Dominate your draft in 2024 with the Ultimate Draft Kit plus at ultimate draft kit.com. This is the one tool that will get you ready to go for your fantasy football drafts, all of our cheer rankings, all of our player projections down to the yards and the touchdowns, everything you need being updated, not some outdated magazine, but updated each and every day by our team, or sleepers, breakouts, busts and values and a whole lot more at ultimate draft kit.com. To the Fantasy Flip Molars Podcast with your host, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore and Mike Wright. Ah, welcome in.
Jason Moore is here. I'm Andy Holloway. And we're joined by a bear. Michael, be back tomorrow.
J-GRA is sitting in. They say if a bear is running at you, that you don't want to turn and run, they have a chase instinct, Jason, and that you should just yell at it and a lot of the time it is a fake charge. Unless that is a polar bear, in which case kill yourself because you're about to get eaten alive. I do believe there's no way to escape the polar bear charge.
Yeah, I just gave it to you. Yeah, no, without like a rocket pack or something. Um, what? Oh, no, he's got graphics.
Yeah, for those listening at home, one, sorry. Two, those graphics were pretty cool. Al Borland feeling very proud of himself. Very few opportunities with J-Graz.
Way to go. Thanks. J-Graz, if you're new to Shadow He won't help you much, but this show is focused on you and your team. And Jason and I are happy to be going through the Divisional Breakdown of the NFC South today.
We have a lot of fancy football news to talk about. We've got footballers news to catch you up on. And like I said, Michael, be back tomorrow. So, if you, you know, the tattoos will be returning.
Twitter at the FF Ballers. You follow Mike at FF at FFHITMAN. Jason at Jason FFL. I'm at Andy Holloway.
You can come see us live in Los Angeles August 24th at the Palace Theater. Tickets at ballerslive.com. There are still some tickets available for that live show. It's a 10th anniversary MEGALA show.
It's going to be a very special show. We would love to see you there. And then the Ultimate Draft Kit at Ultimate Draft Kit.com. Jason and I have made some tweaks over the last couple of days to certain players that I'm sure we'll discuss today.
But it's always alive. And you can get into the draft analyzer. You can import a team, see what we think about all of your position groups, and even what fancy football or your team aligns with the most. Yeah, this is the time to get access to all the tools and all the resources.
August is around the corner. Drafts are going to be here. Get a little bit ahead of your loser league mates who are going to wait until that August 21 ever draft. That's when Papa Josh buys it.
Right. Yeah, late August. Don't do that. Alright, a quick question actually comes in from our Apple podcast reviews.
I saw this come through from the AGO. But he had a good question. Said that I'm going to summarize this a little bit. Says that he just bought the UDK.
Has regretted nothing but has a question. Okay. Can you explain tier based drafting as it pertains to choosing between two positions in different tiers. And to be clear, our tier based rankings in the UDK.
The running back rankings. There's a tier one, tier two, tier three running back. This is a common question we get. And how does like a tier three running back compared to a tier three wide receiver?
How do you view those and can you explain that? Yeah. So tier based drafting, the way that we have always had this work best is you want to separate it positionally and you don't want to necessarily equate one tier to another. A tier three tight end doesn't mean that's the same as a tier three running back or a tier three wide receiver.
It's going to be different from league to league, right? Is your league three wide receivers starting? Then you know, tier two wide receivers might be more important than tier two running backs. The entire purpose and the theory behind it is what you're doing is you're looking at the value left at each position on the board when you are drafting.
You could say, I'm almost out of this tier at this position. Maybe I should focus there or you might look in certain rounds and say there's, you know, there's plenty of people in the same tier across all positions. Take whatever position works best for your team, but it helps you determine when to move away from a running back or when to pull the trigger on a running back because you're saying, basically, there's one or two of these guys left at this position. And that's it's positionally tiered, not across positions.
Well, and it might be worth, I don't know if we've ever talked about it this way, but like I'm looking at our UDK right now, tier four running backs is Henry, James Cook, Camara, mix in an agent. That's the buckets or the bucket, tier four bucket. Now those players, we have the ADP on there too. So we have where they're going normally, and that spans basically the top of the third to right now, I mean, Camara's going in the top of the fifth.
