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Each office independently owned and operated. Hey, this is Patrick Mahomes, quarterback at the Kennedy Cheese, and you're listening to the Fantasy Footballer's podcast. To the Fantasy Footballer's podcast, with your host, Andy Holloway, Jason Moore, and Mike Wright. Oh, welcome in.
Mike Wright, Jason Moore, Andy Holloway, the Fantasy Footballer's back with you. The final divisional show, breaking down the NFC West today. And before we get started, before I say anything else, I think it is important that I take a moment. You're going to lead the show with this?
I just think that Jason doesn't know what's happening. I don't. No, I said baby. We checked the tape.
We checked the tape. And the truth shall set you free. I was so sure that I didn't say baby because Mike immediately said, oh, no, he said maybe. So he backed me up.
Mike knew what I meant when I said baby. He knew that I meant maybe when I said baby. But the important thing here is not that I was right, but it is that Sam Darnell has an official nickname. He is known forever forward as the sacrificial baby.
And he's got a baby face. So this makes sense. That's pretty good. And that's what I was doing on purpose.
Right. Thank you for giving us the sacrificial baby. I was so sure when I went to the tape that I was going to see how clearly I pronounced the M in maybe and there's just no mistaking it. There was no M.
And for those of you out there that I saw in the comments that were defending me Thank you for that. You're very loyal. You were wrong too. But I said baby you had the opportunity to listen to it multiple times.
We just we heard it live and had to make a snap judgment. If you have not yet listened to that wonderful episode when you're going to listen after this, enjoy. Yeah, there's more things that went on in that episode too that we found out. Apparently I whistled like an old prospector.
It was awesome. Yeah. This tooth is the gift that keeps on giving shouldn't be five, six more months until that's fixed. Thank you for joining us.
The ultimate draft can available right now a reminder go to ultimate draft kit.com. All of our premium rankings. All of our, you know, with tears and then we have sleepers, breakouts, busts and values. Got the draft analyzer tool.
We have a ton of resources. I just talked about the consistency tool where you can go and look at how consistent players are if you want to build your team based on, you know, you want to balance. You want some upside? You want to mitigate risk and we try to equip you to dominate on draft day with the ultimate draft kit.
So please take advantage of that. Our quick question of the day was submitted by Brian in the Bay Area. And it's a doozy. I have players that I like to put in what I call the James Conner tier is what he said.
And I would love to know how you view them for redraft this year. Keep trade cut. James Conner David Montgomery and Najee Harris. And then he says, thanks boys.
Hashtag dinner, butter for light. I think before we declare our keep trade cut here, I think it's worth the experience of going through how it goes right and how it goes wrong for each of them. So for James Conner, he has been dominant. He has literally been dominant the last couple of years when he's on the field that the offense should be better.
Tyler provides more scoring opportunities. He is the clear leader for David Montgomery should something happen to get with outgibs. He's got the maybe the best goal in opportunities in the entire league as it stands. And if something goes wrong for Gibbs, then you're talking about a guy who should be almost a top five weekly start and Najee, this is a team who has drastically improved the offensive line.
They brought in Arthur Smith, who we are worried about, you know, we love to make fun of, but his running schemes have always worked. They've been very powerful and Najee has lost weight this offseason, which we've wanted him to do for a while picking up the speed. So that's the good case. I found it for him.
That's the upside for all three of those guys. I'll let you guys handle the downside cases. Yeah, I mean, for James Conner, the downside is injury, in my opinion. It's not so much a threat from somebody else.
If you pay attention to Cardinals camp out here, one of the bigger discussions along with the wide receiver to for that team and who wins that competition is whether it's Michael Carter or Trey Benson as the backup for James Conner. So whenever you have debate on the backup of the start of the dominated, to me, it's about injury. It's about, you know, James Conner doesn't play full seasons very often. I mean, that's the downside.
And because you have a player in Trey Benson, in particular, that is capable, if you have an injury, you could see the workload diminished. And for the record, not very often is literally never. He has never won's plate of full season. You know, for Montgomery, Mike, I mean, I think we'd agree that the elevation of Jameer gives over the back half of the last season, the fact that he's the more electric back that they've already come out and said vocally, that they want to get in more work, you know, it puts Montgomery into a committee situation where you could only be happy when he scores a touchdown.
And then Najee, you know, the downside case for that is his lack of talent. That's like cases just like what you've seen. No, Jalen Warren's been the more explosive, effective back. Najee always benefits from high volume and so up the volume isn't that for Najee.
That's your down case. And you bring a cordial Patterson who will get six carries inside the five. You know, it's not going to be a ton, but if he vultures two touchdowns from Najee, that's going to change how you feel about it. I mean, for me, it's in order.
