraft (or an ET probe) in the middle of a busy metropolis. The distribution of humans on Earth's surface, the population as a function of time, and the fraction of individuals owning smartphones, versus time, are all taken into consideration as foundations for a rigorous statistical analysis. You can read Dr. Matthew Szydagis's Paper here: ⁠https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.12738⁠ Matthew Szydagis is the Associate Professor of Physics University of Albany Experimental Astro particle physics, specializing in particular direct detection of dark matter WIMPs (Weakly Interacting Massive Particles), and general detector development for rare event searches.