So if you combine the knowledge of the tier with where players are going, you might make that decision when you get into the fourth round saying, Hey, I know that tier four running backs are drying up. I don't want to end up with a tier five running back on my roster. Therefore, once I see three of these players go, I know it's my time to act. Yeah, but you also might say, Oh, but I see that this guy's going in the fifth round.
I'm in the fourth round. I could still get this tier and go elsewhere. So using both together is great. And we also have in UDK, we've got an ADP comparison tool so that you can see from platform to platform.
We were talking about Kyron Williams earlier today, the fact that like on underdog, he's middle of the third round. A lot of times when we're drafting on ESPN or sleeper, you know, he's a higher second round pick. Two out three on ESPN, two out five on sleeper and Yahoo, but an underdog where wide receivers are premium. He's discounted over there.
Right. And so there's a lot of different resources. But I think combining the tiers with ADP is probably your best way to end the draft with the those talent. Give me one name to look up on that comparison tool that you think will have variability across platforms.
Save your worthy. Okay. That's, you know, when you're talking about rookies and you're talking about, I want you to try to put underdog sleeper, ESPN, Yahoo, and order. Oh, come on.
All right. I think he's going the highest. I think underdog is highest. You're correct.
605. Because of variants, I would say sleeper is next. Yes. 704.
And then Yahoo and then he is. Yeah, you got it. 910 and 10. 0.6.
Now you're a cheater. So you might have it up on your screen, but no, no, that's good. Well, it's pretty easy when you talk about explosive rookies because rookies are going to be, I think the sharper crowd is usually on underdog this time of year. And then when you're talking about dynasty leads of people doing more rookie stuff, sleepers really overtaken that.
So you're going to have people on sleeper platform more attuned to rookies. I basically just went that smartest, smartest platform players. Well, no, no, no, no, no. That's, that's what you're doing the most of and win because mock drafts and stuff don't go live on on ESPN and Yahoo as soon as they are on sleepers.
Right. And underdog is not apples to apples with underdog. I always want to stress that because best ball is a different. We love having the data because we know how people are feeling about certain players, but broadly is how I look at underdog.
I look at broadly. We think that Xavier worthy is explosive worthy. Therefore, he's in the sixth round. Oh, worthy.
But I don't look at that as apples to apples. When we get into August, the, you know, people are going to catch up on ESPN. Xavier worthy is not going to go at 10.06 on ESPN in August. No, no, he won't.
But this time of year, that's, that's basically what I was saying. And also obviously it's a different game. It's an entirely different game on underdog because of the best ball nature. All right.
Let's jump into some news. News and notes from around the league. We actually have a lot to talk about here, Jason, because training camp starting baby. That's it.
Training camp is here. Joe Burrow fully cleared for contact ahead of training camp. Please be good. TJ Hockinson will begin on the PUP list.
Don't worry, man. Well ahead of schedule. Oh, that is the report. Kevin O'Connell said he's well ahead of schedule.
Yeah. Cause if you're ahead of schedule, you're on schedule now. If you want to be ahead of schedule, you got to be well. So you're saying if he's well ahead, he is ahead.
Could be. I think Hockinson could surprise with his activity and how soon he's back out there and the tight end position. I think he can get out there and contribute even if he's not at 100%. I would agree completely.
He could push the injury quicker. But I think you're going to see a little bit of like what happened with Javante. Devonta was not expected to be back week one. He got back early.
He lost a step. But at tight end, losing a step, you know, you're, you know, what is it going to be like eight, nine yards per reception if he's lost a step? Would you put Hockinson on your IR with a 10th round pick? Oh, 100%.
Yes. Okay. If I've gotten IR, that's the league where I'm willing to drop it. Jonathan books, Jonathan Brooks loves to read on the PUP list.
Some people call him Jonathan books. I mean, he's just such a scholar. Yeah. I mean, you and him.
That was quick. I mean, he's you had your coffee today. Oh, very nice. Jonathan Brooks will talk about him with the NFC South breakdown today, but starting on the pop.
I mean, he is going to be a risk. I mean, I know, I know you like taking him out trash. I know the Kyle took him in the last one, but he is going to be a risk. I think I think people's opinions on Cuba Hubbard are going to be all over the map.
I mean, that's probably somebody that he's going to be a massive risk. He's going to get off to a slow start. We're not even sure if he will be ready. Week one timeline.
He should be. I think he'll be out there. We will get off. He will get off to a slow start.
