The underdog is howling This is steadfast and the bear. Oh, yes a home team getting points. What's better than that? Let's go it's here bear.
It's finally here plenty questions of it has When's the pod are you doing a March Madness pod? Really caught playing whether I need to have one of those pin tweets of one or next positive It's a good idea. I think I still have the the Clemson, Alabama pod is So that's why everybody's asking your fault. I can play for everything.
It's good. Oh, how we doing? All right? I'm fired up fired up to see as much as he is I have been with the daily wager Hope everybody's checking that out, but it's on a fun with Doug ESPN news 6 p.m Monday through Friday if you guys haven't had a chance if you want your daily itch Jordan Schultz those guys are killing it Preston Johnson killing it on the NBA just a lot of fun I know people just want to keep score about picks But the information those guys provide is totally different from what I think I what I do I know and you know you have your own you know way about but it's just good man We're just having fun talking games and everybody's just looking for that edge as uncle's right would say exactly as long as long as Someone's winning and someone's learning that's mainly that and like you said you and I I mean I'll use some of the analytics and some of the numbers when it comes to some of the adjusted efficiency individual Unit matchups against each other but between Preston and some other guys they they deep into the numbers often oftentimes with In ways that even I can't follow along and understand but you know what that's why they do this for a living and we just kind of Vang around and have fun.
Yeah, and most importantly we're gonna be out I'm our strip this week anyway Shout out to Danny Hamlin foundation take care of us and we'll be there for a fundraiser and can't say enough. Thanks Yeah, we'll be at Westgate on Friday and Saturday Friday and Saturday have fun. We'll be around Thursday to be around Thursday If I be around Friday night as well. We'll send out some cryptic tweets So you know here comes hi, that's what we're doing bears in charge of picking a restaurant He has more experience and right rails right rails Thursday for sure.
Okay, so that's got to be undecided All right, I don't know about Friday yet uncle Brent told me about this place at the D on Friday out of Detroit Ilianos or something like that. Okay, so sure we'll get another Italian place. Yeah, I got no problem with that I would like some Mexican in a mix somewhere. It's a good Mexican place in our area is there.
Yeah, sounds like breakfast sweet Yeah, so we're headed out. Um, Mara Mara Mara. All right. That's right.
Thanks again. That's exactly Every time I can never get it right. He's gonna hate us. Yeah, exactly.
Um, all right, so The week is here. I'm sorry I get crushed for this every year because I send out on championship week that championship weeks my favorite week because I think the Games are better. Sure. I think I have more of a side better opinion on the games Because also like no offense to you.
This is a highlight of my week right now is doing this pod on tournament Well, why would I let that why would I let that I would be offended by you saying being with me doing this pod is I let it happen. I got it to help from it But to me the letdown of yesterday is so enormous like you're just wired for games 24 seven from last I say Wednesday all the way through But now to get my thoughts, you know We do vampel is on Sunday night, you know to try and collect and we're sitting there after the brackets really saying what we know What's the lead here? You know usually it's who the hell sees this tournament now? There's also some seating problems and then I think that was it the story this day of all Michigan State Why don't you build an oven Marquette?
And Kansas and I was they look at those seats and look at what those what does that tell you it tells you that the seating was done By Saturday afternoon, you know what it tells me researchers in fonts and graphics people are lazy there because they don't want to change Just a thought out there all right, so we have the bracket I'm gonna move the big 10 the big 10 I think I'm telling you why you weren't you like secretly hoping that game is gonna go to triple overtime? Yeah, absolutely every year I am Bottom line So the bracket is set now I know this you know we started this pod with Chad back in a day and we literally went through the whole bracket I and you know I I'm always the guy that's gonna pick up sets like I want I want to pick up It's like I'm gonna pick up sets if I see an upset I'm gonna pick at the round before just to try and get some value there and in the points brackets this year I Can't I can't I can't do it. We'll go through the bracket with some first round things that we like some trendy underdogs But I just we're not gonna go game by game here that you know Go online there's money guys that bill is did the whole I watch them do a virtual bracket hour and 15 minutes You picked every single game on a touch screen. It was amazing.
No one else could do it It was incredible whenever he has to say on Cincinnati Iowa go with that The games in Columbus I will tell you that I didn't Tennessee fans are upset about having to play Cincinnati Hey, yeah, there get there worry about your first game. All right, so I'll ask you basically lost a home game in Nashville In stubborn mmm spending a lot of energy how good was that it was funny? I was there and I and I just breakfast with Dickie V. I did not get breakfast with a luncheon luncheon dinner Okay, did he pay of course he did okay, but I slipped him a card With about five minutes to go in that game on Saturday when I was back in fourth and I literally said I said Whoever wins this game.
This is this has been back and forth unbelievable energy unbelievable play Whoever wins this game better realize that today was not the SEC championship game is you can bet you know a lot Bruce Pearl Hovering or waiting tomorrow and our Comment a play mm-hmm. Hey, just give it out winner. We say nothing. You know Dickie V Seapers by the way I so cams on him I literally hopefully CBS can pick that up for their game.