I'm keeping James Conner. I'm trading, David Montgomery, and I'm cutting Najee Harris. So for me, Najee is the least favorite of this group for myself. So he'll be the cut.
And whether you keep or trade Monty versus Connor is completely about what running back this is on your roster. I am going to rely on this as a starter weekend weekend. I actually want to James Conner. I know the health is the issue.
Maybe that won't happen, but he's starting this season healthy. If I am drafting this team and I'm like, okay, this is my third running back, then I want James Conner. I think he's going to score more points on a regular basis. But if he's my fourth running back or later, if I'm getting him, you know, he's dropping and I'm already loaded, then Monty's ceiling is way higher to me.
I don't think James Conner can do what Monty would do if Jimmy or Gibbs gets injured. So the way I break it down is I just I rank the offenses and then workload. So it, I think that the Cardinals are going to be one of the offenses that surprise people. We're going to get into them.
And James Conner is the clear starter. So to me, is the easy key. I'm like, I want Conner on my team. Like I guess my actually targeting.
Yes, he has a target of mine. In the sixth round, as the RB 19 is delightful. Between the other two guys, I think is harder because I think that they're, the floor for Montgomery is probably safer, but like he is the backup. Like it will be Jimmy or Gibbs as like, I think Jimmy or Gibbs will be like a high 50s, 60% compared to David Montgomery.
And like, Naji, it's fun. It's easy to tell jokes about Naji Harris, but he's been over a thousand rushing yards every year of his career. He is in a time-sirble, but he is still going to be, I think, the primary guy with the offensive line improving and the offense improving. I would put Naji as number two.
Now, if it's keep trade cuts, like have to play that game, I trade David Montgomery because it's value, sorry. But like the truth of how am I drafting these guys? It's Conner excited about it and that Naji reluctantly and then I am excited about Montgomery, but I just, I think the things going not nearly as well is I can see that path. Last year for what it's worth, rushing share, which is the percentage of the team's rushing attempts for running back attempts.
For running back attempts. Sorry. Conner was at 77% of the running back attempts. That's a great number.
Naji, while he only played 53% of snaps, was 63% of the running back attempts. Which is a good amount. But his magic reception numbers from that first year are gone. Warren is doing that.
And then Monty was actually third at 59% in that order. And over, after the bi-week, that number is down to 54%. I mean, they're interesting names. I think Jason brought a lot of good context to the way you look at where you're getting them in your dress.
Like I'm with you Mike. I'm actively, I would love to have James Conner as one of my starting running backs and just run that until I can't. The team is so behind him. But yeah, I mean, if it's best case, worst case for these guys, I think Monty and Conner's ceiling is pretty similar and Harris just doesn't, I just don't think he has that ceiling anymore.
Which, yeah, I can agree. Like Monty and Conner, I mean Conner of the LaBac half last year, Monty without Gibbs. Those are about top five, six bats. But what is Naji?
Without Warren? Yeah, no, it's got to be fair. It's much better. It's going to open the year and a much better.
Yeah. And I was going to say this for when we talk about the Cardinals, but since we're talking about Conner now, this is worth saying, like Kyler Murray came back in week 10. If you look at how James Conner did in the Kyler Murray offense, the 17 game pace, which was eight games, it was a large chunk. I have a season.
Yeah, the 17 game pace would have been 1436 rushing yards with 10.6 rushing touchdowns, another 40 receptions for 286 receiving yards with four receiving touchdowns. That's elite. James Conner was beating everybody last year. He had the third most forced missed tackles and third most runs of 10 plus yards, which is just wild.
Like because he's never ran past 22. Yeah, it was his best year. I mean, and he's getting better somehow. He's a weird player.
Yeah, I know. Good guy. Yeah. All right, let's talk some news news and notes from around the league.
Rehe Morris says Kirk Cousins has been medically cleared to return to the field. Here we go. Yep. We just talked about Atlanta a couple of shows ago.
Kirk Cousins is very important to what's going on for everybody else on that team. Not Portland Sun, Re structure, gave him some incentives, one point five million new incentives for the season. Mike Tomlin, Steelers head coach at Russell Wilson is dealing with a calf issue. So Justin Fields taking first team reps right now.
Oh, don't worry. I know. I know. I know.
I came into this off season thoroughly 100% convinced. In fact, I made dynasty trade offers for Justin Fields everywhere when they brought him and Russ and he was the backup here because I was. That's what happened. Yeah, I was thoroughly convinced that Justin Fields will take the steam over at some point because there's a well run organization.
It's really incredible traits that I think if you were to train and harness the best all Justin Fields, you should be able to do great with it. But it seems like from all the reports, not just like Tomlin talk about how Russ is going to be first and field at the backup. That's how we're going to start. But like that Russ has been out playing him has been good has been the leader.
