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两年内可能崩盘?历史告诉你财政危机会如何终结政权!|还在搞豆腐渣?12个字让他坐牢:中国言论自由现状!|中国债务炸弹倒计时?10万亿坏账即将引爆!20250815 episode artwork

EPISODE · Aug 18, 2025 · 1H 9M

两年内可能崩盘?历史告诉你财政危机会如何终结政权!|还在搞豆腐渣?12个字让他坐牢:中国言论自由现状!|中国债务炸弹倒计时?10万亿坏账即将引爆!20250815

from 翟山鹰Talk Show · host 翟山鹰

中共财政危机与清末类比清朝末年张之洞与载沣的对话,说明当时“有兵在”并未阻止清政府在两年后因财政危机和军饷拖欠而倒台。将此类比到当今中共:经济下滑、硬性支出庞大(军费、维稳、社保、农业补贴、债务利息等),财政入不敷出。军费占财政约 7%–10%,在经济下滑背景下极具压力,削减任何一项硬支出都可能引发系统性风险。中共已耗尽可变现的资产、信誉和资源,2025–2026 年或将迎来更大危机,政权崩塌可能性高。 “因言获罪”的现实案例湖南湘阴县普通居民肖新良,仅因网络评论“还在搞豆腐渣工程,统一招牌?”被认定“寻衅滋事”拘留 5 天。案件一审、二审均维持原判,背后原因是评论触动了县委书记的“一把手工程”,司法体系随之配合定罪。肖新良坚持上诉两年,在北京援助律师的帮助下,湖南省高级法院最终撤销处罚,并判赔 2,377.6 元人身自由赔偿,但精神损害与误工费诉求被拒绝。该案反映出中国社会中言论空间极度压缩,基层权力可轻易侵犯公民自由,司法体系普遍配合维稳而非伸张正义。中共在财政崩溃、权力固化和社会压迫的多重压力下,其统治模式与晚清极为相似,政权最终垮台是历史规律;而普通中国人在当下制度下,连12个字的质疑都可能付出沉重代价!

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两年内可能崩盘?历史告诉你财政危机会如何终结政权!|还在搞豆腐渣?12个字让他坐牢:中国言论自由现状!|中国债务炸弹倒计时?10万亿坏账即将引爆!20250815

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