I was literally a classic is always unbelievable. He's a mess A good mess. I love a lot of guy Alright, so we're gonna do this your favorite bet out of the whole thing We're gonna do picks towards the end but like we're looking at props our favorite sheet We did it last year was that Westgate prop sheet, you know conference total wins team total wins You know certain conferences to win the title or not my favorite bet I've been betting it for the last three weeks when Zion was injured just because I thought he might not come back with all the Politics that were involved but my favorite bet is actually going down I bet it twice at minus 350 during the regular season and now it's at 2 minus 250 the field versus Duke I'm a Duke fan. I think this is not a good draw I think they easily this is sound right they easily have the toughest road to the final floor Absolutely research looked it up the only time since the number one overall seed has been that's just the committee has announced since 16 years the only time a number one seed has had a four seed in their region that is beating them the year in that same season Was Indiana against the 2012 Kentucky team?
You remember on that crazy shot by Indiana that beat him on Saturday early in the year I just think it's a tough year and everybody's gonna talk about well Zion didn't play against Virginia Tech Well Virginia Tech's best player Robinson didn't play against Duke So I really like Virginia Tech out of that side of the bracket I obviously think Michigan State is Michigan State so I would pick Michigan State to go the final four out of this bracket And I see you guys make a back seat I thought if they get there they look I mean who knows what's gonna happen no no players to spend it They might just be too young and too talented to know or care that they're supposed to fold and be eliminated early in Yale Saying where's it let it because anybody do they are well they are and they how the heck did they nearly blow that game? I was there I was there great. I was a that was a major cog in a Saturday money line parlay I'm sitting there like are you kidding me? Are they really gonna blow this lead to Princeton and lose?
Maybe we'll get a little money line parlay from you Not today I don't think I could be doing on the fly here all right. We'll be something sorry I'm interrupting but no well. What is your price on the field versus Duke? I am minus 250 now I paid minus 350 two and a half three weeks ago now Can I offer you some advice sure maybe it's worth you playing the ACC versus the field?
It's minus one can both ways oh, yeah, I'm gonna win both that way you either win both or Duke wins Yeah, give it a little back. Yeah, that's I was gonna get to that a little later on my other prop That's what no I have a CC I love the ACC to win the title is minus 110 both ways so yeah, I was gonna jump on that later I'll give it out right now. I just think watching Duke every single game every minute this year We I know we get crushed for the coverage we get it but people seriously I he's exceeded my expectations and I'm as hard of a Duke fan as there is and that's talking about Zion obviously You saw in the ACC tournament what a bit difference maker. He is I just can't help but see We try and make Duke to be out this great shooting team as they were in two games I'm not very lucky in Virginia.
They're not and it's gonna be even worse in these arenas The games are not gonna be pretty for them offensively That's what I feel and that's what I see moving forward now They have the overall athletic ability to put the ball in the basket Which is what they did against Virginia the first time in Cameron when they just kept attacking the rim Which was incredible to watch but I just I don't see them when in a title because of the lack of of shooting and I still as good as Rekavitch and gold wire were in spot feels in that tournament. They're not guys. You can rely on so The field versus Duke ACC to win a title because I like Carolina and I like Virginia on the other side of bracket to get to the title Yeah, you're totally right though about for the number one overall seed. Yeah, the get Michigan State is your two LSU's freaky out athletically talented at three Virginia Tech now with Robinson And four is not gonna feel them in your own region and on the bottom side of the bracket Yeah, Gonzaga Who's the only team to beat him when they're in full strength this year?
Yeah, and Florida State who isn't scared of neither and should have won regular season meeting It's for the number one overall see that is not a set an easy path out of cake walk your best bets, sir My best bet I love it I'm usually not the type of guy who's gonna run out and in life five dollars on a prop whoa Yeah, but the big tango in the national championship is a solid no for me And it's open to 450 and it's been run up to five which isn't surprising I don't think Michigan State the way the team is constructed right now with the injuries that they've had and the draw I don't think they can win the national title and yet Michigan is the other two see that I Think they very easily can lose to Nevada or Florida in the second round Purdue with an a title threat in my book Wisconsin title for none of those teams are titled in my book So I would lay that five dollars with confidence and know that you're basically getting a a two-week little what I guess what? You bet 500 200 20% kind of yeah, yeah, you're the math guy all right That is very unlike you so that is pretty eye-opening for me here coming from you my man, okay? I mentioned why the bracket is not as Attractive to me this year when I'm you know filling filling you know the teams out and this gets me to my next favorite bet of the tournament And that is just pay attention here. Okay, the total number of seeds are adding up in the final four the over under is 11 and a half So obviously, you know, what is it now six years in a row?
We've had a six years in a row. We've had a seven-seater lower. Okay in the final four Okay, so that obviously went over and two straight years We've had exactly two that two number one seeds and since 2010 We've had 12 number one seeds reach the final four and eight number one seeds lose in the second round So in 35 or 40 years since seeding we've had zero one or two number one So probably five times in 40 years that we had more than two. Okay, we have purposes there This is pretty simple to me.
It's so top heavy to me I don't see anything lower than a two-seat going to the final four really I really don't Michigan, I don't know how he do it. I don't know how he does it. He does it every year you watch them They don't blow you away like they have to be the most boring team to watch in pregame like layups like they don't have any Guys that are like throwing alley-ups to each other just knocking down shots probably working on ball handling, you know But they you know they spread you out they get there last year they hit the unbelievable shot And you know you got Gonzaga. I love Chris beard.
