EPISODE · Feb 15, 2025 · 16 MIN
LOR7: Probability as propensity
from The Logic of Risk · host Pasquale Cirillo
In this episode, we move beyond the classical and frequentist definitions of probability to explore the propensity interpretation.We examine how Peirce and Popper viewed probability as an objective tendency of random phenomena.While this approach offers an interesting perspective, and it can be useful in fields like quantum mechanics, it also raises challenges, especially when dealing with single events. We also discuss historical bias and its impact on risk management and financial decision-making.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-logic-of-risk--6469023/support.
What this episode covers
In this episode, we move beyond the classical and frequentist definitions of probability to explore the propensity interpretation.We examine how Peirce and Popper viewed probability as an objective tendency of random phenomena.While this approach offers an interesting perspective, and it can be useful in fields like quantum mechanics, it also raises challenges, especially when dealing with single events. We also discuss historical bias and its impact on risk management and financial decision-making.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-logic-of-risk--6469023/support.
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LOR7: Probability as propensity
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