EPISODE · Feb 6, 2025 · 19 MIN
OH SH*T! The Bond Market Is Sending A MASSIVE Recession Warning
from Eurodollar University · host Jeff Snider
Bond yields have fallen sharply over the past two weeks, having now roundtripped the past two FOMC meetings, going all the way back to where they'd been before the "hawkish rate cut" in December. Latest data on the services economy go a long way to explaining why, with signs of one-offs and non-economic artificial factors more and more coming out of it.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg US Bond ‘Death Spiral’ Risk Brushed Aside by Foreign Fundshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-16/treasuries-death-spiral-risk-is-brushed-aside-by-foreign-fundsBloomberg Working Americans Turn to Food Banks as Fed Inflation Battle Drags Onhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-01-27/us-inflation-leads-families-to-struggle-for-food-fed-debates-rate-pathhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
What this episode covers
Bond yields have fallen sharply over the past two weeks, having now roundtripped the past two FOMC meetings, going all the way back to where they'd been before the "hawkish rate cut" in December. Latest data on the services economy go a long way to explaining why, with signs of one-offs and non-economic artificial factors more and more coming out of it.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg US Bond ‘Death Spiral’ Risk Brushed Aside by Foreign Fundshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-16/treasuries-death-spiral-risk-is-brushed-aside-by-foreign-fundsBloomberg Working Americans Turn to Food Banks as Fed Inflation Battle Drags Onhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-01-27/us-inflation-leads-families-to-struggle-for-food-fed-debates-rate-pathhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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OH SH*T! The Bond Market Is Sending A MASSIVE Recession Warning
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