Is a Trump RECESSION Coming? Here's What the Data Says for U.S. Economy episode artwork

EPISODE · Jul 1, 2025 · 10 MIN

Is a Trump RECESSION Coming? Here's What the Data Says for U.S. Economy

from The Josh Lafazan Show · host Joshua Lafazan

📉 Is a Trump Recession Coming? Here's What the Data Says | The Josh Lafazan ShowWelcome back to The Josh Lafazan Show, where we cut through the noise and bring you the facts. Today’s top story: Is the U.S. economy under President Donald Trump heading straight for a recession?The warning signs are flashing. The data is alarming. And the economic fallout could be devastating — not because of a natural disaster or pandemic this time, but because of policy decisions made in the Trump White House.In this episode, we break it all down:✅ What a recession actually is📉 The economic red flags already appearing⚠️ How Trump’s trade war is backfiring💥 Who will be hit the hardest if the economy tanks💡 What Congress can still do to stop itLet’s dig in. 👇🟦 What Is a Recession?A recession occurs when the economy contracts for two straight quarters — usually marked by falling consumer spending, job losses, and negative GDP growth.America’s had recessions roughly every decade:2008: Global financial collapse2001: Dot-com bust1990: Gulf War downturn2020: COVID crisisBut this time? Economists warn it may not be an external shock… but a self-inflicted wound.🟥 The Warning Signs Are Already Here📉 Consumer spending dropped in May — the first decline in over a year💼 Job growth has slowed for 3 straight months📊 Trade deficit ballooned to $93 billion — a 2-year high🏢 Business investment is cooling fast, with companies freezing hiringEconomists, small business leaders, and Wall Street are all starting to worry. And the common thread? Trump’s economic policies.🟧 Trump’s Trade War is Tanking the EconomyTrump’s “America First” strategy has become a full-on trade war — and it’s backfiring.In just the last 6 months, Trump has:Imposed 25% tariffs on Chinese steelThreatened to exit trade talks with Canada over a tech taxHit European carmakers with new penaltiesClashed with India and Mexico on importsThe result?🔻 Higher prices for consumers🔻 Retaliatory tariffs crushing U.S. farmers🔻 Exporters losing global markets🔻 Manufacturers paying more for materialsEven conservative outlets like The Wall Street Journal are warning: Trump’s tariffs are backfiring — fast.🟨 How It’s Hurting Everyday AmericansIf the economy slips into recession, here’s what’s at stake:💸 Consumer spending dries up🏭 Layoffs increase, especially in blue-collar sectors📉 Wages stagnate while prices stay high🏡 Mortgage and credit costs stay elevated📉 Retirement accounts lose valueIt’s the middle class and working families — the very people Trump claims to fight for — who will be hit hardest.🟩 Can Congress Prevent This?Time is running out, but here’s what lawmakers could do:✅ Pass relief for consumers and small businesses✅ Expand safety nets like unemployment and food assistance✅ Apply pressure to roll back harmful tariffsThe longer Congress waits, the worse the impact could be.🟦 Trump Inherited a Strong Economy — And Is Tearing It DownLet’s not forget what Trump inherited from President Biden:✔️ Inflation was falling✔️ Unemployment was at record lows✔️ Wages were rising✔️ The deficit was shrinking✔️ Markets hit all-time highsBut Trump’s playbook — filled with tariffs, deregulation, and foreign brinkmanship — is threatening to undo all of it.🎙 Final ThoughtsThis isn’t just bad luck. It’s bad policy.The economy is slowing. The data is clear. And unless there’s a course correction soon, Donald Trump may go down as the president who pushed America into a preventable recession.💬 What do YOU think?🗳 Are we headed for a Trump recession?📉 Should Congress act now to stop it?💡 What’s the solution? Drop your thoughts in the comments ⬇️

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