He's probably my favorite coach at college basketball They got a brutal stretch of front ahead of him now We had him on the show you know, I thought it was really cool because he talked about you know a couple years ago He was little rockin went and beat Purdue, you know now he said they celebrated they watched the drawing and they went back in the room Just players and coaches and he told the story about what he told the steam when he was a little rock going up against the big boys So I just they got it. They got a lot of stuff in front of him and they're not trustworthy enough to me offensively Yeah, you know, so that and I'm rooting for man like the story is awesome I mean who the heck says takes the job at Las Vegas and says no, I'm gonna love it. That's an original guy I mentioned I don't like Duke I like Michigan State there even if I you get the four-seater to three you still have some room to play with the one It's hardest for me is Kentucky or Carolina. That's the game That's amazing and the one thing I wanted going in the tournament was Tennessee and Virginia to be in the final four That cannot happen.
I think those are two best stories in the sport this year and it's a shame I just want Virginia because no one could have handled what happened last year better than Tony Bennett and that lost the UMBC I do like Virginia there I think Tennessee has a tougher road than people think but that I don't see I think the threes and the fours are pretty below average over there Three actually like the sevens and attends better I think those are tougher games for the twos on that side So when I add this up I got what do I have I have a two a two a one and a one so that's six Yeah, I mean you need to have a little like I was looking at vodka maybe that's the upset bracket I said that gives you room where if you got a four you're still But I already have a two there and then I have if it's not Carolina winning it I think I have Kentucky so that's the difference a one there too That's the one region where I think I in your pools out that you don't want to pick all the ones versus two is in the lead It's never happened where you've had all four regional finals be one versus two and I don't think it's gonna But that's the one region that I think ultimately you will get number one Carolina number two Kentucky I'm gonna skip ahead and give a little bit of a I like both of those teams over the winter both of their individual win totals are two and a half For the tournament Kentucky's two and a half North Carolina's two and a half. I would be shocked I would be extremely surprised if we were not looking in a couple weeks and seeing in talking in North Carolina playing That's your best bet for a lead matchup right out of any bracket. Yeah, Utah State and or Washington's not being North Carolina What what for in Seton Hall? I guess in Hall could get hot me in but I don't think so But you hit on it before the threes and the fours on that side of the bracket are super weak I think the Iowa State is a six is very beatable is well I don't see on that side.
I think one risk to in the Midwest is where you're ultimately gonna come so two individual team totals there And Kucky over two and a half. I think it's like plus one ten on Kentucky in Carolina I think it's like minus one sixty or one eighty so two teams are definitely are gonna lose the first round and Shouldn't lose in the second round and then have a very favorable sub-tweet so you like my under eleven and a half two See that's where I'm struggling. Okay because I've got a bomb here that you're like I final four. That's what you're telling me I do and I hold on you don't like Virginia Well, look into this way the last five years Huh the final four team to emerge from Virginia's region guy has been a seven-seater lower every single time I mean who would have thought last year that loyal to come in that region or years back or Michigan State would come out Is a ten seat?
I think they were the one or seven seat the South Carolina came out of one of the regions when as a low seed You can be or they won the title where was a seven-seat came out every year seven-seater lower has emerged from Virginia's bracket the last five years It's fine for look at you. You're your numbers in history So I do all right, so you're not with me on that no, I think You want to say that I can I can see right now Yeah, but I think there is a chance there and because of the three's and the fours a week Yeah, I think that's why I think that's why you could get you a six or a seven or an eight or a ten Like you look at the look at the West I don't know who I don't know who's gonna win the battle for it but I think the winner of that game could certainly be Michigan and I certainly think the winner of that game could potentially be Texas Tech or Buffalo or Arizona State or whoever gets through and Would either of those teams fear Gonzaga? I don't think so Would Florida Florida State is a four seed they've been dilated Gonzaga last year in the tournament We're to the elite eight Why wouldn't Florida State was lost twice in the last seven weeks to North Carolina and Duke? Why wouldn't why I'll give you a second one to one of my Florida State at six point one to win that region I think it's a great bit.
Yeah, and they may not heard Florida State could either They like the greatest very instame in the strong every year They will either lose to Vermont or they could go to the final four and that goes with the number was I think Florida States last 15 NCAA tournament games the underdog is 14 and one against a number you had it 11 at right that's what the holes are that's sick and it's crazy It's unbelievable so we're taking Vermont you can probably take for you It's in Harvard take for mom plus the point for artists. What you take from mom plus the point scare me beat on there getting a crowd Go that's gonna be the that's what I'm most disappointed about this weekend They're not gonna be there playing there and we're gonna be out there and we're not gonna get to see my man We're gonna have more fun. We will I promise you all right all right, so you're not with me on that I'm not with you okay. I wouldn't necessarily play the other side, but I'd be very hesitant You want to take my you take my you sit on my action there you would you would I got that feeling and it's a good thing about the one Seed prop two the one seed prop at Westgate over under one number one seeds of the final four is one and a half minus one 90 that seems like that screams obvious Although be at least two number one seeds there that is the ultimate like red flag sirens going off stay away that they're basically saying Oh, she's go ahead.
It's a two number one seed so they're we'll win go ahead and take it that screams stay away All right, they're not on the chalk give me give me a conference Number total wins that you love over under big East is three and a half and under is I think minus 140 I think if you look at the teams in the big East Yes, right under one of 140 Marquette St. John's seat in Hall and Villanova There's a chance zero is the number I think Marquette with Howard being injured against Murray State They very easily could lose that game and probably wouldn't win their up their second round game against Warren State as long as No, survive Murray State. Mm-hmm. I'm daily wager on Monday night.
