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Sep 9, 2020 45 min

It's Not A Leancast

from Stanford Steve & The Bear Hosted by ESPN, Chris Fallica, Steve Coughlin

Stanford Steve & Bear breakdown this week’s slate of college football games and the difficulty in picking games this year with the unknown with COVID19. Plus, the guys make picks for NFL Survivor League.

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It's Not A Leancast

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Today's episode is brought to you by DraftKings, America's top rated sportsbook app. The underdog is Howley. This is Stanford Steve and the Bear. Oh yes, a home team getting points.

What's better than that? In a little bit we'll get to our picks of the week. We're also going to have an NFL survivor pick to try and help you guys get those goals going and win that cash. Bear's got a couple picks, I got a couple college picks and Bear's going to tell us what Monday night an Annapolis was like.

Also want to remind everyone to check out the SVPOD. There's an awesome podcast out with me, Scott and Chris Cooley, formerly of the Redskins. He's awesome. He knows a lot about football.

You should listen to it. Download and subscribe to this week's podcast. We're ever you get your podcast. We have games, the quality of games.

We'll talk about that later. Bear, how are we doing today? We're doing well and I think you just said it all there. We have football, which is good.

How many games we're going to have this week seems to be dwindling by the day, but we've got games. We have something to talk about at least and we'll see how the week plays out. It had an interesting game on Monday night down there in Annapolis. So hopefully that will be the exception rather than the norm this upcoming season.

Tell me about it. How I don't want to say depressing because we have to watch college football. Obviously BYU brought their lunchboxes and got to work. That might have been the easiest live bet game I've ever seen in my life.

But walking around being there in the truck, crowd noise, no crowd noise. You get your own crowd noise pumped in your headset. I just turned off the producer pod on the McCurdy station of the truck and just crank it up with that. Or I'll find a static noise.

But no, a few things. Yes, it did seem weird with no fans in there. I do think you hit on her being in my energy. I think part of that was because the game was so out of reach.

So lopsided. I think that when we get a competitive game and a close game, I think the juice of being at a college football game after not necessarily thinking we're going to have a season potentially for a while. I think it will be fine. However, on the other side, I think these broadcasts now present opportunities for to kind of be a little bit creative.

I think fans at home got a taste of hearing the sounds of the game, hearing adjustments, hearing signals, hearing the sideline go crazy on a big play. I think if broadcasting kind of produced the game now and direct the game and camera cut the game and provide audio on the sidelines to the benches with those reactions, the way they may be handled. The crowd or the band or cheerleaders. I think that might provide a pretty unique viewing opportunity for some fans.

So while I know fans, I do think the broadcasting itself is going to be a little bit different and evolve and it might be something that people can get used to at home. But yeah, you also hit on something there again right away and I had said it Monday night as well. That was the poster child for live betting. You needed to see one drive from each game from each team rather before you knew how this one was going to go.

And I think this year, obviously our listeners are pretty smart and you can catch on to these things as well. But I would suspect this season, especially that a majority of wagering should be done by the live back fashion. It's going to be hard here for us at least. I don't want to speak for you.

But for me to sit here on a Wednesday early in the day and have a really, really strong feel about a game or a side or a total. And then later in the week, get reports of a COVID positive test and players sitting out. So I'm going to do my best to give as much of a lean, a feel, a pick, an opinion as possible. But at the same time, don't be surprised that later in the week, some news comes out that might lessen a feel or a lean or a side or something as information comes.

Because this is going to be the most unpredictable season that we've seen. Players and coaches are creatures of habit and they like being in control. This is a year where there isn't going to be any habit. It's going to be awful.

There aren't going to be any norms. There isn't going to be repetition. There's going to be a lot of bit proposing and adjusting. So we're all in this boat.

I think together. Yeah, I think you said this is still a podcast. It's not going to turn into a lean cast. Is that your words that you use?

Yeah, I was saying before we want to get some picks. I don't want it to be the. Yeah, I lean towards whatever I mean. But at the same time, and I think it's understandable for people to like it.