He will not be a contributor to start his career and he will be a fantastic player by the end of the season. What do you do with it? Because Cuba will be a free, maybe starting running back. Sure.
13th round pick. You're saying if you wanted to, I mean, if you're playing zero RB, right? Yeah, that's what I'm saying. And you know, you're going to the seventh, eighth, 10th round before you're grabbing running backs.
Cuba's a fine pick because what you're looking for is a lot of times you're looking for someone that could start strong because you're going to be the waiver wire minor. And so when injuries come, that's where your roster is going to be very vastly improved. Dave Canales did pretty good. Thanks for a shot by in the passing game.
That's part of why I love Jonathan Brooks. But if he's behind scheduled, then Cuba could be a real value early in the year. He was RB nine for six weeks. Stretch in the season last year.
What's this behind schedule talk? I said if he's not behind schedule. No one's behind schedule. Well, I mean, if he's not way ahead, I didn't hear him say he's way ahead.
Yeah, so he's right on schedule. Okay. Tucker craft on the PUP list for the Packers. Jane Reed will begin on the NFI.
Toe injury. You can watch him run all around camp. I he's fine. Yeah, Jane Reed's going to be just fine.
Giants place Theo Johnson on the PUP list to open camp tight end rookie. Darren Waller is retired. Theo Johnson was a fourth round pick. It's tough for rookie Titans to contribute.
Daniel Bellinger hanging out in the nasty boys. Yeah, if you're in some tight end premium and you want to just make a worthless pick. Jevon T. Williams, Smacki P.
Ryan, according to the Denver Post, Troy Rank believes that they could be battling for one spot in the backfield. Yeah, I mean, don't don't take this news because I saw some people over blowing this. This is a beat reporter's thought. You know, this is not from a team.
This is not from, you know, someone they've got to write. They got to write stories. And so it's like, maybe they're maybe they're battling for that last spot. He doesn't know.
This is not speculative. Yes, this is not. But it also he also believes that McLaughlin and Estimae are locks. Well, it makes sense.
They're both younger. They're both under contract longer term. I owe you a gobble gobble and you were real close with McLaughlin there. Oh, man.
That was my last time. You got me real good. You got me real good. I need to go back and watch it.
You were saying something. I don't remember. It was basically just that Estimae is a rookie. They drafted this year.
You expect him to make the roster. McLaughlin came on strong last year and he's under contract for some more years. So, Jevon T. and Samaje, if they only are going to carry three running backs on the roster, they'll be battling for it.
So it makes sense. Jevon T. is going to be on this. I will be blown away if Jevon T.
Williams is not on this roster. Cam Aker is signed by the Texans. Congratulations, ma'am. On a roster.
Just for another check or two before roster cuts. Rashid Shaheed won your contract. The Saints will be talking about him today as well. Any other news back there?
Drop me in? No, sir. Okay. Okay.
Okay. Take a quick break. Come back with the Divisional Breakdown. I'll be honest.
When you gobbled at the end of the last episode, two things happened. One, I wasn't sure how badly I spoke because right now I'm learning to speak with a fake tooth in my mouth. And two, you scared the living crap out of it. I noticed you were a little stalker.
I was pretty startled when it happened. I wasn't sure if you were going to pick the gobble hard. You're a guy who hits a hard gobble. Yeah, that's what they say.
Tell me that's true. Let's see. You didn't say that. I'm sorry.
I'm sorry. Let's get divisional. All right. We continue with the NFC Divisional Breakdown.
We got that started on Thursday last week. Or actually, was it Thursday? No, it was Saturday because Thursday we did a mock draft Saturday. We got to kick off with the NFC North talking all about those exciting high potential teams.
And now today's a different discussion with the NFC South Tampa Bay, New Orleans, Atlanta, Carolina. Looking at players, rookies, coaches, offensive changes, how things could function. We just talked about Dave Kanalas writing in Carolina. So there are changes.
And then there are some teams that made commitments to not change it because it worked last year. Like Tampa Bay brought some people back and want to reroll what they did. Sure. I mean, ironically, they lost Kanalas.
The person you just mentioned. He goes into division. He was their offensive coordinator. Entering the 18th week of the season.
There were three NFC South teams alive for the crown last year, if you remember. Tampa was eight and eight and Orleans was eight and eight Atlanta was seven and nine. And all four teams have an offensive coordinator. So it's not just Kanalas departing.