I gave that Arizona State against John's it I think I was in state will beat St. John's I think they'll be out Seton Hall Wofford is a total is a toss-up. I can't wait that's interesting I initially thought Wofford was gonna be a very trendy pick there But it seems like Seton Hall is gotten a majority of the early money I think the pirates could win that game, but I don't think they're gonna be Kentucky in the next round and then Villanova Buddy of mine who is really good with numbers sent me a little couple of its information yesterday and St Mary's really defends the three well and Villanova is a team that was reliant on the three And if they play the three as well as they did against Gonzaga. I got a great score is well I'm not going to love mmm.
They say Mary's could potentially pull it up set there I mean there is a chance the big use the number might be zero wait that game scares me because I watch St Mary's a lot this year. I wanted to think I think they I wanted to be fake I wanted to fade St Mary's every which way possible any tech there in my buddy I'm like I can't wait to bet against the scene next week and here they are with the match up that is kind of favorable for them Yeah, because of the style that Villanova plays to slow down, you know work the offense You know you mentioned relying on the threes. I just think Villanova's so much better Defensively than anything same areas just seen besides Gonzaga like look at the I know they beat him in Gonzaga scored 47 points in the west coast Okay, fine. Look at the other two scores.
Oh the first game was completely to force first game was a complete Annihilate from the second game got totally out of hand, you know I just I don't I don't I it's what freaks me out more I people that I really respect that covered the sport and you know Weager on the sport half run one side and half run the other and they really like the side that they're on and that just like blows My when I hear that stuff like I'm just like get me as far away from this game as and that's yeah I don't know how like this is easy for me because I know when I'm out in Vegas for this game I'm not betting this and it just feels like I don't know maybe some friends that I have friends that I have There's we got to take somebody no we don't there's there 32 first round games and there are a million props and half time First half under by the way. Oh, I forgot to already I forgot to write down what what we were last year in the first I think it was something like 25 at 7 It was yeah, I think every single early session game one first half under fire member empty arenas clank Shooting lines here the ball and familiar as we head to the under 12 time out. It's 7 5 Texas A&M All right, so you're under big East let's get more of yours and my favorite conferences and we'll go through the bracket right after this All right, pair. Um, let's continue with yours.
You mentioned your favorite is no big 10 team will win a title minus 500 The big 10 total is for wins is 10 And a half I think okay 10 and a half. I would imagine you're not thinking I go I don't wonder okay in this this one as well. I don't like a lot of these first round matchups Iowa is A dog in Cincinnati Maryland. We don't know They're a pony every day they play the yeah, Belmont Yeah, we'll talk to Marilyn a little bit later So they very easily could lose that game and like you said Michigan is to see that I'll get bounced in second round Michigan state I don't think we'll lose in the second round but I think they potentially could have a tough sweet 16 game Minnesota's a big dog in fluable.
Well, I actually like a little bit How many times do you the team that really I should know they shouldn't be in there? How are they in in Western back? They're a completely different team and Iowa State part of the run of the big 12 tournament They really struggle down the stretch and I think I was it's gonna pick up some momentum Oh, they got hot in the big 12 and beat Kansas and blew him out and they're back now be careful there I like a lot of state I can't stand how the Ohio State narrative never included Western out of those games. They lost on the stretch that really bothered me And I think he's as good of a coach as we have in the country and I they scare the heck out of me in that first game against Iowa State as you mentioned and I always fall in love the big 12 team I just love that tournament and the motion that is in that building all the time It's mainly because of Kansas and Iowa State being involved being so close in seven straight years now either Kansas Where I was they just want that I think I know I was stage four six.
I think so yeah, I'd be wary But guys, I like that spot there and right there so getting back to that you know they produce the weakest of the three seeds that team I don't know how do you think how was how were they a three-seat? Do you think you could turn around or do you like no you just have that like I just switched there He's just gonna continue to try and shoot himself That's what it is because his good is really really good and it's I haven't seen it in a while I don't know how there are three seasons largest six four seats that that to me is Yeah, oh yeah, it was lazy graphics people and then Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Oregon, which is the another one I'm still waiting to hear someone pick Wisconsin Even though it's funny though with Oregon or back in luck there have been five times the conference AQ power five aq conference has gotten a double-digit seed so basically team I wasn't gonna get up until them four times It's been in the pack 12 all four times the pack 12 team That's the aq they'll double-digit seed one its first round game twice I got to the 16 those teams don't necessarily belong at the start then get hot when the powerful tournament get in It's carrying on in once again to turn me chum conference of champions. Don't forget people Alright, let's go move on down here. Let's go a little quicker through these pack 12 You just mentioned them over others one and a half you got three teams in what amount of money Could you have gotten the day Washington won the pack 12 for pack 12 teams and then say tournament?
Like if you said three that day You would have got a lot of money. That's what I thought it would be and I thought watching it. Yeah, I thought there was a State was gonna get it. I thought they get it.
I'm saying when Washington they clinched two weeks before this regular season ended Oh, I'm sorry. That was a one big league that day. I don't think anybody thought at that point There's a state had lost the last one Washington said at home corporate 20. Yeah, but this was after that because Washington You didn't want to use you in the opponent than night before they played out Stanford But anyway, it's three and a half.