At this point, unless you really, really love a game, you don't want to be too committed to something to marry this early in the week. Use an example for this week. It's a game that I like. Okay.

And it's a game that I really, really, really want to make an official pick. And I'm still waffling like why is Kansas a seven point David of a coastal Carolina? Coastal Carolina beat them last year in Lawrence. Coastal Carolina has a ton of offensive production coming back.

Total production as well. They're one of the top 20 according to the book on Lee's formula in terms of returning production in Kansas is near the bottom in terms of returning production. They don't have very many disruptive playmakers on defense quarterback situations improvement. The problem.

Not a great running back. But I mean, if you're an FBS defensive coordinator, you should be able to develop a defensive scheme to shut down a running game. And this line opened up at three, three and a half. And then within the span of the day, it went to seven.

So I don't know why would like so much money be coming in on Kansas. I can't think it's solely because of a revenge factor from last year that they lost a coastal Carolina. So either shot declares. Yeah.

So either like somebody has somebody sees a clear difference in their power ratings and just hammered it and sent it out to their people and people are following or there's word out that maybe there's some players that are going to get out to get out to. There's some players that are going to miss the game for Coastal Carolina. So it's a cost spot for me. I probably will ultimately wind up making Coastal Carolina plus seven official pictures because I think you get the seven and the one by seven.

I like to play seven and six. I have a thing. But that's a week one. That's a perfect situation of what we're talking about.

Like things just don't seem to make sense with that game and you're a little concerned like inside where you've been so much money, apparently it's so much steam against you. Yeah, it's a great thing to point out. I'm not sure if you're going to be able to get a chance to see the idea of that Kansas thing and then I look at Kansas. I mean everybody loves that the offensive coordinator and then less came in and said, you know, he's even got more rain, which I think a lot of LSU fans wanted to hear a couple years back.

But that's that's in the past, but I, you got to have good players to have a good offense and I worry you can be the greatest play call in the world. But if you don't have the guys to do it, it ain't going to happen. So I, yeah, I like that. It does.

It scares me a little. We are not guys that are scared easily, but it is a little alarming but curious. It's a very curious line. I'm going to go to a game that I was looking at and I, oh, before everybody wants to keep score and make fun of us when we get picks wrong.

So again this year, the official picks because even the calm guys love doing it. Our picks will be released in a column on Thursday mornings on calm. Those are submitted late tonight. So those are official picks will give.

I'm just throwing out everything I have from the week that I've done of looking at games and research and stuff and looking stuff up so I was looking at Georgia Tech and Florida State. The Ramblin rack is plus 12 and a half, 54 and a half is the number. I Georgia Tech's pretty fascinating to me. I mean, nobody loves doing interviews more than coach Collins, but no one loves keeping stuff tighter to the best than coach college.

And when I mean that is, they have four guys right now, possibly they're going to start the game. And I remember saving when Jalen hurts came out like why am I going to tell anybody when you know we know it's a good secret and this kid could be our starter and he had the other kids start the game and then hurts played the whole way through and led them to the National Championship game. So, I think he's a coach, coach under Saban. I think he likes having that control thing where he knows what's going on and he can keep he has power over everybody.

So we know they're in transitions still getting out of the option for the state is in transition with Mike nor Bell coming in black men again I believe this is fourth, fourth offense coordinator he'll have in four years. Right there I'm rooting for the kid for the state defensive line should be very good. Marvin Wilson big boy up front is a could be the best in the country, but we'll see. I know motivation has been a thing that scouts have looked at him at, but I just, I think this game with both teams still in transition it's going to be kind of ugly.

It's a conference game, obviously, as they all are going to be moving was a CCS one in state game out of conference, isn't that the rule right now. Okay, so they're starting off with a conference game. So it's, I look at that number of 54 and a half and I think that might go under I know Florida State has 10 of 11 back on defense. It's not a Samuel junior also in that secondary Georgia Tech's gotta be better on defense.

They only have 17 sacks. I think college is good enough to, you know, look at enough tape and realize what he has now from a personnel standpoint and get creative and get more pressures on the quarterback. You got to do that for states. Oh, I gave up 48 sacks.