But that's wild. And all of them are young. Like Tampa, New Orleans, Atlanta, Carolina. They went out.
Back in New Orleans, Zach Robinson Atlanta. We'll talk a lot about that. Brad Isaac in Carolina and then Liam Cohen in Tampa. Yeah.
I mean, I think all fantasy managers love when there is a younger next generation. You know, you're going to get more passing. You're going to get more, you know, pre snap movement and it's going to be a faster pace of play. I mean, generically speaking, it's not the old world where, you know, Greg Roman going to come in here and slow it down and play defense and run the ball.
Here's something wild. All 32 NFL teams have a different offensive coordinator than who was in that position. In 2022. No, that's not Kyle.
Are you with us? That's impossible. I did my job. It's true.
It's true. But that was only two years ago, Kyle. You're telling me. We have a 24 year two years ago.
Every single offensive coordinator in the league is no longer in that job for that team. Correct. Wow. Yeah.
I'm trying to go through some of the like stalwart best offenses and you go to Buffalo and they changed last year and you go to Kansas City and like Nagi arrived, right? After the 2022 season. And so what's what about what about Ben Johnson? Kyle transition to him.
Yeah. Yeah, they did in 2022. I mean, I'm sure he's not got the entire league in front of his face right now. But, um, but that says something about how these off season.
Yeah, shows are going to go like that. If you're really good at the Ben Johnson, they wanted to hire him away this year. Yes. People wanted to hire him.
Bobby Slowa in Houston. They wanted to hire him away. Those are two people that had to choose. Wait, did you find his mom Johnson was the offensive coordinator?
He got the job in 2022. Yeah. Yeah. No, that's not a position.
Kyle's right there. What do you mean? Yeah, that's fair. If the transition happened in 22.
That means they had a change in 22, which means 2022 started with a different office. No, 2022 started with Ben Johnson. I thought you just said they transition. No Kyle.
Kyle got the job before the start of that season. He was the entire year. During the year. I get it.
I get it. I get it. What's it mid year? I mean, Kyle's not wrong on it.
He got the job in 2022. Yeah. Yeah. Mid year.
No, he got the whole season for 2022. He was the offensive coordinator for the longer year. Twenty two is okay. Give me a call.
I don't know. He was the OC. Look, I'm talking on this. Okay.
So if I asked you the offensive coordinator of Detroit was in February of 2022. Who was it? No one knows. Okay.
Okay. That's why I'm on his side. He also says you're a third in slide. Also, it is July.
That's me who it wasn't July. All right. I know that I don't know why. Do you have an opinion here?
I'll. Let's stay it out. Okay. Let's start with Tampa.
Tampa was nine and eight. They beat Philly in the wild card. That was a surprise. Lost to Detroit in the divisional round.
Went into the season with a six and a half win total. It was a good year for Tampa and admit good things for fantasy. Mike Evans was a my guy, believed in Baker's deep ball. He went out and put together a pretty consistent season.
They also had a pretty easy schedule. So they kind of, you know, this year, they're going in with eight and a half win Vegas prediction. Yeah. They have the first place scheduled this year because they won the vision, which means their first place games this year.
San Francisco, Baltimore and at Detroit. Their schedule is not quite as easy this season. What's nice is you do have some consistency there. You're not bringing another quarterback in.
That was one of the question marks around them last year. Mike Evans back in business. With Baker that connection was awesome last season. So that was one of the biggest fantasy football wins for you.
You could have streamed Baker at times and Mike Evans was was dynamic. He was one of the best receivers in the game. He was the fifth 30 year old wide receiver to finish top five since 2008. So Devontay was one of them.
Antonio Brown, Jordan Nelson, Brandon Marshall. That's not normal. That doesn't happen a lot. No.
I mean, he's a great wide receiver right now. You know, he's being drafted as a wide receiver 15. I think that's right around where he belongs. That seems fair.
You would expect him to kind of have a reroll of last season. The question reroll would be. The reroll of last season as far as you know, archetype usage talent. The question is touchdowns.
Last year, he had 13 receiving touchdowns. That's not that's not a very easily repeatable number. And so touchdown is the one thing that we talked about on the show. They're not a very sticky stat.
