Neil Howe on the SpaceX IPO: Party Like It’s 1999? | Protect the Pile Episode 15

In this episode of Protect the Pile, Hedgeye Asset Management portfolio managers R. Patrick Kent, Sam Rahman, Brooks Cutright, and Neil Howe unpack whether today’s AI frenzy looks more like 1999, the railroad bubble, or something entirely new. The group debates market concentration, hyperscaler CapEx, AI commoditization, private-market excess, and how practitioners should navigate momentum without ignoring bubble risk. They also dive into SpaceX’s IPO, Starlink’s real business value, and the far-out promises embedded in the space economy.00:00 Welcome & episode setup01:00 Market backdrop: SpaceX IPO day, Iran deal chatter, and risk ranges02:16 Patrick’s macro notebook: quads, healthcare, rates, energy, and Mag 705:37 SpaceX IPO vibes and late-’90s market flashbacks10:47 Neil Howe on AI as a utility and historical bubble parallels15:03 Is this 1999? Valuations, IPO mania, and private-market excess23:04 Why today’s AI bubble is different: incumbents, backlash, and politics28:02 AI, railroads, monopolies, and the race to build the “God model”34:16 How practitioners manage AI exposure, momentum, and exit signals37:36 AI bottlenecks: networking, foundries, hyperscalers, and picks-and-shovels47:06 IP risk, web content, real-world AI models, and the bullish compute case52:08 SpaceX IPO deep dive: Starlink, lunar mass drivers, space data centers, and lockups01:01:05 Final thoughtsGet an investing edge on the enormous amount of money flowing into options every day, what they’re signaling, and the structural and behavioral trends driving markets higher or lower. The Market Situation Report™ includes access to a daily newsletter and weekly webcast featuring analysis of the Tier 1 Alpha team's proprietary models. CLICK HERE to check out our product page. Turn off that tired “Old Wall” TV and tune into The Macro Show, Hedgeye’s live daily broadcast featuring key market and economic insights, investing implications and interactive viewer Q&A. See for yourself why more and more investors in the U.S. and abroad have made this “must-see” market TV. We are live online every weekday morning at 9:00am ET. CLICK HERE to check out our product page.