So I think I know nor Bell is coming with a they ended up averaging over 40 points a game. I think it's last year. But I just think defense early in the year I look at that under in that game between those two teams. You have any caprice.

You should maybe wear those caprice coach Collins says this week. I think it'd be a good look for you. It's almost like he pins his jeans like we used to back in the 90s. Yeah, you coffee like you're talking under roll him up a little bit.

Show the ankles and speaking of is that is that a real high school photo flooring around of you in the on the Internet last week? Yeah, yeah, it is. Diamond Dom. Yeah, they call me.

Yeah, because Dominic's my middle name and Dominic's my dad's name. So they used to be like a diamond Dom on the mic. Yeah, don't ask. I don't know.

I used to do the the PA announcing for the for the basketball game. The best game. So they've the diamond voice, whatever. Wow.

That's a long time ago. I wouldn't exactly say my voice is a diamond anymore yet. But that is a real and I took a terrible, terrible angle on that on the kickoff return to that was the that was the Suffolk County championship game. I was in the first place in the year and that was a kick off.

I tried to push the guy out of bounds and go and take it take his legs out to end. It was over. It was 34 and after that. We were and we were done.

So, single digit number one, Jesse Armstrong. Miami hurricane. That was my guy. I wore number one.

Just because I spoke up others serious tales about Jesse Armstrong. I was in high school down. I thought you're going to say I was driving home from an apples. Yes, I was driving down through the all American Valley there.

I was thinking to you. Sad day. Sad day. I get no high school football.

A lot of people upset. I mean, not only are we excited about that, obviously, but we got to do what you got to do. What else? What else you got on your on your slate when you're looking at these games this week.

Two things that stuck out to me. Total wise, Miami and UAB, much of 55. They see a 54 and a half circa. I'm looking out right now.

Miami has been a terrible team. Laying big numbers lately. If you go back and look at Miami. They've lost each of the last five games.

At least they were a seven point favorite. They have to cover each of the last nine. They've been a brutal thing in the last eight games that they played as a favorite of at least a touchdown. They're average like 17.4 points per game, which is terrible.

And I think with the air can come in. I think we're actually coming in. I would expect them in this situation to score a lot of points and kind of show the optimism and the energy and the excitement and that the game is going to live up to the billing that everybody kind of hopes that he can be in Miami and kind of rescuing this offense and putting them into that upper echelon of contenders to reach the ACC Tyler game. Now, at the same time, I do think they'll probably allow a few points.

I think what you're going to get is many giz and defensive staff playing a lot of guys early in the year trying to figure out some of the losses that they've had. Obviously, we're so opted out that they lost some of the guys secondary and line back. I think they'll still be good. But I think they still have holes that they need to plug in.

So you might see Miami's D struggle a little bit more, especially maybe later in the game as the more inexperienced players come in. I thought the over 54 and a half over a half over a half over a half. I was a play and I'll put that down as a real pick. I'm sure I'm writing writing time later in the day.

I feel pretty good about that. And then the other total I liked was the over in the local Western Kentucky game. I see a bunch of 58 to see a 57 and a half. It's circus of Metcalf and Mike Palm and Derek Stevens and the boys giving a given a way a half a point to the side.

I like there is interesting. So I probably feel a little bit good. I don't think we'll go good about that. I'm not that they're giving away a given away a number.

I mean, it's Metcalf and those guys are pretty good. Yeah. Same time. You'll look at time.

You'll look at time. You'll look at time. You'll look at time. You'll look at time.

You'll look at time. You'll look at time. You'll look at time. You'll look at time.

You'll look at time. You'll look at time. You'll see time. There's time for the rest of Western backstage.adiye Hill Street.

And then one of those things that we barring him was being playing against the tournament running ham and that receiving core hookings running back. They're going to start time points. They're Lahti the time Last year, Flight Year shouldn't be the. House of the former tuipac corporate now a lot of experience back running back and receiver you think that they in turn in a totally tight game.

