Nailed It

How can Iowa count votes so quickly and accurately, but in other states it takes weeks?  ITR takes one more look at election 2022, what is left to be decided in Iowa and across the country. The ITR Foundation Poll had the most consistent and most accurate data in the 2022 Election. In five of our polls over the course of the last year, we knew what was coming. In every race we tested, we nailed it. Governor Reynolds’ 19-point margin of victory was nearly identical to what was measured in the final October ITR Foundation Poll.   Based on our polling data, we knew that Senator Grassley’s re-election was never in doubt.  The average margin in our three polls of this matchup (11.3) was less than one point different from Grassley’s final margin of victory (12.1). When other polls tried to show Attorney General Tom Miller winning in a blowout, we had it right all along. In February, the ITR Foundation Poll was the first to show Brenna Bird with a lead over Attorney General Tom Miller. In every iteration of our poll, we had this as a very close race.