Jeff Christian: Correlation is Not Causation and Causation is Very Complex

Michael Fox of the Prospector News is Joined by Jeff Christian the Managing Partner of the CPM Group. Our conversation is focused on where and how to look at the Silver Markets. We start the conversation on why most analysts are focused on Silver as an Investment Metal instead on the Industrial Metal which makes up the largest demand. Jeff states that Investment demand represents the largest changing variable (on a year-to-year basis) that it has an outsized reflection on price. We move the discussion forward on a look at the Gold:Silver ratio and discuss if it is an indicator of price. We discuss whether given Silver’s role as an industrial metal if the Copper:Silver ratio is more reflective. Jeff opines that the better indicator is not a ratio at all but the movement in the actual copper prices. Finally, we discuss how correlation is not necessarily. Beyond the ratio discussion we discuss what causal effects can affect the silver markets. It’s more complex than you may think it is. And in a tip of the cap to the Stanley Cup and “Playoff Beards” we discuss the “Superstitious” causes that have no effect at all.   To Order the Gold, Silver and PGM Yearbooks https://cpmgroup.com/store/   Register for the PGM Yearbook Webinar Launch July 16th