I obviously you pick there's on a state in the playing game I don't care if they call it from the fourth or whatever. It's a playing game Pup up up up up up up up Washington I got some good numbers on them. I'll give you a game I'll give you at the end of their defense that guys in the research department get me on these metric numbers for daily wager I mean an explanation I can't just throw numbers. I'm a words guy need a great explanation So I have that at the end of the podcast I promise you and who's our other team?
Oh the ducks. Yep God they gotta be as public a double-digit dog as there is. I mean you talk to them So one and a half. What do you think I would go over you would I would I think I think Washington wins and I do I do I like I think that number is a little bit of an overreaction to the fact that they looked so bad at the end of the year And you hit on up for they clenched so early.
Yeah, that might have affected the bad. I play a scene that defensive scheme you did the Marrak a good player for Utah State. Yep, but that's a weak conference I think defensively not not seeing that zone of what Hopkins can do Good point. I think that's gonna effect I actually like you dub in this game and then if you can get either Arizona State or Oregon you're good.
I'm gonna give you those numbers for Washington right now. Um, they're block rate. You're doing the block rate I'm not good on the block. Can you combine the block rate?
It's a percentage of opponents 2.10 to that a team blocks Washington blocks one out every six shots of opponents takes from inside three point. That's right good. You know steel percentage, okay? Washington steel percentage is 13.4% This is basically saying Washington forces a turn on one of every four possessions Utah State will have the ball Utah State has not faced anything like that in the Mountain West nothing So it might not be pretty but if that line keeps going up, I think it's at three and a half plus I'm a son right so I would lean.
I mean Washington's gonna come out like a ball of fire. I think and that's gonna be a really good game Um, so I I just I'm too biased there bear. I'm too biased because I want to say over so bad But like last year I love there's on the state I killed on the over last year too and Arizona State just let me down So I think it rides on Arizona State tomorrow night because obviously you get in the chance with them. Um, I'm gonna say under I'm gonna say under that one.
Okay, uh smaller guys OVC. You got Belmont Temple tonight and Murray against Marquette and Hartford, which is my favorite first round matchup by far over under OVC wins One and a half. I like the over you do. Yeah, I think they both win the first game.
I think Belmont's gonna sweet 16 Very easily every year since we reinstated the first four games Yeah, we've had a team from that last four in that is one first run game got to the second round and a couple of them got to the 16 Clean Syracuse last year. I watched so much basketball during champion started with that Thursday before in Ohio Valley It'll be bigger because he's back that's back. He's good. He's good.
He's good. He's a freshman of the year to college And I'm worried the first time they play and I'm glad he didn't play it I am glad I haven't I haven't hear anything about the committee. It's a stud saying that that was a factor No, but I am glad that they put them in and hopefully hopefully they were watching and that came up in the course of the conversation Saying that it's 611 freshman who's great player It was on I was at Belmont didn't play big factor in the game with him They probably would have won the game and they still put it good good for doing that what I love about teams like Belmont And teams like Wofford that you watch all this ball during championship week They come down and they run something every single time and with these kids nowadays They're just not they don't have that discipline the detail where they got a guard for 30 seconds every time down the court And those teams make you do that and that's why I like those teams in this spot And that's why I wanted a team like Belmont in the tournament That's why I wanted Wofford in the tournament I wanted the lips come in the tournament obviously didn't get there and what Greensboro would have been in the tournament I work in that one the back 12 correct there with the team of gosh, so that's why I like those teams in the spot I'll go over OVC WCC you touch on Gonzaga St. Mary's are you leaning st.
Mary's yeah Any points or you think they can win I think they can win outright okay And the conference total is three and a half minutes now if you're worried about Gonzaga potentially losing to Florida State Not reaching the elite eight. Yeah, wouldn't it be better just to play St. Mary's on the money line against Villanova You're gonna get a much better price than minus 120 over three and a half of the conference and then if if St. Mary's does lose I mean you can you could money line exact if you wanted yeah, but I don't know if you were telling me I can play What's gonna?
Conference over three and a half minus 120 or just take St. Mary's in the money line against Villanova I might take St. Mary's in the money line against Villanova because I think there is a real chance Gonzaga loses to Florida Do you have odds on St. Mary's to the sweet 16?
We have a lot of I don't have a very team I have because I have a bunch of them from from Jay Westgate Superbook I don't see St. Mary's on here. Maybe the app has them better. I'm giving up a shameless plug for Westgate Superbook app right now Because if you like the over bet that bet St.
Mary's money line and bet in the go to the sweet 16 because they play the winner A Purdue old Dominion. That's a winnable game. Totally. So there you go.
Just keep betting big dogs screw it ACC to win the title. I already touched on that minus 110 Mountain West no same areas to make the sweet 16 So either telling you they're not even offering it because it's a winner. I saw a prop somewhere it's funny What is it each the last five years we've had an 11 seat make the sweet 16? Yeah, that's my Belmont Right.
Yeah, sure one of the one of the polling winners where you got St. Mary's where you got it. We got it. Oh, that's it.
Mm-hmm Is there is there a win is there a win total by 11 seats anywhere? I didn't see that I would guess I'm pinnacle or Chris somewhere else. Oh, you could find it Mountain West one and a half You got everybody's darling from last year in Nevada, and you got Utah State who we just touched on I don't like it I think you get one I don't like Nevada's matchup. I gave out Florida on daily wager yesterday I did I just think Florida's not gonna be wild one second.
