Liquidity Godfather Warns Markets Face Perfect Storm As Cycle Turns

Interview recorded - 5th of March, 2026On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Howell. Michael is the Founder & Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital, now renamed GL Indexes.During our conversation we spoke about the current state of the economy, where we are at the liquidity cycle, buybacks to capex, geopolitical issues, government led economies and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:48 - Current outlook2:15 - Liquidity cycle4:00 - Changes to liquidity5:50 - Buybacks to capex7:51 - Geopolitical issue10:01 - China21:04 - Global business cycle24:38 - Government led economies30:40 - Outlook for markets34:28 - Continuing QT?36:30 - Debasement41:10 - One message to takeawayMichael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell -Website - https://app.slice-app.io/p/traders/CmklGohFrVNpFLeFOlrF23G53Eh2Twitter - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukSubstack - https://substack.com/@capitalwarsWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas