Is Virg Bernero pulling ahead and predictions for Michigan's August primary

Is Virg Bernero pulling ahead in the Democratic race for governor? On this week's Talking Michigan Politics podcast, Press editors Jeff Cranson and Ed Golder and GVSU's Matt McLogan discuss that race, analyze Congressional and state legislative races and voter turnout projections. Governor's race Polls show Democratic Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero has overcome and is leading House Speaker Andy Dillon in myriad parts of the state. How is his populist message resonating? On the Republican side, Attorney General Mike Cox took more hits from the Manoogian Mansion-stripper story that won't go away, but his support remains strong. Meanwhile, Rick Snyder may be surging in other polls. Other races: Analysis and some predictions in 2nd and 3rd Congressional, 29th and 30th state Senate and state House districts: 72, 73, 75, 77, 86 and 89. Voter turnout The Secretary of State's office projects 1.7 million people will vote Tuesday, which would be about 23 percent. That's based on absentee ballot returns and past primary election turnout. In 1982 and 2002, the last times there were multi-candidate primaries in both parties, turnout was 29 percent and 25 percent respectively. Will the Tea Party have an impact in some specifically targeted U.S. House races?