Like I think he's the guy. And the problem is you go, okay, well, what about when they start losing games? They got Tomlin. They're not going to lose enough games to where they're forced.
Also, it also lose games with Justin Fields. That's one of the things he's done effectively. And I'm saying I'm not playing games with Justin Fields. You may not get reporting like this on other podcasts, but this is the fancy football.
So we must share that the report was Russell Wilson's dealing with a calf issue that he woke up with. Okay. That's just I mean, that's generally when I'm dealing with an issue, I wake up with it. I have it while I'm awake.
And then I also go to sleep with it. I'm imagining him waking up and just being like, yeah, I mean, we are the home of sitting injuries. Yeah. So sleeping injuries, not impossible.
I just didn't think he was to that age yet. I know exactly when that age happened where I was like, sleeping injuries are a real concern now. Andy had a sleeping injury. I did lose it.
Well, well, being asleep. So look, a lot of things happen while you're sleeping. Russ is looking everywhere for that calf. I mean, you eat spiders while you sleep, right?
That's the wise deal. Yeah. Um, Jamarjae is not practicing. Yeah.
And he wants more money. We had said yes or not yesterday that the previous show of we aren't sure what's going on. Like, is this a, was there a slight injury and they're going to work them in, but it's feeling more and more like money. Just to be clear, my dynasty team, I have secured contracts for almost every single player.
You sure. I don't need to work on, but everybody else. I mean, it has a new deal. You've done really well.
Now, Mike, give me some of your wide receivers in your dynasty team. Brandon, are you so my main wide receivers are Jamarjae, C. Lam, and Brandon, are you. So, which, uh, hold out, hold out, hold out or hold in, hold in.
Give the men his money. If you want to send them my way, I'll put them on the roster. We did talk about that of a possible, I send my player over you just so we can get the mojo. I'll give you a third rounder.
Yeah. And then I hold him for a bit. Yeah. Get him at the old.
Secure the bag and then you just give him back to me. I'm, but he keeps the third rounder. Yeah. Also for all listening, that would be called collusion is not actually legitimate thing.
I don't know that it's collusion. Two players colluding to do something together. Yeah. It makes our team better.
No, no, no, it's not collusion. It's not collusion. If I get the deal done, it's only collusion if it doesn't happen. No, I, it's like the old question we get over here of like, can I borrow a player for a week and play him?
He didn't play him. That's true. What's the colluding? All right.
Okay. Well, you'll have to pick it up in front of the Supreme Court of our league. Shane Steichen said he does not plan on limiting Anthony Richardson as a runner this season. I saw a quote of it was like, would you stop Steph Curry from shooting threes?
It's fair. It doesn't mean that Richardson stays healthy. No, but it means that when he plays, he'll be the best version of Anthony Richardson for your fantasy thing. I think that to be fair to that quote, three point is probably the safest of all the players.
Like it's not like, you know, it's like the, the, the retort there should be who's getting injured on the three. Hey, sometimes you know, you got dirty players like Bruce Bowen. They stick the leg out for you. I hated Bruce.
That's a super sick night. It's a super spurs. Yeah. Good job.
Super six spurs reference. I don't think I have any other news. How is everybody over there in Dusar's alley today? Is everybody doing okay?
Doing great. We've got the thumbs up from the Falcon because he's wearing 49ers gear head to toe. Just. He's got the hat.
So that's the celery. One of their Super Bowl losses got the shirt for the other super bowl loss. Oh, wait. You have some shoes.
You think you're losing it again this year? No, the nice thing about your outfit is it like it looks really nice. It doesn't look like just 40,000 vomit all over your clothing. True.
I mean, but he's excited about the NFC West breakdown that will get started within a minute here. We'll take a break. Come back with the NFC West. See how biased we are this year.
Okay. To be clear, you were mocking his clothing. Is that what was going on? Yeah.
Did you look at it? It's hideous. Yeah, it is actually you Falcon, you're a handsome guy. You look so.
That looks like we took all the 49er clip art and just threw it at a wall. Like nine or she's Andy. If not on right now, but I mean, I've been told that we're in a professional work environment. This is what he was wearing.
This is inappropriate to wear at a football game. Like that's not bad. Okay. Well, you're taking your shots early because you know when we have to project this division later on, I won't do it.
Ah, yeah, I, I don't think the Cardinals are going to end up on top. Last year they didn't. That's for sure. The 49ers 12 and five.
The Rams 10 and seven. The Seahawks nine and eight. And the Cardinals four and 13. I've been told I didn't hit the drop.
Let's get divisional. We're doing well today, everybody. Whoo. Today and every day.
All right. Well, fantasy wise, this division has a lot of intriguing players. And it's a lot of bringing guys back that delivered for you in fantasy the year before, like not a lot of turnover at core scale position players. There's some exciting players rookies wise coming into the division will start with San Francisco.