Stay bigger school should probably put up some points as well.mat of the Tucky Louisville as well. Those were certainly two totals. And obviously we lost a couple of games this week. So the pickings are slim, but a couple of sides that I'm looking at.

And again, this is crazy for me to think that I want to lay these big of numbers. But I think if you look at Syracuse and North Carolina, obviously Syracuse's practice schedule has been disrupted by things going on up there. North Carolina is a team that has a ton of people back. And I think they're out to prove that the hype and the expectations and that bold momentum of a big win and a high ranking and a lot of excitement and optimism energy is real and not big.

So I think there's a chance they could put a number of Syracuse Syracuse is an interesting team. We talked about it last week with those wind totals, how it naturally dropped to five and a half. And that's a little, a little tough, a lot tougher than six, but Syracuse had tons of problems on offense last year on the offensive line and did quarterback. A lot of those were injury related.

So hopefully that won't happen again. But I wonder about how this is going to go this year for Syracuse. I mean, obviously they had that big win over Clemson a couple of years ago, that that shocking win as a massive underdog. I think what, you know, they were first year, they had that 10 win magical season, the last year they stunk.

So like you got one good, really good season and three seasons that kind of end. So like, is that one year just kind of like a flip on the radar? Is that show the potential that they could be? I'm curious to see how this is going to go for Syracuse this year.

So I'll take a little bit longer, but I don't know if I'm too excited about laying in 2022, 23 pregame, I might wait and see how they can see what the direction of that game is going to be and be really locked in on that and maybe focus on live betting that game if UNC does get up to a big lead. Because remember, I hate hopping back to that BYU Navy game on Monday night, but like after that first, after those first two drives, it was BYU minus five and a half. And that was like, you kidding me? That's like, okay, what max, max bet, whatever you can.

And then I think I ended up getting at seven and a half. Yeah, I feel awesome about it. Oh, yeah, I went for five and a half, 17 and a half after the second score. And I'm like, all right, let me, I'm pretty good at five and a half, I'm pretty confident.

And then after they scored again, I went to 23 and a half. I'm like, I'm like, I'm like, I'm like, I'm fine, I ran to game here. Just, I'm like, this is not going to get better. And then the other side that I liked and I'm curious to get your take on it because it's two of your favorite teams and teams that you like to back, Duke and Notre Dame.

That's the difference. I'm not sure. What? Didn't you pick, didn't you go over with Notre Dame or pick Notre Dame to make the playoffs?

No, I did not. I thought, I thought you said, I thought you said, I am known to love betting Notre Dame though. I am really excited to see their offensive talent this year. I could have sworn I heard you say that.

Maybe I'm confusing it with the, I don't know, I'm confusing you with Lee Courser from gaming, et cetera, because I can leave it Notre Dame to make the playoffs. I did give out my four teams for the playoffs. What were they? Alabama, Texas A&M, Clemson, and Oklahoma State.

That's different. I like it though. You have to complete off the radar teams. This whole idea of people throwing out the Alabama and Georgia are going to play three times.

No, thanks. No, thanks. Well, that's going to be an interesting debate all year long because I like what shouldn't be. I didn't even get to finish my question.

My statement and my question. If you're being honest, I think people are going to look at the polls throughout the year and you probably could have Alabama, Georgia, Florida, and maybe LSU. You probably have like four of the top five teams in the country are all from the S&C. We'll see.

Anyway, circling back to getting back on the road and going with the Notre Dame here, David Cottclip is an underdog thing. Kind of regressed last year and you knew what was going to happen eventually. I know they got Chase Bryce coming in, but I'm not sure about Duke this year. I think they got some problems.

Notre Dame last year. I think the thought was why are they all over? The last year is as big a favorite as a 20-point favorite like they are this week. They absolutely took their business.

They crushed Duke last year. I think 37, the offensive skill was a healthy armstrong book back in the most receivers and you know the offensive line. It's always going to be good. Always.

I kind of like them minus 20 here. Okay. You got any thoughts on that? I'm really, I mean, I've been reading about how excited they are for these new runbacks and then the guys, you know, they obviously lost the big guy, the Steelers and the draft on the outside.