Now last four years, 13, 14, six, 13. Yeah, I was gonna say, now when you're Mike Evans, a little stickier. But it certainly, you know, if that goes down to eight touchdowns, which is a great season, it's not going to feel like the huge win that was last year. And also, he was much lower drafted last year.
Now, yeah, the flip side though. The flip side is Chris Godwin, who had, you know, 80 receptions, a thousand yards. We talked about him recently. But Chris Godwin only had what two touchdowns, two receiving touchdowns.
So Godwin was like awful. But if he goes to six or seven receiving touchdowns, which is definitely in his range of outcomes, I just started to wonder recently if Chris Godwin is undervalued. Or if you think he's just toast. I think we talked about this a little bit.
Toast is too strong. Bread. I don't generally compare players to bread. If you were to, I mean, what type of bread would he be?
If Godwin is what type of bread? What is Godwin? We gold. Oh, we gold.
Yeah. I mean, it's not like a pumpernickel or something. Yeah. I mean, you could, again, I don't generally compare them to bread.
I just look like, you know, you get bread from the bakery, right? Yeah. And when you crack it open, like Godwin, a few years ago, it was awesome. Yeah.
But it's been a while. And I mean, a long while, 2019, while since then it's not been great. I mean, he scored nine times in 2019 with Brady 120 targets. He's reliable.
He's going to catch a bunch of passes, but he's going to remind you of like, you know, hot, if he doesn't get him to the end zone, he's just going to be like Elijah Moore plus. They've talked about moving him back into the slot. He is a very good player in the slot. He'll be another year removed from that knee injury.
I think where he's going right now. Why don't you ever 37? I'm willing to take a shot here over there on him. I don't see you can be that guy.
I don't see, you know, a top 15 season coming in. But if you're talking about, you know, just a solid weekly flex option that you can get in the, you know, maybe the eighth round. I'm okay with that. Unsurprisingly, a Todd Bolz team was very good on the defensive side.
Fifth and points per game given up. Fifth against the rush. They were only 23rd and points per game scoring. So for fantasy, it's a little bit more of a distortion, right?
Cause were shot wide was amazing. Mike Evans was amazing. Baker Mayfield was a big surprise. And yet, you know, 23rd and points per game was not impressive.
They bring Baker back. He did not turn the ball over a bunch to let the defense keep them in games. And then he was pretty clutch at times. They only have nine targets vacated on this entire roster.
So we had teams like, what was it? The Chargers? Was that over 300? Yeah, the Chargers, the Bills, their teams with a taunt of vacant targets.
And then, you know, they've brought in, they drafted Jalen McMillan. He was a wide receiver. Yeah. A wide receiver.
And then they technically signed Sterling Shepherd if he makes the roster as well. Yeah. And Bucky Irving running back in the fourth round where shot by last year was the RB two from week seven on 22 opportunities again, 100 total yards plus an average 16 fantasy points, ran a million rounds. Not the most efficient runner.
And so I think that frequently, you know, Mike didn't like him because he wasn't giving you the metrics between the tackles that you wanted. But they also struggled on the offensive line. Like this was something that they struggled with last year. They had some injuries.
They don't go into the season projecting top 15 on the offensive line. But like, I think a lot of people want to know, well, the shoe drop on Rashad White. I think the shoe is going to drop a little bit, but he's being drafted as if the shoe dropped a little bit. He's running back 13.
He's not being drafted like they're running back to that, you know, he finished second half of last year with. I, you know, with Dave Canals leaving, there is a little bit of fear here that it's not going to be the same system. They're not going to check it down as much. They're not going to leave him on the field as much.
They drafted Bucky Irving, who is a talented pass catcher in his own right. I've seen the way that Bowles talks about Rashad White, how much he absolutely like he has a key, you know, core piece to the team and a core piece of the offense. He's going to still be a workhorse type of running back, but I could see it come back five or 10% this year. And if it does, Rashad White wasn't blowing us away last year.
He was just consistently getting a ton of work every week. And so it ended up working. You take some of that work away. I think, you know, Rashad White is a mediocre pick to me.
At his ADP? Yeah, I mean, running back 13, I think is near his ceiling. I like him. I like him because the consistency.
I don't care about Canals leaving when it comes to Rashad White. There was a comfort level between Baker and Rashad White last year. The offense isn't changing at all. I don't understand why you would pivot from what worked and White was the most reliable when it came to catch percentage in the league.