They went 12 and five obviously lost in the Super Bowl as now let you know. And 10 and a half was the wind total they were projected with last year. It's at 11 and a half this year. Wow.
That's a massive. That's a hard mark to beat. A lot of times when teams are, you know, scheduled for 11 and a half wins to start the season, they generally come in under. Now what if I told you that all 17 games are playing this year?
They are currently favored. I would say that that is more common. You think like when you're when you're projected for, you know, a few wins, you're often never projected for a win in any game and vice versa. But if you look at 11 plus win total since 2021, you had three teams that beat that and looks like about 10 that did not.
They they're favored by more than a point in almost what every game but one through the first 11 weeks. They play Kansas City at home in week seven. That's a one point line right now. But you know, number two in points per game last year, number two in total yards.
If you've been watching receiver on Netflix, you've gotten a up and close view of both D. Bo and George Kittle in the offense and the way things have worked in San Francisco. They were a machine when D. Bo was active and available last year.
And we know what Kyle Shanahan is all about. He's going to have an effective efficient offense. We know what Chris McCaffrey is all about. It's going to be the best fantasy player in your league if he stays healthy.
And this team's continuity is just outstanding. You know, you really didn't lose any of their positional pieces. So long as none of these water shivers are traded away. What about the locker room though, losing the sacrificial baby?
I think they, you know, maybe he was their sacrificial baby and it's going to be good juju for them. But they add, you know, rookie Pierce all first round wide receiver in the draft. Isaac Rindo, an athletic freak at running back who will be behind Elijah Mitchell and Jacob Cowing. I mean, they've just got depth of wide receiver.
They added a lot of offensive pieces. Now, you know, the problem right now is contractual, right? Like the Brandon Iu saga as of this recording, well, Williams is holding out. They're, you know, all pro left tackle.
And then the Brock Purdy story is going to be, you know, moving on into dynasty leagues and into the future. Their discount aisle is it's India. Like, you've got to write a check, a big one for Brock Purdy, which means this year's going to define a lot. He was the MVP favorite.
He was at minus 250 heading into week 16 last year. So he was so effective, so efficient, has all the weapons and for fantasy purposes, this is not a confusing team to break down, right? You have, I think the biggest question mark is Purdy and where he fits into the hierarchy of quarterbacks because D-Bo, Iu, McAnofree, we know what to do with those guys. I guess there's some discussion about George Kittle, but really George Kittle is a six round pick.
I've got no problem with his draft price. You're not going to get the consistency of those top three or four tight ends, but George Kittle will also win you weeks. George Kittle has been the one of the weirdest player for me. I've often said every month draft I've talked about, I want one of the top five tight ends, one of the five that could finish number one.
And I don't include George Kittle in there and I feel guilty for it every single time because I do think that is somehow within the range of outcomes for him. He is so talented. It showed an injury to one of the wide receivers happen or trade to one of those wide receivers happen. I mean, yeah, I mean, he was actually consistent last year for the first time in a while.
He obviously has big games. If you're watching the receiver documentary, you can see what kind of heart and soul he is of this team. And there's no one that's questioning the talent, right? We've said for years, if you were to swap Travis Kelsey and George Kittle on teams and make George Kittle the number one target in Andy Reid's offense, he'd be the number one tight end.
He's got that kind of talent. So I don't blame anyone. That's a good blocker. That's part of the problem.
That's the problem is he's in a system where they run the ball so well and he's so relied upon in that way. So through the first six weeks, this is to illustrate the floor in the first six weeks, he had a game of he was the tight end five at 12 and a half points, the tight end number one with over 26 points, but point six points, one point four, four point five, three point four. And it was it was more consistent over from weeks seven on, but it's just that's in there. If you're going to take the rival George Kittle, there's going to be weeks where he scores three or fewer points and you might lose because of that margin and it can be emotionally taxing.
So brought pretty. Not respected enough. Ninth round pick, QB 12 off the board. You guys know where he finished last year without looking?
I'm going to guess six. Is that a question mark at the end of that number? Six to eight years. That's your official guess.
I guess six. I guess six. You guys are good at your job. Oh, he was quarterback six.
I mean, that's really impressive. And right now, obviously being drafted nowhere near that he is currently ranked as our quarterback nine, 11 and 11. What was his touchdown rate last year? Outrageous.
Yeah, his two years has been seven percent. It was very, very high. However, the year prior, who's at seven point six, you don't expect him to stay in the state there. You certainly expect that even if he's very efficient, he would be like five and a half, maybe six percent.
So that should regress down. But he also threw the few passes or the 49ers did as a team. Yeah, 444. And so you could have his touchdown percentage come down.