I've said it before, I am an E and book fan. I like to kid a lot. I think he's got a ton of guts. I think he does whatever he needs to do to get his team wins.

I'm kind of really interested. I mean, they're getting plenty of hype. He's the skilled guys for Notre Dame. So if their any half is good at the hype again, cover 20 in this one should not be a problem.

I do want to go back to your UAB thing. I just, I know what you're saying about Miami, but it feels like when UAB steps up in class here, the thing, it doesn't go too well. I mean, I don't have any numbers. It's just the perception I have, which could be totally wrong, but that's what I think of when they go up to play these these power five teams.

I watched a ton of that game last week. Spencer Brown is a really, really good running back Johnson the quarterback. He, I mean, he's got some good guys. Sammy Watkins.

I think it's his nephew or his cousin is their leaner receiver. Austin Watkins. They get mine, Mitchell to get Prince caught to touchdown passes. They got some talent on offense.

That over pick is worth. I'm really, really excited to see the Eric King in red land last week. I'm sure the last week is that what time is that Thursday night. That's right.

So they shouldn't be affected by that heat. I don't think George attack. I looked at that weather going down the tall. I asked you if you want to blow that up.

It's, you know, a two degree day in Florida. So the boys from Atlanta shouldn't have anything else to backup your point. Like last year they gave up 30 to kind of see at a time when the Vols hadn't fully got cranked on offense a year before they gave up 41 to A&M. So you're right.

Even if Florida, the year they came back in 17, they gave up 36. So there definitely is something to what you would set up when they step up in competition in class. They do have a tendency to get blown out and they do have a tendency to give up a lot of points. So yes, your your thought bubble definitely has some validity there.

Feel free to use that stuff on game this week. All right. Well, I can't I can't use it on game because the game already will have been played. That's right.

I'm still using it in the column though. There we go. That works. So I was staying in Kansas State.

Two teams I gave out last week. I think they could win the conference. I was state. I really all week.

I've been thinking about that game last week. How lucky they last year. How lucky they were to come back and be NIU. I think doing well in the one double a playoffs.

But I look at Louisiana coming in. Napier to head coach there has done an awesome job. I actually thought he was going to get a power five job last year, but he did not. He's a he's a statement disciple.

He coached at Bama at the beginning, but I was state perity. Obviously they said a school record for points last year, but he's lost his receivers and they lost four alignments. So I think continuity and stuff like that could take a little bit of time to go get get going. Louisiana returns all their guys in their secondary Levi Lewis, the quarterback through for 26 touchdowns for picks last year.

And the raging Cajuns were top 10 nationally in total offense, scoring offense and yards per play. So I like what they have coming back also. So I think I'm going to take this 10 and a half. I'm going to take the 10 and a half.

And like I said, last year that still instilled in my in my head of that. That's low star and I mean, we're going to say this every game that we pick. There's no home crowd and aims. So I mean, there's nothing to be intimidated about, which is one of my favorite home, but I consider one of the best home field advantages in the sport.

So I'm going to go raging cages plus 10 and a half. I like you, Louisiana. I mentioned last year how the clones struggled out of the gate and nearly getting picked off at home. Remember the opener last year for Louisiana, they were a massive underdog against Mississippi State.

They were going to be in a 10 point game. So I think you could wind up seeing a similar type game. And look, friends, for Shill and I, I think are battling to be crowned mayor of Ames and have statues built in the town after the love that he's given them for basketball. And me picking them as a sleeper, dark horse to maybe reach the call for play.

But with all of those expectations and no home crowd right off the bat, maybe you do see them start off a little slung. But you totally see your Louisiana pick there. I feel a little concerned about laying that number with Iowa State just because it is a situation I think where Louisiana will be really fired up to play a big 12 team on the road and they're open or maybe make a little bit of a statement. They're good team.

And see how long Billy Nader is going to be in Lafayette because I think he's going to be a name that continues to get a lot of attention for power five jobs. All right. And then the other one I mentioned Kansas State is Arkansas State's going there. They obviously took it, took it on the chin from Memphis last week.