So in that regard, you know, is he going to be? I mean, what was this fantasy finish? He was running back seven last year, had nine total touchdowns and a cajillion targets in the RB two from week seven on. Yeah, I mean, I'm happy with him at ADP.
I took him. I think in our last draft and I wouldn't push it up. I wouldn't be striving to get him at a higher like in the third round, but I take him in the fourth. Godwin, you mentioned Godwin.
I'm very lukewarm on this team as a whole. As a whole, I think they over exceeded expectations last year, usually when those mediocre teams far exceed their expectations. They're the New York Giants two years ago, when they got the coach of the Year award and no one expected them to be as good as they were. And then they're like, yeah, we, you know, we are going to be good.
It's like, well, no, you're probably not. It's probably a good comp. So Tampa does feel like the Giants on the year before. The consolidation of targets for Shod White Mike Evans make it valuable for fantasy football.
But for for the most part, I think this team is not as good in 2024 as it was in 2023. New Orleans was nine and eight last year with a projected wind toll nine and a half going into the season now is down to seven and a half. And that's despite having the fifth easiest schedule for 2024. They were maybe the surprises you 10th and points per game last year under Derek.
It does. And I feel that way. They became the third team. This is from Richard Ebar since 2000 and I have a single running to have a running back with a single run of 20 plus yards in the season.
They had a player though. Take some Hill. So he didn't count. He did not count for that because I believe he had three runs of over 20 yards.
He tastes and he'll score a lot. I think maybe taste and he'll reason I didn't feel like their top 10 scoring offense. But they were because I didn't roll your eyes when taste and he'll score. Yeah, I do.
Because it's unpredictable and he just doesn't fit into your little box. Well, well said it. And also when you don't fit into my box, you don't end up on my lineup. And then yeah, nobody benefits from taste and he'll success ever.
Like it's very rare. Like most of the time he has out there plug him in every week or they're in best ball leagues. And draft them outside of that. Yeah, I mean, for the most part, you're like, Oh, there's the tight end one on the week that no one had.
Yeah. And then you chase it. Right. People chase it the next week when it doesn't happen.
Might surprise you for that running back room that's in the happening 20 yards runs. They are counting for 28 million against the cap, the running back room. Most in the NFL. That is the Camara contract as Jamal Williams's contract.
And that's an insane amount of money. I mean, the Panthers are number two, believe it or not. And that is almost half the amount. So that's this is one of the reasons why Alvin Camara in a contract reworking seemed possible.
This will happen. Click. Click could be taken over. Offensive coordinator.
Usually has, I mean, baby cubes. Usually has a great run scheme, but it's going to be really difficult with this office of line. They were the 23rd ranked at the end of last year, according to PFF start this year. They are the 30 second ranked.
And you just lost, uh, ram check? Yes, they did. They placed him on the iron. It was so funny.
I was reported because it was pop. Well, I couldn't tell if the team like they made a mistake. I couldn't tell if the reporters were saying the team goofed because what happens is he's a vested veteran. And so if you go at this time of year on the pop, you're ineligible to play again the rest of the season and they place him on the pop.
So he's done. He's gone for the year. But the way it was reported was like, wait, wait, was this breaking news to the Saints? Did they just find out that like, Oh, oh, crap.
We lost. We lost Ryan all year. Um, I'm going to give them the benefit of the day. They know what's going on.
Yeah. But still they lost him for the whole season. Their offensive line projects to be terrible. I think that could be as surprising.
That could be great news for album, Camara. It really could because the same way, Breece Hall behind an awful offensive line last year, just it's just, you know, check down, check down, check down the quarterbacks, you know, running for his life and the running back just leaks right through the leaky. Derek Carr loves a good check down. Yeah.
I mean, album Camara is going to have a ton of targets. And I think he's a wonderful value and fantasy football this year. He is going to be hit the worst version of album Camara. He's ever been on a per touch basis, just like he pretty much last year.
But his targets are going to be so high that for fantasy, any kind of happy PR full PPR, he's going to be very valuable. He's not being drafted like where's his ADP right now? He's in the fifth round. So you've got to spend a early fourth on Rashad wide or you can wait around for album Camara.
He probably had a similar view of them. I do. So tough offensive line situation, really uncreative offense. We want to see more motion from QB act this year.
