How to spot a bubble

Is the market in a bubble? With US exchanges seeing record highs, AI hype still soaring, and a recent US Federal Reserve rate cut, it’s a question some investors are asking. In this episode, we get Scott Phillips’ views on identifying an expensive share price vs a worthy buy—based on his experience as The Motley Fool’s Chief Investment Officer, Advisor, and Portfolio Manager. Scott explains why a record high isn't always a red flag, and his strategy for distinguishing between a bubble and justifiable optimism. We discuss the current state of the market against first hand lessons from the dot-com bubble and the COVID crash. Scott shares the perils of trying to catch the bottom—and how even the best business in the world may be overpriced. Plus, Scott’s take on assessing investments, weighing up reasonable probabilities against downside and upside risks. For more or to watch on YouTube—check out http://linktr.ee/sharedlunch Shared Lunch is brought to you by Sharesies Australia Limited (ABN 94 648 811 830; AFSL 529893) in Australia and Sharesies Limited (NZ) in New Zealand. It is not financial advice. Information provided is general only and current at the time it’s provided, and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. We do not provide recommendations and you should always read the disclosure documents available from the product issuer before making a financial decision. Our disclosure documents and terms and conditions—including a Target Market Determination and IDPS Guide for Sharesies Australian customers—can be found on our relevant Australian or NZ website. Investing involves risk. You might lose the money you start with. If you require financial advice, you should consider speaking with a qualified financial advisor. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Appearance on Shared Lunch is not an endorsement by Sharesies of the views of the presenters, guests, or the entities they represent. Their views are their own. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.