They led for a little bit of that game, but then the Memphis onslaught just was too much for him. This is a totally different match up for the Red Wolves as they go up to Manhattan. And Kansas State, I mentioned last week, I like them a lot this year. I love the coaching staff.

I trust what they're going to do. They got to replace four out of their five offensive linemen. So this is also the case, you know, in general, you know, speaking terms where the team has played a game already, has an advantage against the team that hasn't. And I just look at that from a continuity thing, you know Arkansas State has already, you know, game, game shapes a whole different thing than practice shapes.

So I look at that one is Arkansas State, the Red Wolves are plus 10 and a half. So I'm going to take those double digits there. And like I said, I just think it's the case of, you know, maybe the team that hasn't played as a little sloppy and just like the race occasions going up to Ames. This is a big spot for Arkansas State to get a naturally televised game on Fox.

So the old noon kickoff in Manhattan, yeah, the new year Arkansas State brings their lunch pales and gets to work early. They have a ton of dollars back in offense that they had that game under their belt. I agree. I think that is another underdog.

I think that I would certainly be inclined to take plus the points and it was funny. Went up someone last week on Twitter took Bill Conley's. S P plus rankings to individualization shark with it and I can't just take was the epitome of like perfectly average like right in the middle. There was a poster child for like being like right square in the middle of like totally like average equal and all phase of like offensive.

Plus defensive S P plus, like it was Kansas State. So a little while after smack dab in that middle. We don't do anything super super well. We don't do anything really bad either.

That's a thing where I think he did try a lot of things in that first year to see what he had and being in the new conference, being with the big boys after being so dominant at the FCS level. So I think when they do find something that they're good at, they will do it and pound you into the ground and I'm thinking that's going to be the run game. Hopefully this year, but it just like take a little bit of time and the other ones in state battle is App State host and Charlotte Charlotte's catching 17 App State new coaching staff lost a ton on defense. I know they got the quarterback back and his top three receivers, but Charlotte has their quarterback back and I've always been a fan of wheel wheel.

I just think that's a lot of points. These guys played last year. It was a shoot. I think it was like 5641 or something like that.

So I'm looking at Charlotte there and possibly the over. I think it's at 60 right now. I think both those teams will get after it. Healy's often I think will be a lot more polished after they want enough games to go to a bowl game and put up a stinker.

But they did get to the house. Okay. Hold on. There they go to a nice tropical destination and decide not to practice and focus it on a game and not let us know.

Yeah. It wasn't like a crazy one directional winged is well there. Yes. So I just couldn't like throw one way and it just didn't kick.

It just didn't go well. So we'll heal you and the boys are going to have to. They got to earn your trust back. They got to earn my trust back.

I was all on board last year and then and then to be excited about going to that ball game and play a clunker and actually has some fun on the ball trip that was inexcusable to not to listen on that. Where are you this week? Are you going to piece of Monday night football? Yeah, I am.

Wow. Tell me about it. The National Football League Monday night. Your New York football Giants.

The New York football Giants. I have fired in under six and a half winged season on against the Pittsburgh Steelers. It'll be fun to be in the truck with that game Monday night with Chris and Kirk down there. I see the trip to drive down Monday early kick at seven.

Not even staying overnight. No. No. We're not flying private from Hartford, New York.

Why? So, now I'm not an amateur on the track. The car by yourself. Everyone has to rent their own car or drive their own car.

Just safety precaution. That being said, there might. Hold on. Let's be heard being retinocars.

Yeah, he is. No, he is. Yeah. All right.

I want photo evidence. If I can get to photo evidence of that, I will. I want to be driving a Prius right up to the MetLife stadium. Right from the LaGuardia airport.

the national suite or is like the Chevy Malibu still. Yeah, Malibu, Hyundai Sonata. I was thinking of Lantra. I think the Ford Taurus is coming back.

Is it? Yeah. That was my first call. Every now and then I think I've seen some Camry's as well.

Or I think so. Yeah. And then you have a big on the Jeep fleet of SUVs, like the little like small, compact. Liberty.

Like that. Yeah, it's terrible. I can't even fit in. Can't even fit in.

