How One Buyer Used Catastrophe Modeling to Reshore a Critical Supplier

When a once-in-a-century flood wiped out a key supplier in Thailand, one automotive buyer didn't just find a replacement—he used catastrophe modeling to prove that reshoring a second source to Mexico would actually lower total cost of ownership. This episode walks through how the buyer combined climate risk data, freight simulation, and political risk scoring to convince his CFO to approve a move that cost $2.3 million upfront but saved $4.1 million in avoided disruptions over three years. Lucas and Luna break down the specific models used, how the buyer presented the data, and what procurement teams can learn about treating supply chain risk as a quantifiable variable rather than a gut feeling. #CatastropheModeling #Reshoring #SupplyChainRisk #Procurement #Sourcing #B2B #Automotive #ThailandFloods #TotalCostOfOwnership #ClimateRisk #SupplierDiversification #Nearshoring #BusinessContinuity #RiskQuantification #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #TheBuyersSide #CaseStudy Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo