EPISODE · Jul 18, 2025 · 21 MIN
Japan, Politics and the Yen - Is It All Priced?
from The MUFG Global Markets Podcast · host MUFG EMEA
After another week of Trump-driven financial market volatility, attention now turns to Japanese politics. Derek Halpenny, Head of Research, Global Markets EMEA and International Securities, sits down with Chris Jakubowski, Head of Hedge Fund FX Sales, to discuss Sunday’s upper house election and its potential implications for the markets next week and beyond. Upper house elections in Japan are typically low-impact events, but this one feels different. Could we see renewed JGB volatility? What might the results mean for USD/JPY, and is there a risk of a sovereign credit rating downgrade? Derek and Chris also explore the “demise of US exceptionalism” narrative in light of the latest US capital flow data.
What this episode covers
After another week of Trump-driven financial market volatility, attention now turns to Japanese politics. Derek Halpenny, Head of Research, Global Markets EMEA and International Securities, sits down with Chris Jakubowski, Head of Hedge Fund FX Sales, to discuss Sunday’s upper house election and its potential implications for the markets next week and beyond. Upper house elections in Japan are typically low-impact events, but this one feels different. Could we see renewed JGB volatility? What might the results mean for USD/JPY, and is there a risk of a sovereign credit rating downgrade? Derek and Chris also explore the “demise of US exceptionalism” narrative in light of the latest US capital flow data.
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Japan, Politics and the Yen - Is It All Priced?
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