There's volume go up and he can repeat this as a top 10 quarterback. It's always hard for me to pull the trigger on someone that's not a mobile rushing quarterback that's going to add at least like 250 and three on the ground. And Brock's not going to do that. You know, last year he played the full season other than week 18 and he only rushed for 144 yards.
But like we have the opening schedule certainly helps. But I think we have some excitement for what Jared Goff could do. And I mean, it's a similar situation where it's a high team. The passing attempts are lower.
Where's Goff going? He's going after that. Give me golf and give me deck. Because I want those three.
Yeah, golf is in the 10th. Golf is 10th. He's QB 14. Okay.
Brock Purdy is 905 is the QB 12. And where's that? Dak is seven. Seven th round is the quarterback nine.
Considering the draft prices, how would you order the? I think I might think that the best value is Brock. I think I go Brock, Dak off. I like all three.
I'll go Dak, Purdy, golf. I'll go Dak, Purdy, golf. But it like because Dak can, if last year happens anywhere close to that, it's Dak was a winning quarterback. He like he changed your roster.
But just highlighting of like both, both pretty and golf are in double digit rounds of like, you're in a who cares territory. And Purdy could be like a legitimate plug and play quarterback. The Los Angeles Rams were 10 and seven. They lost in the wildcard round last year.
They came in with just a six and a half wind total outperform that because of course, great head coach puts things together. This year, they're at eight and a half as a projected wind total. We saw the breakout of Kyron Williams last season. Remember, we spent part of the off season talking about Cam Aker's and the opportunity there.
When Kyron returned from IR and week 12, the Rams were number one in points per game, number two in yards per game, number two in red zone touchdown rate. And it wasn't just Kyron. It was also the incredible, unrepeatable rookie season of Pookanakua. And you talk about a later draft pick doing what he did.
You know, it's more vintage Rams, number one in pace of play, number seven in points per game. It was awesome. I told you that they are healthier coming into the start of the season and their defense lost maybe a top five all time defensive player. For fans of the playoffs, I mean, they just lost a corner to an ACL for the year.
Oh, the Rams. I know the Vikings did too. No, the Rams did. So, yeah, I mean, when you talk about there were 20th and the artists per game given up on the defensive side last year, and like you said, no Aaron Donald.
So they draft the Blake-Choram. A lot of conversation about Kyron. The involvement of Blake-Choram. I mean, Kyron's workload was not really a sustainable number.
He was a McCaffrey. Yeah, I mean, it was just out of this world. And it's something where there's room for Kyron to have help and still be an elite back, but he has to remain an efficient back. Yeah.
Charles Robinson of Yahoo Sports, who does great work, just reported yesterday that he believes Kyron Williams is the clear number one running back for the Rams heading into the season that Blake-Choram has been brought in to be a breather back. You know, if he's been there at camp, so if you're there and you're seeing this and you know what Kyron did last year, obviously health is an issue. He hasn't been able to stay healthy. He wasn't last year.
He missed the start of his career. But I am firmly. And they've talked about giving him breaks. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
He's not going to be 90% of snaps. No one should be. But I am firmly in a strong belief that Kyron is going to be a work horseback who will be on the field the vast majority of time catching the ball. Let me run near the end zone.
Let me ask you a question because I know how much you love Kyron. And it's a lot. But Kyron is not the kind of player where he's going in draft, so you get to wait around. You don't like if you're staring down, if you have the fourth pick in the draft, okay, or the fifth pick in the draft, you don't get to like wait until the second round to get Kyron.
You can in a lot of leagues. I mean, it'll be a little bit. No, no, if you're at 105, he's not making it. Zero precision.
I mean, have you seen it? Well, like an underdog, I get him almost every time that I'm in the third round, I'm getting him at the beginning of the third. Really? To say that there's zero chance he drops in the middle of second is not 105.
It's going to be very unlikely. That's all I'm saying. And it's 12 team league. If you're dropping at 105, you're talking about late second round.
I've never seen it. An underdog does not count for me. You're saying you want. I'm saying like, are you willing to take a shot at a player like that?
Not not overbeach on a breeze and obviously Christian McCaffrey. I'm going to find out the 104 up that high. I wouldn't take him over CD Lam, John Chase, like elite of the elites. That's what I was trying to get at.
If I'm near the back of the first, I'm willing to do that. But really, like right now, even on sleeper, his average draft position is 204. So that's average, which means he'll be going to the middle of the second on a regular basis. And it'd be risky, though, if Kyron is your target to gamble that he's going to make it better.
Sure. And, you know, we, you know, the kind of league format, obviously, but I guess I was curious how high you have Kyron ranked it and whether you're willing to make it. I haven't meant RB4. Back of the first is.