They have athleticism to play with that guys Caroline is injured be practicing news. Yeah, he's gonna play but how how healthy is he gonna be man? He's so valuable to them and they are not a deep team How much in the tank do they have left how much can they muster up man? And I listen I love mustin that staff more than anything and there is good of a story as we've had in the sport the last couple seasons That's a tough tough matchup, man.
It really really is because Florida's I mean you talk about the other side Mike Why is it buttoned up as there is always so perfect dressed on the sideline? Everything's nice tight Oh, God make a good shots and they defend in the young kids have got a lot better They play the way they defend a three they play the way they did against LSU and Auburn and the That's why I you were talking about this before about picking if you like an upset I'm gonna pick it the round before yeah Whoever you think is going to win Nevada, Florida I would pick them in the second round against Michigan and move them through to the sweet 16 Okay, I just can't pick against the line. I'm sorry guys like nemesis So I just they were good to me last year I had a nice I had a nice future on them to do in the national championships there I was on a Total games a total game money night was able to pitch that off and make a nice little profit all right Let's get to the bracket. I'm looking at this I filled one out as soon as it was released and I'm gonna stick with a couple of these The bracket I would go with the upsets.
I have Murray and Vermont in the sweet. No, I have Vermont in the sweet 16 I have both those teams winning their first round games I don't think those are as trendy as other people obviously I like Irvine just because I've watched them a ton this year I can't really really struggles with the score. I know it reminds defensive team two and usually the power you know power five I thought this is a little smaller conference, but I don't know that games that games like It's insane. I was like 11 a.m.
Local 2 and Irvine is a deep team Stanford is one of their guards little man. They got work with his name is back healthy from an injury. They are deep They are rebound they defend and they're confident they're talking the paper like oh well We might we might just win the game easily. We wouldn't really be an upset and you go back and look There have been five instances where you've had a four seed favored by six points or fewer over 13 seed Those five those five but 13 seeds are four and one against the number with three outright wins It very easily could have been another outright win with all priso against Maryland a couple years ago The number is small for a reason because they know there's not that big of a difference They played last year in Manhattan and it was a nine-point game in the second half and then it got out of hand This Irvine team is 125 spots better and offensive rating offensive efficiency than they were a year ago This is a much better offensive team a deeper team a better defense.
I think they have not only a great shot at beating hand to state I think they got a great shot against the 16 So many did their homework. I think every 13 seed come Irvine northeastern Vermont and St. Louis I did see that's Han family like 11 against Virginia Tech right 10-1-1 Uh-huh I'm gonna go on a lot and there the CIA the colonial teams they play first round opponents really really yeah They're uh colonial is play teams tough in the first round. Yeah, you go back 18 of the last 22 I'd switch with this.
That's why I would I'd say I pulled it up to make sure I had it right Actually on Twitter 18 to last 22 first round games of all the colonial teams have ended either with C18 winning or single digit loss with 14 by five points of viewer This is a good league and Kansas is a four seed But the Kansas team that did like the body of work that had all those good wings early on With without a vacuum without a big guy. This is a completely different team and I give North Eastern They're a little trendy, but you think yeah, I say they're northeast and taking some money Yeah, I was taking some money Irvine's taking some money that I've read still like Irvine Yeah, but I still would be I still would lean towards taking North Eastern here. All right. Let's get to some value This is where I struggle because I'm not a big value guy.
You are but a good number to win your region Uh, let's go top left the east dukes of one parties at two LSU three Yeah, Votek four. What do you think I hit on it earlier with LSU with 12 to one? Again, okay, who knows what's ultimately gonna want happening is the Fisher Michigan Correct something like that these kids could come together and feel Slide it and maybe they're playing for for will wait who knows and the way they kind of gave that for a game away Maybe they bounce back. Maybe they make a run athletically.
They're not gonna take a pack seat to Michigan State or Duke It was waters and husbandry who was a freaking grown man. They got players and They could certainly get hot and win four games 12 to one. It's a good number. All right I like Virginia Tech I just they're not gonna be in scare me anything there to be Duke and I think they got the goods to do it Blackshire and Robinson or as good one two punches.
There are in that region and my other one would be Belmont I just think as a team their winlers unbelievable as a player and Rick bird as good a coach as there is the bottom part is You don't have to worry about playing Louisville and Sparta. You just got to play one of those and maybe LSU From athleticism gets knocked off what Belmont's as solid as there is man. Um, so value aspect. That's what I would do All right West yeah I get far to stand out already in two reasons why they're six to one to one the region So I was like I need to repeat any of that information cues Sure, why not love them.
I love sir. You might be my favorite first round pick. Uh, we'll touch on those Yeah, there's a good note about that I put it out about Scott true with Baylor versus single-digit So it's typically not that's not good typically. They don't they do not beat single-digit All right, I mean I get south Virginia's a one Tennessee's a two.
Oh, this is your jacket. Go ahead big curb Absolutely give me some all miss at 60 to want to win this region It's a team that lost a bunch of close games this year. They got a really good back court I think they could create enough tempo if need be if they were to look they could lose Oklahoma very easily But I think they were to beat Oklahoma. I think Virginia is rooting for Oklahoma I don't think they want to play all miss I think all miss can the people I think it's walking Virginia through to the 16 or the eight that is all piss is an extremely dangerous second round upon with Those guards you throw Kermit Davis in there that you pulled the big upset before With middle against Michigan State, I'd love to see what type of defense he throws Watching them.