Carr played better with two tight end sets. Joanne Johnson, I think had a, you know, it's tough when you look at the tight end room. You got Taysom Hill involved, Boston Rose there. Joanne Johnson, there was a lot of hype that he was hurt.
Then he ended strong, I believe he was a tight end nine, four and one for the last three fantasy relevant weeks. So if you started in congratulations, but he had a foot injury early in June, he's on the pop. So you know, if you want to play around with Taysom Hill, honestly, you can this year because there's a lot of rumors that he's going to use a lot more at the running back position. If that's the case, if he's actually integrated, you know, I think they're stopping the whole quarterback, you know, backup quarterback thing, in which case if he ends up with, you know, 20 extra carries for the course of the season, I mean, that's just more touches for your tight end.
Are you willing to take a late gamble on him or there's, I mean, would you take a maverick over a path for our youth when you're talking about, you know, the last round tight ends that you pulled the trigger on? Probably not. Yeah, I mean, I tried to talk myself. No, you did.
You did a good job. Jamal Williams, Kendrick Miller, and Taysom Hill will be factoring into the running game behind Camara. We talked about Kendrick Miller a little bit on the last show. The vibes have not been great from a consistency standpoint.
I brought up probably a month ago, this team loves Jamal Williams. Miller does not have good vibes right now in terms of carving out a reliable role. I'm not saying he doesn't fit some deep sleeper category because if Camaro went out, I think you would have to find explosiveness at the position and they might turn to him, but I don't think in the current healthy organization of this lineup, Kendrick Miller has a lot of room. I agree because I don't care where I will get everything and you've got a crumajan and Dennis Allen running the show.
You're a big. I'm a big anti-dennis Allen. I think he, you know, does not belong as a head coach in the NFL. He was gifted that by Sean Pete and he's still there for a minute.
And I think people are disappointed he is. Michael Thomas is going no more Michael Thomas. Oh, I forgot about that. Yeah, Jimmy grandpa.
Jimmy grandpa was gone. You don't owe me any more money. Man. Yeah, he's gone for a minute.
I'll bet he signs mid-season makes me and no more. James. Oh, that's sad. Like if our goes out for a player, too, you don't get to see James come in and slinging around for a lobby.
That was always fun, but. Yeah. So a lobby is the big question, Mark. He was actually, he was much better than you remember last year because there when you're drafted like him and Gary Wilson and these guys were drafted pretty high.
Second round picks, you're hoping that they take that step forward and they become this top five elite elite option. And he didn't. Chris O'Lavy finishes the water stream in 19. So it's like, Oh, that's disappointing, but he was actually an A in consistency.
He's very involved. He's the clear number one target in this offense, but you still need him to step forward in that role. This has to be an upgraded year. The touchdowns need to come.
He needs to get on the same page with their car, which they clearly were not for a lot of last season. I think it happens. I think that they, I think that they develop and he is closer to the wide receiver 12 than the wide receiver 19. I hope so.
It was a good summary. He is on the NFI list. So he was one of probably a bunch of players we could have mentioned in the news. He's not practicing right now.
But look, they don't, they don't have a lot of other options. So wide receiver, receipt to heat is there. If you play in a league that's going to have kick yard, yeah, I mean, he should be returning kicks in the new format. There'll be the wide receiver one you might in that format.
The one thing I saw in film last year was that Derek Carr and Chris Olave were occasionally out of sync and Derek are on the sideline in the game. Love taking shots to her. She's a he was one of the things that hasn't a lobby manager was really annoying is because there were a lot of deep shots that weren't going to allow it. Well, he was so insinquish.
He is so it's like, come on, car, you it's not that you can't do it. Just do it with the guy who wants you to do it. Just yeah, that's complete the complete passes to Olave down the field. That's what you're saying.
That is what I'm saying. All right, quick break back with another team. All right. Let's let's talk about Atlanta seven and ten last year came in with eight and a half wins as their projected win total this year is nine and a half.
And there's excitement, right? They have the easiest schedule according to Warren Sharp for 2024. That's the number one. That's what you're looking for.
So, you know, in honor of Michael Pinnock's Jr, we got him on the back wall today. Some lucky fan out there has assigned Kyle Borgannoni Michael Pinnock's Jr. jersey. So, Rahimorris, Zach Robinson.
Oh, Zach Morris. This coaching staff is led by Zach Morris. I guess more is that me and I wish it was like time. Zach Robinson was the head coach.