I don't want to be comfortable to me for Kyron. If people, like, if you are an RB person and you're just like, I'm not, I don't want CD Lam and like, I like to start with a running back and you're at the 105 106 and the other running backs have gone, it doesn't bother me to start that way. If you remember last year, Kyron Williams and half PPR scoring was at like 19.9 fantasy points. He was right there with Chris McCaffrey at that 20 level point running back three on a points per game basis was a he most at running back at 17 points a game.
This was a, this was a gap. This was every week helping you win your matchup. And that's what this offense can do. And we've seen it for a number of years with, you know, pretty much any plug and play player, like when, when Darnell Anderson, I have the numbers.
You got it. Yeah. You got it. Yeah.
Derral Henderson was on the Rams for four weeks last year off the street off the street to the Rams, not even in the full time guy. But this is what the Rams offense can do for you. Three of those four weeks, he was a top 24 running back, including a top 20 in two of them. 2022, the end of the season was when Camacres went insane.
Yes. Early obviously Rams running back is an incredible guy to have. If they have talent that really fits the scheme like Kyron even better. Do you have any concern about quorum yourself?
I don't. Pooka Nokua. I just spoke with somebody who, you know, knew the show right off the street asking questions about, I don't know if Pooka can do that. I don't know if he can do that again.
I want to take him. I don't know. You know, Cooper cop is there. He's got a little, little extra sugar on the contract.
So I don't know if Pooka can do that again. That those numbers are, they're not the kind of, they're not the kind of season that even the best receivers have every year, if that makes sense. Yeah. You don't go even Cooper cop and you know, you don't go a hundred for 1500 every year of your career generally, but you know, he was a wide receiver for last year as a rookie.
I think people don't. I think people feel nervous about pulling the trigger because you are a first round ADP right now, right? Yes. And at the wide receiver seven and I, I understand him over Kyron.
That's, that's where that discussion becomes really interesting to me because, you know, Pooka, if you had him last year, maybe you're the one that's tempted to take him there because you enjoyed the ride. Yeah. At the turn, I was just on a show talking about, they were like, okay, if you're at the 112, like, what are you looking at? And it's like, it's probably both Rams players.
So I think this happened to me in our, uh, one of our mock drafts and I couldn't do it. Like I didn't want to over invest in one team with my first and second pick. And maybe that's wrong, but that just feels like a game of probability, putting way too much of my, my equity into one team. And then when that happens, it, for me, it always ends up being Kyron.
Like I will take Kyron over Pooka every single time. What was your reaction to the wind tunnel being eight and a half? I was surprised it was that low. Um, but kind of how I reacted to, which speaks, I think to the defense.
Yeah. But I GM betting, uh, they are the number one heaviest bet on the over a few years. Across the Rams are the Rams are the Rams are, because we can see 89% of the bats come in on the over of eight and a half. Yeah.
And we know the offense has got injury dependency issues with, you know, you mentioned Kyron and then Cooper cups in her and Matthew Stafford, he goes out. Welcome to Jimmy G all over again. So there will be like, that's always a fear with Stafford, but you got to go in thinking you're going to get the best and not miss out on opportunity. Cooper cup.
You know, one of the things that you'll find in the UK is the red zone effectiveness of Cooper cup where more targets, receptions and touchdowns in the red zone than Pooka in the cool last year. And that's a, that's an area where Matthew Stafford and Cooper cup have a mind melt. You know, is that when they were when they were both on the field? Not total.
If you let me pull up all you talk about your perspective. So leave us total across the season. I do believe that would be pretty cool. Shocking stat.
When you talk about Pooka and right now, Pooka is going ahead of Karen Williams in in 80 P and I agree. I feel like I would rather have Karen Williams than Pooka. But with in wide receivers to me, Pooka is going in the exact right spot because right now he's going behind a J Brown and on Ron, Jamar Chase, Tyreek, Justin, like, okay, that so he's not, there's nobody that's like behind him to me. That's like you have to take.
Here's a guy's behind Pooka. Garrett Wilson could have a better season. He has never had as good a season as his rookie year has his own question marks. Marvin Harrison Jr.
We're going to talk about him in a minute. Awesome. But a rookie. A lot of question marks here.
You have to, yeah, you're like, you might be Pooka. Right. Yes, exactly. It could be a boat.
This is like, you know, you're hoping he has what Pooka has already done. So it for my taste, I mean, to Monte Adams, Drake, Lawrence, and Chris, that's the 80 P list. I'm like, yeah, if I want to watch a secret, that's exactly where I'm taking him. Nineteen targets for Cooper cup, 16 for Pooka in the red zone, 12 receptions for Cooper cup, 9 for Pooka, 4 times for Cooper cup, 3 for Pooka.
That was a total number, even though we missed time. So I think that highlights all the times we brought up. Oh, Cooper cup. My just, you know, you talk about a discount.