They're like playing pre-on five offensively every time I don't know I had to play a mental game I could be totally wrong, but again. This is the Virginia region has been the hey I've been five years. I think the steam I scarred tissue on it I don't think that Florida State lost the way they looked in the way Florida State annihilated them last week It's gonna do them any favors mentally okay, I buyer beware I know the number the numbers and the metrics all Virginia's in the top five and yeah And offense and defense and they've only lost to Duke and Florida State I'd be careful I think all miss could be a very and we've had low SEC teams make runs before South Carolina was a seven I can talk you with an eight one year a Florida was a seven one year They play the seven ten South Carolina think South Carolina was ten right Florida was a seven like I got that flip But we've had SEC teams that were out there thoughts that have made made one of all we get to the final four last year We've had teams before the year book or right now like who would have asked you what all I'm going them the final four they're gonna They're gonna be who never I'm no one with no that's what this is like This is how you win these bracket pull you gotta take a stand take a chance and try and go a little contrarian in some spots and almost 61 I think it's worth a few bucks ride the lightning. I called him bracket bear yesterday on daily wage We're going bracket bear all week with steamed Vegas call him bracket bear all right, and then what would I do there?
Give me Cincinnati. Okay little mick feisty. Okay, I'm playing Columbus first of all. That would be my value play Alright in the Midwest man.
We both love Kentucky Carolina. We mentioned the two and a half wins Auburn You know what you're gonna get with Auburn And I know a lot of people like New Mexico State in that game and historically the Aggies have not done well When it comes to tournament, but we know what you know what you're gonna get with Auburn They're gonna take 30 to 35 threes if they hit 14 or 15 They're gonna win if they don't now again. They go we're hot on sides. We're hot on Sunday now You go to altitude against the deep New Mexico State team who knows but Again, we both like North Carolina Yeah, both like in tucky if I can get Kentucky a plus 300 to win this region right now if they were to play North Carolina in the Elite eight they're not gonna be plus 300 money on it It's starting so I would just take Kentucky right now plus 300 see where you're at when if Kentucky and Carolina were to play and figure it out then Okay, all right Very well, let's get to some first round picks.
We like we gave a couple out on daily wager Let's I gave out Florida already on that show. I'll be giving out Irvine Whatever that is plus the point this is a thing. It's down to four and a half now. Oh, that's getting five five five five five five Whatever I can't get it yet.
Whatever North Carolina's team total is give me that. I'm sorry. I own up You play no defense 120 is very possible and you have not seen anything like North Carolina. So that's gonna go up I mentioned I think Vermont and Murray face in the second round.
So I would take a shot with them plus the points I Really really hope Marcus ours is close to 100% because him against ji is gonna be unbelievable. Yeah, that's I mean They've joined about Murray they ain't backing down. That's that's gonna be fun. That's easily my most entertaining match-up to watch Your first round matchups.
Yeah, I don't know the game may have tipped already. I don't know if it has been I'll give you an I T special selection here. I I wouldn't be interested in laying it nine points with NC State at all in this first game Now maybe we're listening to this and they they've won and they've blown out Hofstra But they were the most vocal of the snubs obviously and this is a team that lost on their home court against Georgia Tech allowing a link to the floor slam dunk in the final second and again that they had to have to lose to a bad Georgia Tech team they went that game they're probably in This has all the makings of the team that wants no part of being there They feel like they should be somewhere else and Hofstra's an out-of-the-half point dog in 350 or 375 on the money line I Take Hofstra for a unit and maybe money line and perhaps here's my thoughts on the NIT If you take a favorite you're an F and 80 I'm not even kidding one second and if you take a dog money line them That's all I got to say about the NIT. I've done it way too long It's one of my favorite things in the world, but if you take a favorite, you're an absolute idiot.
We're really for problems We're all five wins. Okay, I work all right. Oh, okay. That's what we're rooting for keep it keep that in the back your thoughts people I mean obviously the money's there and you know We have the money the bets and the money, you know the percentages and all that stuff in your mind Do you feel organs the trendiest double digit dog to yes?
Yeah, not even close. Who'd you say second? Oh? The double digits.
Yeah, New Mexico State really yeah Wow, I haven't heard a lot of people pick Wafford. Yeah, I haven't seen earlier I thought that they were gonna be the buzz trendy Wafford the seven seed They'll I haven't heard much about that that game at all and the early money percentages is seen all which might be I don't know Yeah, but you know how people love the 512 how does this be staking a five? I was gonna say the one the one glad you said it is the one 12 seed that I haven't heard people talk about is Liberty We're trying to get it 12 come on. They're pretty good.
I Don't know but they're getting seven and a half points against a team that should be Exactly. They're both over over was that over seeded? Yes? Yikes, but if all those five 12 match ups, that's the one where I haven't heard boo about about the dog I've heard a lot of a lot of market Murray State obviously her to her like Donna Oregon, Wisconsin Liberty is the one 512 game that it's kind of Come on by the way side.
Remember last year all the five one. So we'll see. Yeah. Yeah, that's that's a great point Great point.
