K ꓘ 42 - Keeper Values by ADP

What this episode covers

Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball [https://twitter.com/PeteBBaseball]) and Chad (@ChadYoung [https://twitter.com/chadyoung]) do a little mock draft, but with a twist. Rather than drafting to build the best team, this draft is focused on keeper value. In this eight-round draft, players are taken with their current NFBC ADP [https://nfc.shgn.com/adp/baseball] attached with Chad and Pete trying to identify players who will be good keepers for 2023. The result is a combination of sleepers, breakouts, and other players who we expect to cost a lot more in 2023 than they do in 2022. Draft them now and you'll be thrilled to keep them next year. Join Pitcher List Plus [https://www.pitcherlist.com/plus/] and get an ad-free website and access to the Pitcher List Discord community, while supporting the podcast. Timestamps: 2:09 - The rules for the draft 5:34 - With the first overall pick, Pete bets on a bounceback from Alex Bregman, whose current ADP may be an overcorrection. 8:34 - Chad looks for a breakout with his first pick, taking Alejandro Kirk and his elite batted balls and solid plate discipline. 10:59 - Fantasy managers seem to be waiting for Jorge Polanco to prove his 2019 and 2021 are legit, but Chad is happy to take him with his second pick. 13:23 - Another MI off the board, as Pete grabs Gleyber Torres (still just 25 years old) with his second pick. 17:35 - More youth for Pete, as he fills first base with Alex Kirilloff, who underperformed his 2022 xStats. 19:57 - Finishing up the third, Chad takes Andrew Vaughn, who was solid if not spectacular despite making the leap from A-ball all the way to MLB. 23:36 - Kirilloff vs. Vaughn: Who ya got? 24:47 - Chad adds some power with Rhys Hoskins, who showed improvement in 2021 and could be primed for a breakout. 29:28 - Will Smith slots in behind the plate for Pete - could he be C1 this year? 34:38 - Pete just can't quit Brendan Rodgers, but there are real reasons for optimism. 38:19 - Fresh off a strong finish (pre-injury), Blake Snell is Chad's pick at SP. 41:17 - Chad finishes off his pitching staff with Ken Giles, who was elite when we last saw him and has a path to saves. 44:47 - Pete goes deep into ADP to take Trevor Larnach. Larnach is risky, but he's also basically free. 49:08 - At the other end of the spectrum, Sandy Alcantara is far from free, but there's still room for him to be a great keeper at this cost. 52:12 - He's been freed from Tropicana Field, but Willy Adames still comes cheap enough that Chad sees a lot of keeper value. 55:28 - Chad's last pick is Alec Bohm, whose 70 grade hit tool is too good to keep performing so poorly. 58:30 - Pete finishes up with Devin Williams, who may not be a closer immediately, but has elite skills and could be a big win for a patient manager. 1:01:44 - LIGHTNING ROUND! Chad and Pete offer quick thoughts on players who weren't taken in the draft, but could have been: Carson Kelly, Chris Taylor, Oneil Cruz, Trent Grisham, Frankie Montas, Camilo Doval, Trey Mancini

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