EPISODE · Nov 4, 2025 · 10 MIN
ICE Raids, Cuomo Endorsement, and Chaos_ How Trump Lost the Middle—and the Margin
from The Rock of Talk · host Eddy Aragon
President Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 37%, marking the lowest point of his second term and approaching his all-time low of 34% from January of his final year in office. The latest SSRS survey shows a steady decline in approval from February through October, a troubling trend on the eve of major elections. The demographic breakdown highlights widespread erosion of support. Approval has dropped 12 points among voters aged 18–34, 14 points among those aged 35–49 and 65+, while the 50–64 group remains unchanged. Among voters of color and lower-income Americans (earning under $50,000), approval has slipped significantly. Even within his political base, support has softened — Republicans show slight erosion, Democrats significant disapproval, and independents steady decline. Particularly concerning for Trump is his collapse among Hispanic voters, whose approval has dropped to 25%, with 71% disapproving — a reversal of the gains made in 2024. Analysts attribute this plunge to the administration’s handling of ICE raids and deportation policies, which have generated damaging optics and alienated moderate and working-class Hispanic voters. Trump’s recent 60 Minutes interview compounded these troubles. His comments endorsing Democrat Andrew Cuomo over socialist candidate Zohran Mamdani in the New York race confused voters and angered his own party. Meanwhile, vague remarks on potential nuclear testing and political retribution — including calls for DOJ indictments of rivals — reinforced perceptions of a distracted, vindictive administration amid a prolonged government shutdown. Political strategists warn that focusing on retribution and enforcement, rather than governance and recovery, risks deepening public disapproval. With Congress inactive for seven weeks and SNAP benefits crises dominating headlines, Trump’s perceived mismanagement could deliver Democrats a decisive advantage. The Speaker concludes the GOP must urgently “win hearts and minds” to rebuild the middle — or risk losing the margin altogether.
What this episode covers
President Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 37%, marking the lowest point of his second term and approaching his all-time low of 34% from January of his final year in office. The latest SSRS survey shows a steady decline in approval from February through October, a troubling trend on the eve of major elections. The demographic breakdown highlights widespread erosion of support. Approval has dropped 12 points among voters aged 18–34, 14 points among those aged 35–49 and 65+, while the 50–64 group remains unchanged. Among voters of color and lower-income Americans (earning under $50,000), approval has slipped significantly. Even within his political base, support has softened — Republicans show slight erosion, Democrats significant disapproval, and independents steady decline. Particularly concerning for Trump is his collapse among Hispanic voters, whose approval has dropped to 25%, with 71% disapproving — a reversal of the gains made in 2024. Analysts attribute this plunge to the administration’s handling of ICE raids and deportation policies, which have generated damaging optics and alienated moderate and working-class Hispanic voters. Trump’s recent 60 Minutes interview compounded these troubles. His comments endorsing Democrat Andrew Cuomo over socialist candidate Zohran Mamdani in the New York race confused voters and angered his own party. Meanwhile, vague remarks on potential nuclear testing and political retribution — including calls for DOJ indictments of rivals — reinforced perceptions of a distracted, vindictive administration amid a prolonged government shutdown. Political strategists warn that focusing on retribution and enforcement, rather than governance and recovery, risks deepening public disapproval. With Congress inactive for seven weeks and SNAP benefits crises dominating headlines, Trump’s perceived mismanagement could deliver Democrats a decisive advantage. The Speaker concludes the GOP must urgently “win hearts and minds” to rebuild the middle — or risk losing the margin altogether.
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ICE Raids, Cuomo Endorsement, and Chaos_ How Trump Lost the Middle—and the Margin
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