New Year Resolutions for Mortgage Investors

In the first Convexity Pulse of 2026, Kirill Krylov kicks off the year assessing an MBS market that looks rich after a historically strong 2025. He walks through why spreads are tight across coupons and vintages, why inflows still matter more than valuations alone, and why investors will require deeper pool-level and out-of-index strategies in the year ahead. The episode also examines shifting housing policy priorities, the limits of rate relief, and why securitization rates may now pose more downside than upside risk for MBS supply.