Current cousins. Decent coordinator. Welcome to the squad. Zach Robinson.
Welcome in. Don Elmooney, three years, 39 million. Ron De Elmore. They acquired him for Desmond Ritter.
Ritter's out the door. Arthur Smith. Al the door. Addition by subtraction for fantasy at least.
We hope, right? I mean, we are expecting better than the 25th ranked points per game offense, right? For sure. I mean, you know, the 11 personnel, league wide, last year it was it was insane how rarely the Atlanta Falcons used 11 personnel, which is free wide receivers on the field.
They were last in the league, 14 percent. The league average, you know, is well above that. If you look at the 11 personnel that the Rams have done, which is where Zach Robinson is coming from, you've got 92%, 90%, 89%, 84%. Like they are they are an explosive offense, obviously.
And this is really exciting for fantasy. This is this is where you're you get everything you want. You get a humongous quarterback upgrade. You get a humongous offensive coordinator.
How big is Kurt Guzzin? He's so large. He's humongous. He's the largest man I've ever seen.
You know, I a couple years ago had one of the things to remember episodes, which was these mediocre quarterbacks change your teams. Don't change. They don't fix it. They don't ever fix it.
And I included like their car in that style of a list. But the one guy I excluded from that, because I don't think he is an average quarterback is Kurt Cousins. I think he is an actual top 10 NFL quarterback. Now the Achilles injury, maybe that's a flag of scare that you don't want.
But if he's healthy, Kurt Cousins is an actual really good quarterback here that this offensive coordinator will be able to use to success. These and no setbacks you have for Kurt Cousins on the recovery, these situations are some of the hardest I think to sift through for fantasy players like the Win Souls at 9 and a half. And part of that is like they were not for fantasy. Arthur Smith was the worst, right?
Yeah, because of these and it was a talking point and be on and fits and it was a regular weekly talking point about how Arthur Smith is holding this oven's back because these weapons that we have, we need this to be fixed. Now the easy human nature thing to do is that when Arthur Smith leaves and Zach Robinson arrives, it's like it's fixed, right? Like you just have to switch this one man that does not run the football or do anything on the field. You switch him and everything, all of our dreams, all of our expectations for Kyle Pitts and Benjamin Robinson and Mooney and Cousins in the office, they're just fixed.
And it doesn't happen that way very often. Like in the off season, we have lots of changes that changes happen because you fail. Now this is a team that won seven games. They were not as bad with Arthur Smith in reality as we felt in fantasy.
Like they were four and six and one score games. They were in a lot of games. They were probably a winner too for Martha Smith staying there as the head coach. Yeah, I mean, usually when there is a big change at head coach or office coordinator, it does not just fix all that ails it.
That's why I'm saying this is like it's the perfect storm because it's not just the head coach or the office of coordinator. The fact that you're changing the quarterback quarterback is the number one thing. I don't care who that coaches. If Arthur Smith was still here and you add curt cousins to this lineup, I feel much better about Drake London.
I feel much better about Beijon Robinson. Now you do the addition of getting in a faster pace of play. This is a team of the top five-ish offensive line. So you've got the ability to protect the ability to run.
You've got weapons in definitely Drake London and then you hope Kyle Pitts, I expect huge things from this offense. And I think a lot of people do, but like signing up to the side of the zone. Like Beijon RB2 right now on ADP. Yep, he's my RB2 as well.
The Drake London discussion, we've had it a lot of times. In two years, he's got six touchdowns. He's had eight top 24 performances across two seasons. Darnal Mooney brought in to be a compliment.
And then you have Pitts and more and Dejan out of the backfield. Like as early as Drake London doesn't get as much volume as we'd like. I don't think so. I don't think there's a chance he doesn't get as much volume.
The wide receiver core is him and Darnal Mooney and Jack squat. He is going to have the target share. No, no, Rondale, more not Jack squat. Okay, I'm busted.
Yeah, Rondale Mooney is Jack squat. I mean Kyle Pitts is going to line up as a wide receiver. Yeah, that's fine. But my point is you don't have a lot of other people to soak up targets.
I can't imagine Drake London having like fewer than a 24 target market share. And if he's got that. Do you like Kyle Pitts? Because I feel like you're one like, you're one badge away from being a Falcons stand.