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Inflation ahead?

In this episode, we dive deep into the mounting evidence of a transition toward an inflationary regime and what it means for your portfolio. We analyze the "perfect storm" of rising costs—from 4.3% bond yields and surging commodity prices to a potential $250 price hike for iPhones due to memory demand.We also break down the geopolitical friction in the Middle East, discussing why the lack of focus on the Strait of Hormuz poses a direct threat to US consumer spending. Shifting to tech, we explore the "Nvidia Monopoly"—how 75% profit margins are draining free cash flow from the "Magnificent Seven" and driving mass layoffs across the sector. Finally, we discuss why utility stocks may be a "bond proxy" trap and why the US still holds a decade-long lead over China in the AI arms race.

Episode 105 of the Lumida Wealth : Non-Consensus Invest Beyond the Ordinary podcast, hosted by Justin Guilder, titled "Inflation ahead?" was published on March 17, 2026 and runs 21 minutes.

March 17, 2026 ·21m · Lumida Wealth : Non-Consensus Invest Beyond the Ordinary

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In this episode, we dive deep into the mounting evidence of a transition toward an inflationary regime and what it means for your portfolio. We analyze the "perfect storm" of rising costs—from 4.3% bond yields and surging commodity prices to a potential $250 price hike for iPhones due to memory demand.We also break down the geopolitical friction in the Middle East, discussing why the lack of focus on the Strait of Hormuz poses a direct threat to US consumer spending. Shifting to tech, we explore the "Nvidia Monopoly"—how 75% profit margins are draining free cash flow from the "Magnificent Seven" and driving mass layoffs across the sector. Finally, we discuss why utility stocks may be a "bond proxy" trap and why the US still holds a decade-long lead over China in the AI arms race.

00:00 Transitioning to an Inflationary Regime

01:05 Rising Costs: From iPhones to Lumber

01:43 Impact of the Iran Conflict on Oil & Gas

02:44 The US-UK Relationship and NATO Risks

06:26 Strategy Layers in the Middle East Conflict

08:52 Market Volatility and Options Expiration

09:38 Nvidia’s Trillion-Dollar Revenue Clarification

10:52 The Cost of Nvidia’s 75% Profit Margins

13:00 The US Edge: ASML and the China Rivalry

14:31 AI Energy Demand and Utility Stock Risks

16:51 The Uranium Problem & Conflict Exit Strategy

19:00 Observations on Capitalism and Entrepreneurship

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