Yeah, if you if you want to round Cooper cup, if you're going to invest in two Rams, you could go kind of putting your first and second in the Rams, you could go second and fourth, grab a different first round pick and right, you know, be pretty okay there with any hidden value elsewhere beyond the big name. Marcus Robinson. I really believe to Marcus Robinson. If you're in a deep league, a double flex league, if you're playing best ball, he's one of the the best picks out there last year that that other wide will call it the other wide issue because sometimes Cooper cup wasn't there.
Even when Cooper cup was back to to out, well, start of the year pretty hot. I mean, this is this is a Sean McVay offense. They scheme these guys open and there's great quarterback here, but that role got taken over by Demarcus Robinson down the stretch. He was catching touchdowns like crazy, five straight double digit fantasy points from weeks 13 through 17.
He was I mean, it's not like he was winning people championships, but this is a relevant player on an offense that I want pieces of who is pretty much I believe he's undrafted in your average. Oh, yeah. My couple notes for the Rams are if I have Kyron Williams, Blake quorum is a priority for my team because I want no matter what I want Rams starting running back. I don't ensure very frequently in the draft, but Blake quorum is I'm doing it this year.
And then just look, this is I have to do it. So it's just in fleeting and passing enclosure here as guys, but the tight end ram position or the Rams tight end position needs to be discussed. The Tyler Higby, he destroyed his knee in the wildcard round. It seemed like Davis Allen was going to be in line to be that guy like replacement value Tyler Higby.
I was so excited. And then Colby Parkinson came in who has done nothing ever, but he has cashed gigantic checks that the Rams gave him. So if you want to follow the money, Parkinson is the bet. It's a tough one.
And hopefully you don't have to make that wager on either of these guys, but it's you need to at least be aware of their names. Totally disagree. I do not need to be aware. Okay.
I don't want to be aware. That's fine. Don't even make me think of them. End of week one week two when you're talking about who do I pick up at the tight end position?
I think we'll be talking about one of those two. If they didn't sign Colby Parkinson, I would 100% me just talk about how you have to pay attention to Davis Allen. He had like one opportunity and he took advantage of it. He was a rookie last year.
I was excited in dynasty leagues. He's the only name that I'll be concerned with. Colby Parkinson, I'm guessing plays ahead of him and makes Davis Allen irrelevant. Colby Parkinson, we've seen enough to know he's not going to be.
Yeah, this is year five. Yeah, he's not going to be a relevant weekly fantasy starter. So be aware of the name Davis Allen in case he comes out week one and does get seven targets then pick him up. Colby Parkinson's doing nothing, but he'll probably ruin Davis Allen.
Start of the season tough in Detroit in Arizona against San Francisco, your one home game and then back on the road against Chicago. 100 dogs in three of four to start the year. So you said you're surprised about the eight and a half wind total. That's started the year.
Maybe hurts him. I'm surprised that they are underdogs. I know they're on the road in Chicago, but I, you know, an unknown rookie quarterback. I would I would have expected the Rams to be favorite.
What's Chicago's wind total? I do. It's higher. It's as high as not higher than the Rams.
So then getting the home game, I would expect the bears to get the credit. Money believes in Caleb Williams. All right. There's defense to the other bears defenses is where my head was at.
But let's take a break, come back and talk about a team not coached for the first time in a long time by Pete Carroll. The Seahawks were nine and eight last year and they bid farewell to Pete Carroll. They were projected for eight and a half. They hit nine.
The first year is down to seven and a half. Well, they hit six. You know, I don't know. This is not a team that I believe in the way that I think you guys do.
It's the only team in the division with a brand new head coach and offensive coordinator situation going on. The pie ten is empty. Yeah. I mean, you know, Pete Carroll had a peach cobbler had a Mike Tomlin-esque impact on the team, where it seemed like the team talent wise shouldn't get as much out as he did.
And the projector for seven and a half, they're only favored in five of 17 weeks. So you're making a bet on new head coach and offensive coordinator and Geno Smith. And I'm not saying that that can't work, but the division is really hard. And when you're not favored very often, when you do have, you know, Mike, you've gone to bad for Geno Smith, not having his bad of a year last year.
And that's true. There are some metrics that back that up. But it also shows, you know, this is, I think it can go either way. And we get new head coaches every year and they don't all work out.
I just question the way this is going to go for Seattle and whether we see continuity and expectations. So go ahead. Point of clarity. You're saying when you say that you don't necessarily expect to go as well as we do or I do because I've talked about how excited I am.
Yeah, that is 100% fantasy football. I actually think this team is not going to be as good. Pete Carroll was a great head coach for NFL football, not great necessarily always for fantasy football. This was kind of like the Harbaugh, like they're going to run.
They're going to play defense above what they usually do. Now, they're defense stunk last year, right? They were, you know, they're defense. 31st in rushing yards for game 30th and total yards for game given up, 28th and points for game.