Yeah, now they're getting back like there's no Hartford, like Peterborough. But I know there might be a Winston-Salem Teterborough. That might happen. OK.

That might happen. Just throw that out there. Get that out there. Thank you.

We'll see you. So you will be there. You'll be in Winston-Salem? I will be in Winston-Salem.

OK. I'll be in college game day. I'll be coming from Winston-Salem on Saturday morning. In the stadium?

No, we are not in the stadium. We are set up on the campus in kind of a nice backdrop type field. Beautiful campus. I took an unofficial visit there.

We talked about that last week. Yeah, we talked about this. Great place. Great place.

It was the same beautiful. I've been to Winston-Salem and I've been to Wake Forest once. I remember it was a Thursday night game involving Florida State and Crow Stadium was still under construction. OK.

And I think we had this. I can remember if we were there or not. Before we switch gears to a little NFL survivor pool picks, just a reminder, DraftKings is giving new users a free shot at $100,000. Download the DraftKings app and enter the code Steve at the sign up.

Eligibility restrictions apply. See DraftKings.com for details. David Bairman just texted me, by the way. And this is a good segment.

It's not college related, but it's betting related. OK. You and I are involved with this survival pool, as I'm sure millions of people are in it. It's a good segment.

Well, it's an NFL. This is a conversation that I want to have with you. OK. You know everybody this week is either going to pick chiefs, or the Ravens.

I would think. Maybe some people will pick Indianapolis. Are you comfortable picking that? The Colts are going to go on the road.

And when it's like, it's my. You can't take a road team week one in a survival pool. I'm guessing 65% of the people involved in the pool are going to have the chiefs, which everyone can be eliminated on Thursday. It's my theory that you buy if you're allowed multiple entries, or you can kind of team up with one.

It's the Kenny Mayne theory. Kenny does this. And I think I know I think you must know where I'm going. Like, wouldn't you maybe think about taking either Vegas or Carolina or the Lions or the Bears?

Like a bunch of teams that you probably aren't ever going to want to use again. That way, you're going to advance with a team that you're not going to want to use in the future anyway. Yeah, you're sacrificing an entry. But at the same time, you're guaranteed of moving on.

And if you get that suicide pool debacle week one, then you're in great shape. But please. I can't overthink this. If I'm going to go down, I'm going down with the best quarterback in the sport, a Super Bowl champs defending their turf at home against a team.

Last time they played, lost a lead faster, then I can eat a cheeseburger. I just don't think you overthink this. If I'm going down, I'm going down with my homes. And that's that.

Now, I used to be in one where they had to be Sunday games. So you couldn't take the Thursday night game. So that would make it interesting if I was still in that one. I mean, I'm not confident in them, but I think people are going to take Buffalo.

I can't trust them. I think that's probably a good one. The wing one's pretty fascinating. Look how ugly that Washington thing is.

Oh my god. Do you just pick again? Just pick who's ever playing the Jags for the first couple of weeks? I can't do that.

People have done that and they've done very well. I know that. Colts, you don't know an eight point favor on the road. And I know there's no fans, but in an NFL game, that's scary to me.

And I know there's no spread in the survivors. Oh, wow. Walking ears are at the Saints. Niners, what are you getting out of them?

Cowboys are on the road. Can't touch them. Steelers are on the road. Can't touch them.

Tennessee's favorite at Denver? Yeah, I think that's a big flip in the line move after the Miles Garrett news. No, not Miles. Oh, the other one.

The other Texas A&M, great Spencer player, Bob Miller. Sorry. That's a tough week, man. I guess you would have to take Travis's theory.

I just hate taking road teams. I know it's different this year. There are a couple of different theories out there in the way we approach survivor polls. And I guess if you can guarantee, maybe spend an extra entry if you can afford it and it's reasonable, maybe you think about doubling up with, was that what you were saying?

Kenny does? Is Kenny do that? Yes, every survivor, he's like six entries. I think it was two years ago in the Saints lost at home week one.

I think it was two years ago. He had like, I think he had the states like three of them. Oh, he was he was happy. He's like, OK, it's still got three.

