January 16-18 | Ledger Recap - Prediction Markets HQ: Dai...

What this episode covers

In this episode of the Ledger Recap, we audit a 4.3-unit gain to find where the algorithm left money on the table. We break down the systemic pace mispricing in the Cavaliers vs. 76ers game and analyze why playing 'pennies in front of a steamroller' with Dayton's winner contracts was a strategic failure of conviction calibration.Marcus Webb introduces the new 'Conviction-to-Price' rule to prevent buying winner contracts at inefficient prices and discusses the importance of mid-game liquidity and defensive gravity in the Pelicans vs. Pacers collapse.Questions or feedback? Reach out to: [email protected] expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly."Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 Licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Read Transcript

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Frequently Asked Questions

How long is this episode of Prediction Markets HQ: Daily Sports?

This episode is 4 minutes long.

When was this Prediction Markets HQ: Daily Sports episode published?

This episode was published on January 19, 2026.

What is this episode about?

In this episode of the Ledger Recap, we audit a 4.3-unit gain to find where the algorithm left money on the table. We break down the systemic pace mispricing in the Cavaliers vs. 76ers game and analyze why playing 'pennies in front of a steamroller'...

Can I download this Prediction Markets HQ: Daily Sports episode?

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