EPISODE · Mar 23, 2026 · 8 MIN
March 20-21 | Ledger Recap
from Prediction Markets HQ: Daily Sports · host Prediction Markets HQ | Daily Sports Betting, Kalshi & Polymarket Data
It is March 23, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.In this episode of the Ledger Recap, the team analyzes a 14-contract weekend that yielded a 64% win rate. We dive deep into the film room to scrutinize positions on Kalshi and Polymarket, including a successful Ty Jerome player prop and a nail-biting Wizards spread cover.The Gonzaga vs. Texas Post-Mortem: Why First Four survivors are systematically underpriced in tournament odds.Alpha Review: How to move from safe bets to high-conviction alternate lines for better payouts.Market Optionality: Using mid-game liquidity to manage risk on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.Whether you are tracking NBA player props or March Madness spreads, refining your algorithm is the key to long-term profitability. We examine why market conviction must match your aggression when placing bets.Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.Contact: [email protected]"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 Licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Read Transcript
What this episode covers
It is March 23, 2026, join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down the sharpest bets and odds in the market.In this episode of the Ledger Recap, the team analyzes a 14-contract weekend that yielded a 64% win rate. We dive deep into the film room to scrutinize positions on Kalshi and Polymarket, including a successful Ty Jerome player prop and a nail-biting Wizards spread cover.The Gonzaga vs. Texas Post-Mortem: Why First Four survivors are systematically underpriced in tournament odds.Alpha Review: How to move from safe bets to high-conviction alternate lines for better payouts.Market Optionality: Using mid-game liquidity to manage risk on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.Whether you are tracking NBA player props or March Madness spreads, refining your algorithm is the key to long-term profitability. We examine why market conviction must match your aggression when placing bets.Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.Contact: [email protected]"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 Licensehttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Read Transcript
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March 20-21 | Ledger Recap
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