Which turned into then they were dead last in time of possession. Right. And I don't think that that gets better defensively from a personnel standpoint. Offensively, I do think that they have just a ton of talent.
You know, obviously they're all names we know, right? DK Metcalf is a stud. Tyler Locket is a veteran with great speed. Now you've got second year JSN in the mix.
You've got two great running backs and you see Seattle social media post, share post a JSN. Oh, yes. Camp highlight. Oh, the left handed grab is incredible.
And it was last off season. Yeah, it was a year old video. Whoops, it was a last off season video. Sorry, go on.
I didn't mean that. So there was just two outrageous. How does it happen? They don't have footage.
This, except it wasn't remember this. It was just like, check this out. Yeah, but I mean, I remember it. Yeah.
Yeah, it was last year. So Ryan Grab coming over the offensive coordinator. If the defense stinks and they've got to play catch up the way that they can talk all they want about running the ball and they have spoken a lot about wanting to run the ball, I don't think that that is going to be what plays out. This was the University of Washington team that had Roma Dunes, a Jalen Milan, had Jalen Polk and they used those three wide receivers in great ways.
And they comp very well here. And in fact, Ryan Grab has talked about them as comps. He's comped DK Metcalf to that O'Dunes a role. He's comped JSN to that Jalen Polk role.
So this isn't like me making this up. This is probably what's going to happen now, whether that's just the works from college to NFL is TBD, but it does excite me for the opportunity for more offensive output and less victories, if that makes sense, for fantasy football. I'm more skeptical because of this offensive line and trusting Gino Smith to perform with an offensive line that, you know, Ryan Grab it, Washington was like second in the entire nation in sacks, given up. You know, what happens when, you know, I could see Seattle kind of rerolling what happened last year where you're a little bit disappointed at all of the scale position players, even if they're more pass heavy.
I don't know if that's going to be what transpires. I like DK Metcalf's value. I have a hard time with the JSN, Lockett thing right now. I think Kenneth Walker is always piers or picking between the two of them.
I think just knowing how to make that bet. Yeah, just the belief that, you know, you're making a bet on a new offense and, and, um, Gino Smith. And so I guess I, let me, let me put it this way. If the season starts in five weeks in, title lock is really good.
Not surprise. If the season starts in five weeks in, Jason is really good. I'm not surprised. So because of that, I don't, I don't, you feel like you're out or you.
I'm out on those tips. You're, you're not going to sprinkle them in on a couple of. Where's the JSN 80P right now? Jason is wide receiver 47 in the middle of the night.
I'd sprinkle that. Okay. But I'm just saying like from a predictability standpoint, yeah, it's sprinkled that. That's pretty good.
You wouldn't sprinkle that. It's pretty good. We'll just drink it. Where's Lockett?
Not drafting. He's in the 11th round. Like why was your fifth question? Yeah.
Yeah. You sprinkle that. I don't think I'm gonna sprinkle that. You want to sprinkle that.
I don't want to watch in the calories on the sprinkles on that one. He said one bad year. And maybe that was last year. Maybe that was the last year.
Maybe it was the end. Until now. Maybe that was the beginning of the end of the lock it, but if it's not, I mean they paid him and he finished away. I had a days in fair.
You again, would you sprinkle that? I will not sprinkle that. Okay. All right.
Sir, I will not. Mike, I can't talk him into a sprinkle. I'll, I'll sprinkle. We're all sprinkling some mecha through the floors.
Yeah. I'm more fire-hosing mecha. I think mecha is one of those guys. You have been having to.
I just think it's not even that I believe he's going to have some top five season and you've got to draft him everywhere. It's just where he is being drafted. He's it's at his floor. It's at his floor.
Yeah. He's wide over 22. He's the clear cut one. He's outside of his rookie season.
He has never finished as low as the water. He's at the floor. If he ends up with the touchdowns that he basically should have had last year based on his utilization around the red zone, then he is in the top 12. So I just love him at the value.
I don't feel like I gave a ton of actionable advice because of my general lack of confidence in Geno Smith and the offensive line, which is now ranked 31st, by the way. And the least amount of money spent on it in the entire National Football League. So what happened to, I don't pretend to be a complete offensive line guru, but they had two, it was like two years ago, they had the rookies where it was like the tackles were awesome. The defensive line was going to be great.
And then all of a sudden, their offensive line sucked last year. And the reason it's cheap is because of that, they were able to have those great bookends as rookies, but they just suck or get injured. Yeah, they're dealt with injuries. Charles Cross, right?
But I'm hoping that that can rebound. Like if the potential just just two years ago, it was seen that the future of this offensive line is going to be really good. So the PFF expectation was really, really bad 31st. I know.
Here's the thing is, what was the identity with P. Carol? What was it generally? Generally the identity.