EPISODE · Jul 17, 2025 · 55 MIN
MONETARY POLICY DISARRAY - BUILD WEEKLY ROUNDUP - 2025 WEEK #29
from Mine Print Hash · host Matt Dines and Cameron Otsuka
TL;DR: Dollar weakness reverses, new monetary policy disorder emerges, Bitcoin bullish.📄 SUMMARYDollar Reversal & Technical SetupMatt Dines outlines the dollar's worst start since 1973, with DXY hitting the lower bound of its post-2008 bullish channel. After testing support, dollar found footing and is showing reversal signs.- The sell-off driven by US "foreclosing on European gold" - physical delivery back to NY vaults - has paused (37:40)- Previous resistance becoming support indicates continuation of reversal pattern (38:40)- Dollar "wants to be bullish from here" within the established channel (38:57)Trial Balloon: Firing Powell & New Monetary PolicyTrump administration floated memo about firing Fed Chair Powell, causing immediate market reaction - dollar selloff, yield curve steepening. Matt calls this the new chaotic monetary policy approach.- "This new wave of monetary policy is not going to look like the polished, suit and tie, press conference... we've become used to from 1980 to 2024" (46:56)- Market reaction wasn't catastrophic - signaling feasibility of executing rate cuts (45:20)- Kevin Warsh floated as potential replacement, calling for new Treasury-Fed accord like 1951 (29:26)Rare Earth Metals & Strategic PositioningUS securing critical mineral supply chains through MP Materials deals with Department of Defense ($400M) and Apple. This addresses 100% import dependency vulnerability.- "If you don't have these rare earths, you don't have the magnets to produce drone fleets or hypersonic missiles" (14:24)- The real Achilles heel isn't toys from Philippines but metals at base layer of value chain (13:40)- Indonesia, India, China, UK all showing trade momentum despite media narrative (6:17)Crypto Week & Genius Act = Treasury DemandCongress's "crypto week" features Genius Act enabling stablecoin proliferation backed by T-bills. Matt sees this as the new monetary policy distribution mechanism.- "Someone is going to buy these stable coins and own them on their crypto wallets. That's going to be where your T-bill supply gets absorbed" (48:13)- Increased stablecoin supply will flow to Bitcoin-stablecoin trading pairs, driving BTC higher (51:35)- This represents "pouring concrete onto a new monetary standard for the future" (47:07)🔑 KEY TAKEAWAYS- Dollar reversal signals end of H1 2025 selloff - stay alert for rally within bullish channel- Embrace monetary policy "disorder" - chaos is the new toolkit replacing traditional Fed approach- Rare earth reshoring critical for national security - not just economic consideration- Genius Act creates structural Treasury bid through crypto rails, ultimately bullish Bitcoin- "Study Bitcoin... then start building your finances... towards that framework" (54:36)🔗 LINKS- 🎧 Subscribe to the Build Weekly Roundup: https://open.spotify.com/show/7bvfjkPjQ67Eugg8EYdoe5- 🌎 Build Asset Management: https://getbuilding.com- ⚓ Build Bond Innovation ETF: https://bfix.fund- 📈 Build Secured Income Fund I: https://buildbitcoin.com📱 SOCIAL MEDIA- Build Asset Management: https://twitter.com/BuildMarkets- Matt Dines: https://twitter.com/LeveredUSTs- Cameron Otsuka: https://twitter.com/CameronOtsuka- Dave Martin: https://twitter.com/DaveMSocial This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.mineprinthash.com
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MONETARY POLICY DISARRAY - BUILD WEEKLY ROUNDUP - 2025 WEEK #29
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