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That's Hard Hide Strawberry Whiskey.com. All right, everybody, welcome to another edition of the St. Happy Hour podcast. It's post-game analysis time.
The St. Andrew and Kevin are back in first place. Six and seven. Andrew, this game, it was so disgusting, so horrible.
It was the most uninspiring 28-6 Saints game I've ever seen in my life where they won. It reignited my love for favorite Saints. I loved every minute of this game. Andrew, if I told you this morning that Carolina was going to run for 207 yards and Derek Carr, midway through the fourth quarter, would have 40-yard passing, would you have believed A, the Saints were winning, A, the Saints were winning, or B, Dennis Allen got fired during the game?
Yeah, that was wild. But, you know, look, what is it? When you block a punt, you win 80% of the time, Andrew? That's right.
When you block a punt, you win 80% of the time. When you block a punt, it's even higher. You know, I think what that wouldn't have contemplated, you know, the stats that you just spit out, it would not have contemplated Bryce Young going 13 of 36 and being incapable of hitting the broad side of the barn. He's so bad.
He's so, so bad. Like, you know, a lot of times the receivers were very well covered. And I thought Isaac Yaitam, Alante Taylor, Paulson Adeebo, I thought all three of them had great games. You know, Adam Thielen, I mean, he made a couple plays, but I just felt like Mingo, DJ Chark, like, it's just, those guys, like, they need playmakers on that team, bad.
Like, they just don't, they don't have guys, but some of the misses by Bryce Young, in particular some misses where he would throw it out of bounds, where, like, the receiver had no shot. It was shocking. Kevin, this game, I know it's going to anger people, and I know it's going to make them mad, but, like, I'm not saying DA should stay, because DA's terrible. Like, let's just call it like it is.
But the Saints are 6-7, and they're tied for first. And it's like Tommy DeVito next week. Like, I think DA's chances of survival, like, went up exponentially today. Like, as soon as Tampa scored that touchdown to go ahead of Atlanta.
Like, I would say DA's odds of staying, they probably dropped from, like, 40% chance of staying, like, it's 50-50 now. And, like, I don't know how we take that, but this game, I loved it so much. It was so horrible. If it was, okay, let's assume that premise.
If it was 40%, if it was 40% prior to the game, I think winning this game and the Falcons losing probably knocked him, probably bounced him up to probably 50.1. But, again, this is all in flux. I mean, honestly, honestly, the season could end with the Saints and the Falcons at 8-8, and Dennis Allen could be, you know, we can always say, oh, Dennis Allen is, like, 68%, 70%, you know, like, all this hypothetical... Made up number stuff, like, oh, he's got this high percentage of returning Saints win, and then they blow against the Falcons, and then immediately we knock it all the way down to zero and say, no, he's got to get fired, and he would get fired.
Andrew, you know, I mean, I got to be honest, though, guys. I think it's good that the team won. Yeah, it's good. Look, we needed a win.
I think we all needed to see this. Now, I stand by what I said. If you're going to win this win, you better win next week, too. So, I have no excuses.
Like, you're playing the Giants, Tommy DeVito, like, they got to be 7-7 with a shot at making a run here at the end. But I'll borrow a line from Jason Champagne, I think it was, who texted me. He said, yeah, this is a hollow win. I think we all felt that way.
And yes, the Saints kind of pulled away in the fourth quarter. You know, it was nice to see A.T. Perry. They hit him on the deep ball.
It was nice to see Jimmy Graham make a couple plays, and Derek Carr kind of get out of his ass a little bit because, my God, the first three quarters were... They were unwatchable, Ralph. And, like, for the first time this season, like, I don't think Jameis Winston would have been worse. He wouldn't have.
Like, for the first time this season, like, I don't know that I've been, like, play Jameis. He's better. Like, I haven't been blind to the fact that Jameis, I think, sucks, too. But, like, today, when I watched this game today, I was like, there's no way Jameis Winston would be playing this bad.
Guys, Ralph Malbro here. You know I take my flavored whiskey very seriously and would never steer you wrong. I want to tell you about Hard High Ponchatoula Strawberry Whiskey. Hard High Ponchatoula Strawberry Whiskey is a strawberry flavored whiskey blended with aged wheat whiskey, American light whiskey, fresh strawberries from Ponchatoula, Louisiana.
It's 86 proof. Blended and bottled in New Orleans, Louisiana at the Porch Jam Distillery. Hard High Strawberry Whiskey is not for the thin skin. Hard High Ponchatoula Strawberry Whiskey is supporting Saints Happy Hour all football season.
