June 9, 2026 · The 30 missiles, the Apache crash, OpenAI's year of talks

Sunday night, Iran fired thirty ballistic missiles at Israel. Israel struck Tehran and Isfahan in return. By Monday both pulled back. Tuesday morning a US Army Apache helicopter went down near the Strait of Hormuz. Ukraine hit four Russian oil facilities. The OpenAI-Trump equity negotiations turn out to be a year old with "donate not sell" as the operating principle — Anthropic explicitly excluded. OpenAI publicly rebutted Anthropic's pause proposal. Iran signed a $25 billion nuclear cooperation deal with Russia the same week it's negotiating with Washington. The Pentagon expanded its Chinese military companies list. The Iranian PLC attack campaign against US water and energy is now specifically attributed to Rockwell Automation Allen-Bradley targeting. - **Iran's 30 missiles and Israel's strike on Tehran** — IRGC launched ~30 ballistic missiles at Ramat David airbase Sunday night, framed as response to Tyre and Nabatieh casualties; Israel intercepted with brush-fire debris damage only; Israeli strikes on Tehran and Isfahan followed; both pledged "on hold" by Monday - **Apache helicopter down near Hormuz** — US Army Apache crashed in the Strait of Hormuz Tuesday morning; both crew "fine" per Trump; Trump simultaneously expressed optimism on Iran negotiations; attribution not yet public - **Ukraine struck four Russian oil facilities Monday** — Grushovaya transshipment near Novorossiysk, Semykolodezkaya in Crimea, Krasny Yar Line in Volgograd; drone strike on the Moscow-to-Simferopol passenger train; Russia claimed 310 Ukrainian drones intercepted - **A year of OpenAI equity talks, Anthropic excluded** — Trump-OpenAI negotiations on federal equity have been running over a year; the framework is "donate not sell" into a Public Wealth Fund; Sam Altman pitched the concept; Anthropic explicitly NOT in talks because of the supply-chain-risk standing dispute - **OpenAI rebutted Anthropic's pause proposal** — OpenAI's published counter argues democratic governments not private labs must lead the coordination; Google, xAI, Meta, Mistral declined to comment; the coordinated industry pause Anthropic proposed is now structurally less likely - **Iran-Russia $25B nuclear cooperation deal** — signed June 4 while Iran is also negotiating the MOU framework with the United States; Tehran's parallel track demonstrates the hedge; the framework is competing not just with Iranian intransigence but with Iranian alternatives - **Pentagon Chinese blacklist expansion + Iranian PLC attack campaign** — Pentagon added several prominent Chinese businesses to the Chinese military companies list; CISA-EPA-FBI-NSA joint advisory identifies Rockwell Automation Allen-Bradley PLCs as the primary target of Iranian APT exploitation; activity ongoing since March 2026 More analysis at [Power Moves Before Policy Does](https://annardudley.substack.com).