Um, what else you got for me? So better chance of the final four Sparty or Michigan. I say Sparty. Yeah, it's party because magic they played again Seriously, I wouldn't enjoy that Shake I'd be shaking like this on Monday night Imagine if I'm sitting there on Monday night, I got a roof for Virginia Avoid divorce papers being filed.
That would be great Um, well, I gave Arizona State like I see against St. John's They haven't played a lick of defense in the last month and I think after losing in the playing game last year I think I'll bounce back and win Two seed that goes the farthest I would take in Tucky. Yes Good chance Kentucky is the only two seat up Tennessee. I think you get to the I think you're talking Tennessee should both get to the eight You're gonna have to kill Tennessee nine times to beat them.
Yeah, they just I mean that was great comeback on set down eight with two fifty I think it was come back and win. I'm really talking to me. I'm talking was like stunned like after they get like how did we blow that Yeah, I don't know if it's Tennessee Virginia to go to the final four man. That is That's gonna be as tough a game to watch a losing team as I've ever watched because I want those teams so bad to go to final four Such good runs.
They've had so say Mary's I think say Mary's plus five. Okay. He's going over What do I want to take for a month? They won't how about least likely five playing a four in the second round So we so least the five seed most likely to lose that we rest four four seed like like Who would you bet on both fours and five's winning?
Most confident in both fours and five's that's tough That's a great prop. I would say probably Misty Liberty mistake Vatek Yeah, I think either Irvine or Oregon will win. Yeah, I think it's a good chance with Eastern could win people like New Mexico State. I don't know Murray State Marquette.
I know it. It's a great prop. Yeah, I like that. I have to bring that up a Reese I bring you a big try to feed him some stuff lately.
I almost ended the season. He's getting a little tired Other game first round games that I like can't remember what else I've given out here. I'm scrolling down now the board Oh, I like Ole Miss obviously I got one for you. He's Arkansas three seed to lose first I've been saying for two weeks probably Houston really more than bottom left Yeah, that's the other way.
It's funny. It's funny because that's why I said somebody asked me who what three see they liked more And I said Texas Tech has the potential to get to the eight. Yeah, but they also could lose in the round is six in the second round against Buffalo Okay, it's actually a cool note that I gave out Twitter as well to your own. We do here.
There have been 53 teams that have entered the NCAA tournament as a top three seed and ranked in the AP top 10 that began the year unranked only to have reached the final four So basically it's a lot of numbers What it's saying is if you didn't think a team was a national title contender or ranked before the you didn't think there Would be any good and all of a sudden they make this run and they're in the top 10 Buyer beware teams that are national title contenders typically don't emerge from nowhere Michigan pick the mold last year and made the title game for it We could open up the blown out in the blown out in the um Probably blown over yeah, and the one team did win the national title was you con the year that all hell broke loose and They got an unbelievable draw so unless something crazy happens. I'd be surprised Texas Tech were in the final four condiments, okay More games. I'm sorry. I like Ohio State gave Ohio State Versailles was late like all miss minus the one and a half.
I may be mentioned Washington plus a three three and a half Anything else and I never find plus the five we're good All right, we're good. We got a couple more shows to do Any questions if I said we'll touch on this and later in the pod we didn't get to it Please just you know on Twitter at San Francisco 82 at Chris Felica will be in Vegas will let you know what we're doing We'd love to say hi to as many people as you can bears down for as many selfies as you can take But the people Friday morning definitely Westgate cannot wait. That's a definite for us the other ones We will be in I'll be a West East all the way Friday all the Saturday one quick one on the way out Yeah, two big things. Okay, just came across.
Oh take Martell receives waiver from NCAA has been cleared to play in 2019 at Miami That's that's good and it's all that I need to comment on before you and that's good I had heard good. I was probably going to happen But I think after Justin Fields got his waiver basically for not beating out Jake from the starting quarterback Whether you like the really don't like the rule I didn't think there was really a case for either of them to be eligible But once they made fields eligible they kind of had no choice So you just blow the rule up get rid of it and move on all right, but that's big for me It is and with a new today off shore. I saw one point spread Florida minus eight and a half against the Keynes week one It sounds about right sounds about right they're gonna sell that game out right and beautiful downtown Orlando camping world I was there to think so or pretty close. I mean a couple tickets a game.
I think we're gonna come I would wonder now again. I'm just talking out loud here. I would think there's a really good chance called game You might be there really well, I believe the game was moved to kind of kick off the celebration of 150 Anniversary College football which is this year and that is typically the weekend that we do our college game The preview show okay, so I'm gonna have to run that up a lot of I'm glad about how about we do the preview show. I'll do the podcast from there, too On that Saturday no for Wednesday.
I don't think we'll be able to get to Orlando Wednesday to do the pot I think that'll I have a couple things all right We'll be all right the biggest dilemma with this now is if my plan comes to fruition That's super contest weekend so I'm gonna miss going to I'm gonna have to take a trip racquet bear my one trip to make half the week earlier to get our preseason stuff in Alright we're two weeks earlier Shout out to all the guys I have those private setups at sports books I was looking at one at the D private little man cave for TVs. It's nice been sold out since last April. That's great That's awesome. So everybody has a good time can't wait to see everybody and Remember just be careful with the NIT be careful be careful be sickening disease that NIT be careful with the big term as well Yes, all right Don't bet many any money you do not have and the less you bet the more you lose when you win