So support the people who support the show. Grab a bottle of Hard High Ponchatoula Strawberry Whiskey today. You can pick up a bottle wherever fine spirits are sold in Louisiana, Mississippi, Texas, Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and Tennessee. To learn more and to find a location to get a bottle near you, go to HardHideStrawberryWhiskey.com.
That's HardHideStrawberryWhiskey.com. Jameis, Archie, Billy Joe, I get that button. He had four years. He had four years.
I felt like for a moment, it was completely combusting, but at the same time, I was like, it's 14-6. Caroline's never scored. It felt like it was teetering. The Saints were really close to me letting go of the rope, but they let them start to finish.
This game, it was immaculate. I'm looking at the ESPN, what do you call that? Like the percentage thing that tells you. Yeah, like the victory predictor or whatever.
And at no point did the Saints, you know, obviously at no point did the Saints trail, but at no point did the Panthers have beyond a 50% chance of winning. I mean, you know, aside from the start of the game, like shoot, a minute into the game, the Saints had 77% chance of winning, and at no point did it get, let me see if I can figure out where that number dipped to the lowest for them. The lowest win probability for the Saints on the day was midway through the first quarter, and the Saints had a 69.1% chance of winning. That was it.
And they were playing like dog-ass in the first half. But I would say before that Pinheiro missed field goal, which would have made it 14-9. Yeah. I wasn't remotely confident because I didn't feel like the Saints were going to get another first down in that game.
I was like, when it was 14-3, I was like, I don't think they're scoring again. I don't think they're scoring again. But here's the thing. You know, listen, you mentioned it before.
We're going to be like, lose these two or win these two. Like, don't split them. Here's the thing that's absolutely crazy to me. They won 28-6 today, but I'm telling you, they better play a lot better, or Tommy DeVito is going to beat them.
And here's the thing. This win is hollow. Like, make no mistake. Carolina has quit as a team.
They're absolutely awful. They're soft in coverage. They don't commit to tackling really too much. I mean, it's just a team that's like, they jump off sides on fourth and one when everyone in the building goes, they're not snapping the football.
Like, that was Shat Taddle, by the way. Shout out to him. But I just feel like any other team today would have beaten the Saints. Carolina, I mean, any other quarterback, Andy Dalton starting for Carolina might be the Saints today.
Yeah. And so, like, I just think when I watched this game, I was under no illusions of, man, Carr is garbage. And here's the thing. I don't think health-wise, like, he should have been playing.
You know, it's not even like, I don't even want to make a statement about him being good or bad or whatever. Like, I know he's been dealing with the shoulder thing all season. And, you know, I think he would have been better this year without that injury. So, like, you know, once your quarterback is injured and it's a throwing arm, like, you got to contend with, is the guy behind him better or not?
And, you know, we argue about that as fans. And, you know, a lot of people feel strongly one way or another about whether it should be Jameis or not. But one thing I know for sure is when I watch this guy who's fresh off his second concussion in a few weeks, now has his third rib injury of the season. Like, I mean, Ralph, end of the third quarter, the longest play that the Saints had was a 12-yard run by Jamal Williams.
The longest pass they had was eight yards. So they weren't going down the field. They weren't making plays. And, you know, obviously, Taysom Hill, not having Taysom Hill was big.
Not having, I mean, this offense is bad enough with Taysom Hill, who I think is their best offensive player. And you can make the case for Kamara, but not having Taysom was big because this offense went from bad to anemic. But, man, hitting that play to A.T. Perry was huge.
And, I mean, A.T. Perry made a great catch because that throw wasn't perfect. And, you know, again, like, just going back to the staff, like, Jimmy Graham comes in. Immediately, he plays two.
He's in the game twice. Makes a huge third down catch. Makes a touchdown catch. And it's like, why hasn't he been playing more?
I just don't understand it. Like, everything this coaching staff does makes no sense. No sense. And Derek Carr playing today made no sense.
No sense. He, like, he just looks gun-shy and his shoulder's hurt. He's thrown to the check. Like, he looks shook.
He doesn't want to push the ball down the field, you know? It's weird. Like, his whole thing is just way off. But, guys, this is the end of our Instant Analysis podcast.
Thanks for joining us. We're going to do an extended version for patrons only. So if you want to get an extended version, go over to StingStyper.com, sign up, become a patron, and you get the extended version. Thanks for joining us.
Thanks for supporting the show. And join us Tuesday when we recap the same speech with and the live show, which was amazing. We'll see you then.