How to Forecast an Election

from Hold That Thought · host Washington University in St. Louis

It's about six weeks until the 2016 US presidential election, and everyone wants to know: Who will win? Hillary Clinton? Or Donald Trump? To attempt to answer this question, political scientists like Jacob Montgomery build complex forecasting models. Montgomery shares his own unique approach to forecasting, and describes both the limitations and the value of these efforts to predict the future.

Episode metadata supplied by the publisher feed · Published Sep 29, 2016

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How to Forecast an Election

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