But all right, so maybe we'll add that to the list. Our NFL survivor picks for every week. Good. I'm going Chiefs.

Who are you on the record with? Just throw it out there. Who are you going to have to sign it? You got to give it out on the podcast.

You have to. This is a week has this is pick it up. Yeah, it's not a week has. We also need to we also need to hear your college football playoff picks, too.

I don't have those. Steve said it was for game day for big crowds. Yeah, honestly, I honestly haven't even thought of that, which is scary. Like like, what Pollock you've got.

Pollock had like the truck, Alabama Georgia, Clemson, Oklahoma. I don't think it's going to be that. You know, I'm just about to arrive with this here. I'm missing a last man standing contest.

I'm missing the ATS survivor. What did what did the circuit get up to? I don't know. I think they're pretty close to reaching the break even point.

OK, last check. I have to send something like a pump like a note. When are we going to get back in the scene? Whenever I go out to Vegas for the NFC or whenever I wear.

I'm hoping to be out there. Or whenever we get to join because they're in an important box that lovely set the link in daily leisure. How much better looking is that said with Fortenba out there? Oh, yeah.

He just smells good. You could just tell. He just brings a nice essence to the desk. When he wakes up in the morning dressed like that.

Yes, he does. Roll rolls out of bed. And he pants iron pants iron hair did shirt shirt shirt iron. Nice pleat hair hair good.

No, no, no, no, no. Crossroads closet of the blazers. No, no, no, no, no. Yes.

All right, I'll take that one. All right, so you're going to Winston Salem and Matt beautiful MetLife stadium. Right. God, it's terrible.

We don't know what I was driving back yesterday and pass it. I'm like, they just I've never been inside the stadium. By the way, let me say to you. I have.

I know why. Why? What did you do? I took my wife, the Taylor Swift.

Well, at least that's a good reason. It was great for a concert. I'll tell you that. Nice clean, convenient.

Bears were cold. Yeah, no, no problems. But what I was going to say is like, you know how like these new stadiums that are built are always like have some kind of draw. And it's like new.

It's different. It's fresh. They basically like rebuilt giant stadium just updated. It's like the exact same shape and you only like, yeah, it's not like a weird, funky, piling type look on the outside.

But like the shape of the stadium configuring. It's like the same thing. Yeah, here's like, here's like the 2010 version of giant stadium. Somebody told me that like with union dues and workers or whatever, that stadium ended up costing more to build than Jerry World.

Well, that's impressive. That's the very first thing. I was going to say, in a watch a game at either place and be work, work it. I mean, the Cowboys kind of get like boxed and laughed at sometimes.

But you know what? That stadium is awesome to work at. Oh, yes. It is set up so well for the job that I have to do in television with trucks.

It is great. So they did an awesome job. Very good. Any else buck not?

No, I'm good over here. How depressed are you? Oh, super depressed. Like I still don't know what it's going to be like on Saturday or like how much I watch.

Are the last day fans just going to turn on Big Ten Network and see what's on there? No, I don't like I don't even go that direction. But I don't like usually I'll bring out a second TV in my living room during the fall. I don't even know now.

Oh, this is where I'm supposed to say I feel sorry. I think I'm I you guys last week. I said I was safe. I actually might audible and go with Boston College this year.

Oh, because of Laffley. Because of Halfley. Yeah. OK.

But good things about the quarterback. People love. Yeah, and they got an high state transfer. So have you cared with those Notre Dame transfers though?

Always get a lot of hype. Oh, yeah. All right. So you're you're you're Crimson Eagle.

Yeah. All right. Good to know. Hit them up.

What are you at Travis Rockwell on Twitter? Yeah. Can't wait for all half sleep people to yell at you. They're not going to yell at me.

They're going to see. They're going to see. They're going to see like a roller. Don't say you're well.

No one's going to care about that. They're going to see my tweets bash with Kevin one of the big 10. You need to gain Monday night proof. And certainly in the case of live betting.

The less you bet the more you lose when you win.

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This episode was published on September 9, 2020.

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