Jason Shapiro: How the COT Report Detects Where the Herd Is Trapped | Unknown Market Wizards

📊 Most traders lose trying to predict where the market will go. Jason Shapiro does the opposite — and profits.In this episode of Traders of the World, Flávio Lemos, CMT, interviews Jason Shapiro — the contrarian trader from Jack Schwager's book "Unknown Market Wizards" — alongside Vanessa Souza ( specialist in Market Profile and US index futures, 7 years in the market) and her husband Rafael Bentes (25 years of trading, international asset management desk).Jason operates exclusively based on the COT (Commitment of Traders) report to identify markets where the crowd is excessively positioned on one side — and then "fades the crowd." Result: in the 2015 Swiss Franc trade, he recouped 30x his risk in a single trade.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🧠 WHAT YOU WILL LEARN:━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━→ Positioning, Not Prediction: why predicting the market is a loser's game→ The Reversal Formula: "crowded" COT Report + "News Failure" = high probability entry→ Mathematical Stop Loss: where to position the stop (exactly at the low of the reversal candle)→ The Principle of 1:5 — "Focus all your time on where I'm going to lose $1 and win $5"→ Trading Diary: why Jason attributes the development of his method to a journal of mistakes→ Why Jason only trades futures (never options) — and the lesson of the put that went to zero even with the stock falling 25%→ Real Cases: the Swiss Franc trade in 2015 (30x the risk) and the worst mistake of the 90s━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━❓ QUESTIONS THIS EPISODE ANSWERS :━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━- What is the COT (Commitment of Traders) Report and how to use it to identify reversals?- How to identify a "crowded market" before a reversal?- What is "News Failure" and why is it the ideal trigger to enter?- How did Jason Shapiro profit 30x the risk in the collapse of the Swiss Franc (CHF) in 2015?- Why is short selling the S&P 500 "the worst idea ever invented by man"?- What is "fading the crowd" and how to implement it in practice?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━⏱️ CHAPTERS:━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - Teaser: "Making money when everyone else loses is addictive — and wrong in the long run" 02:05 - Introduction of Jason: the trader who enters the house when the crowd flees05:10 - How Jason got into the book "Unknown Market Wizards" by Jack Schwager14:40 - Why trying to predict the future of the market is a waste of time18:00 - The Secret of the COT (Commitment of Traders) Report24:50 - The Perfect Trigger: How to profit from a "News Failure"31:00 - The patience to wait for the market to close45:00 - Where to place the Stop Loss? (The Reversal Candle Technique)55:20 - Where is the herd trapped now? (Cocoa, Coffee, Sugar and others)01:06:00 - The Best Trade: The Profit Explosion in the Swiss Franc in 201501:12:50 - The Worst Mistake + The Trading Diary that Saved Jason's Career01:14:09 - "Short Selling the S&P is Like Taking Heroin" — Jason's Viral Analogy01:16:02 - Why Jason Only Trades Futures (Never Options)01:17:30 - Where to Find Jason: 300+ Free Videos (Crowded Market Report)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📚 RECOMMENDED BOOK: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ (Jason Shapiro's Chapter)The Unknown Wizards of the Financial Market: The Best Traders You've Never Heard Of by Jack Schwagerhttps://amzn.to/4dijfQa━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🔗 MEET JASON SHAPIRO:━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🌐 Newsletter: https://www.crowdedmarketreport.com▶️ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCP37ZqE3gN9Jxl2jtnvO8eA━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📲 FOLLOW TRADERBRASIL:━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━👇 STALK US (FOR ALPHA):🌐 Website: https://www.traderbrasil.com📷 Instagram: @traderbrasil🎧Spotify: 🐦 X: @traderbrasil📺 MARATHON:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WsYx2Dz1Mlg&list=PLd9k0T-3QIYcVVJCzfJzUY99joymZrURl📚 LINKS:Follow Flávio Lemos on Instagram: /flaviolemoscmton X: /flaviolemoscmt🌐 https://www.flaviolemoscmt.comhttps://www.youtube.com/@flaviolemoscmt