Iran War: India’s Macros Under Strain

As the Iran war enters its fourth week, global markets are scrambling to price in shocks. The impact is rapidly deepening for India. Goldman Sachs has already revised its outlook twice, flagging rising oil prices, a widening current account deficit, and slowing growth. Host Anirban Chowdhury talks to Santanu Sengupta, managing director and chief India economist and warns that Brent could average $85, with spikes worsening inflation and forcing RBI rate hikes. India’s reliance on Middle Eastern crude places it at the epicentre of risk, raising a critical question: how much pain can be absorbed before it reaches consumers?

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