"It Looks Like He's Folding" — Paul Rieckhoff on Trump's Iran Peace Memo

The White House wants you to believe the Iran war is winding down. A one-page memo. A ceasefire. A market bump. But missiles are still flying on both sides, an Apache just lit up six speedboats, and the regime that murdered tens of thousands of its own people — and 13 Americans — is still very much in charge. Paul Rieckhoff sits down for a no-BS solo briefing on Trump's Iran framework, the four goals the administration set on day one, and why only one of them — eliminating Iran's Navy — looks anything like accomplished. This is the analysis the cable shows won't give you: where is the enriched uranium, who actually wins if sanctions get lifted and U.S. forces pull back, and why the Iranian regime is openly betting it can wait Trump out the way insurgents waited out America in Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan. Paul lays out the strategic picture, the political incentives behind spiking the ball early, and the one barometer that will actually tell us whether this ended in a win — the Iranian people themselves. If you're in the Angry Middle and tired of being sold easy answers about forever wars, this one is for you. -WATCH full video of this episode here. -Join IVA and stand up to Trump’s Forever Wars. -Learn more about Paul’s work to elect a new generation of independent leaders with Independent Veterans of America. -Learn more about American Veterans for Ukraine here. -Remember Independent is an Attitude. -Learn more about The Headstrong Project for Veterans, Tragedy Assistance Program for Survivors (TAPS), and Department of Veterans Affairs resources in your area. Seeking support is not a sign of weakness. It’s a show of strength. If you or a loved one are in immediate crisis, dial 988 and press 1, or text 838255. Connect with Independent Americans: Subscribe on YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and all podcast platforms Read more at Substack Support ad-free episodes at Patreon  Connect: Instagram  • X/Twitter • BlueSky • Facebook  Follow on social: @PaulRieckhoff on X, Instagram, Threads, and Bluesky -Join the movement. Hook into our exclusive Patreon community of Independent Americans. Get extra content, connect with guests, meet other Independent Americans, attend events, get merch discounts, and support this show that speaks truth to power.  -And get cool IA and Righteous hats, t-shirts and other merch now in time for the new year.  Independent Americans is powered by veteran-owned and led Righteous Media.  And now part of the BLEAV network!  Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.