Normalcy Bias

Hosts Corey J. Mahler coreyjmahler.com @CoreyJMahler Woe aka Eschatologuy @treblewoe Tomorrow is not guaranteed. Much less so is tomorrow guaranteed to be the same as yesterday. And yet we, as human beings, have a tendency to think of the world as a sort of constant or given — we do not by nature adequately assess the likelihood of catastrophic or even merely significant change. This is not to say that we should be pessimists, alarmists, or paranoiacs; it is, however, to say that we should spend more time thinking about the information we encounter in our lives and what it means for us, for those entrusted to our care, and for our collective future. As men — specifically men, not just the generic sense — it is our duty to protect those whom God has entrusted to our care, and part of this is having an appropriate and accurate view of the world. In today’s episode, we discuss normalcy bias — what it is, why it matters, and how to counteract it. Everything, ultimately, is in God’s hands, but much work remains for us while it is still day. Subscribe to the podcast here. Show Notes James Stockdale (including his paradox) [Wikipedia] See Also Black Starting the Power Grid Practical Engineering [YouTube] Wikipedia NREL Further Reading I, Pencil by Leonard E. Read Parental Warnings None. Transcript The transcript for this episode can be found here Other transcripts can be found here Support the Podcast Recurring Donation One-Time Donation Cryptocurrency Donation Mahler’s: Throne.com Wish List | Amazon.com Wish List Woe’s Amazon.com Wish List The Stone Choir 2024 Challenge Coin Comments? Join the discussion on Telegram, visit the feedback form or comment below. function waitForElement(selector, callback) { const interval = setInterval(function() { const element = document.querySelector(selector); if (element) { clearInterval(interval); callback(element); } }, 100); // check every 100 milliseconds } function updateTranscriptLink(audioSrc) { const episodeNumber = extractNumber(audioSrc); if (episodeNumber) { const transcriptLink = document.querySelector('a.transcript-link'); if (transcriptLink) { transcriptLink.setAttribute('href', `/transcripts/transcript-episode-${episodeNumber}/`); } else { console.error('Transcript link not found.'); } } else { console.error('Episode number could not be extracted. The audio source was: ' + audioSrc); } } // Function to extract the number from the audio file name function extractNumber(src) { const match = src.match(/e(\d+)\.m4a/); return match ? match[1] : null; } // Start waiting for the audio element to appear in the DOM waitForElement('audio[src*="s.stone-choir.com"]', function(audioElement) { const audioSrc = audioElement.getAttribute('src'); updateTranscriptLink(audioSrc); });