EPISODE · Dec 18, 2025 · 5 MIN

O retorno superior é um mero acaso

from Lucas Ibee - Investimentos baseados em evidências · host Lucas Ibee

O gestor de fundos bate o mercado porque é brilhante ou porque a estatística diz que alguém teria que ter sorte?Neste episódio, exploramos o texto de Lucas IBEE para revelar uma verdade incômoda descoberta pelos lendários Eugene Fama e Kenneth French: a distribuição de retornos dos fundos profissionais é assustadoramente idêntica a uma distribuição totalmente aleatória.Descubra por que aquele gestor com histórico vencedor de 20 anos pode ser apenas um "ponto estatístico" que existiria mesmo sem habilidade nenhuma. E mais: entenda o cálculo chocante de Kenneth French que exige 64 anos de dados para provar competência real

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O retorno superior é um mero acaso

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