Oil, Gold and Conflict episode artwork

EPISODE · Jun 14, 2025 · 58 MIN

Oil, Gold and Conflict

from On The Markets · host 707 Media

Conflict in the Middle East, oil on the rise, gold’s up too.  Sadly, that could be a sentence accurately used in many different decades through time, and this week those all took center stage once again.  We take a look at their impact on the market at large this week as we go On The Markets. Join Sonoma Wealth Managing Principals Daren Blonski CFP® and Chris Sipes CFP® and Marketing Director Dano Weir this week to find out: How news of duel missile strikes in Iran and Israel hit the markets, and the larger historical context of how these events impact the long-term trajectory of the market. Expectations for gas prices and oil prices in light of the events. Do company earnings event matter anymore?  Or are we all just playing games with a moving line and numbers? A look at gold smoking all the major indexes this year, but also why gold might be telling us tensions could be calming sooner than later. 5:30 Inflation numbers 8:45 Effect of Middle East conflict on gas prices Who actually calls “a recession”? 16:10 Investor sentiment 16:50 Stock ownership % at an all-time high 19:09 Do earnings even matter anymore? 20:40 Did US small caps already have a recession? 22:18 Russell 2000 still underwater 25:24 Interest rates and inflation 27:11 Bonds so far this year 28:24 Tresuries as a recession indicator 30:17 Gold vs. Everybody 35:10 Why is geography important in this conflict 39:23 What are oil prices doing 45:20 S&P 500 heat map + explanation of support/resistance 54:16 What’s happening with Gold Take Sonoma Wealth's Free Wealth Analysis right here: https://sonomawealthadvisors.com/  Videos available on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLaOjL6z16wjV2_CTStzc36Y5JtiwhVoGJ ________________________  Disclosure: Fermata Advisors LLC is registered as an investment advisor with the SEC and only transacts business in states where it is properly registered or is excluded or exempted from registration requirements. This content was produced by Fermata Advisors, LLC, d/b/a Sonoma Wealth Advisors, d/b/a Fermata 401k, d/b/a Fermata Tax. The opinions expressed by Fermata Advisors, LLC on this show are their own. Information presented on this program is believed to be factual and up to date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy, and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed.  Discussions and answers to questions do not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice but are limited to the dissemination of general information.  A professional advisor should be consulted before implementing any of the options presented. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Information expressed does not take into account your specific situation or objectives, and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for any individual. Viewers and listeners are encouraged to seek advice from a qualified tax, legal, or investment adviser to determine whether any information presented may be suitable for their specific situation. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. 

Conflict in the Middle East, oil on the rise, gold’s up too.  Sadly, that could be a sentence accurately used in many different decades through time, and this week those all took center stage once again.  We take a look at their impact on the market at large this week as we go On The Markets. Join Sonoma Wealth Managing Principals Daren Blonski CFP® and Chris Sipes CFP® and Marketing Director Dano Weir this week to find out: How news of duel missile strikes in Iran and Israel hit the markets, and the larger historical context of how these events impact the long-term trajectory of the market. Expectations for gas prices and oil prices in light of the events. Do company earnings event matter anymore?  Or are we all just playing games with a moving line and numbers? A look at gold smoking all the major indexes this year, but also why gold might be telling us tensions could be calming sooner than later. 5:30 Inflation numbers 8:45 Effect of Middle East conflict on gas prices Who actually calls “a recession”? 16:10 Investor sentiment 16:50 Stock ownership % at an all-time high 19:09 Do earnings even matter anymore? 20:40 Did US small caps already have a recession? 22:18 Russell 2000 still underwater 25:24 Interest rates and inflation 27:11 Bonds so far this year 28:24 Tresuries as a recession indicator 30:17 Gold vs. Everybody 35:10 Why is geography important in this conflict 39:23 What are oil prices doing 45:20 S&P 500 heat map + explanation of support/resistance 54:16 What’s happening with Gold Take Sonoma Wealth's Free Wealth Analysis right here: https://sonomawealthadvisors.com/  Videos available on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLaOjL6z16wjV2_CTStzc36Y5JtiwhVoGJ ________________________  Disclosure: Fermata Advisors LLC is registered as an investment advisor with the SEC and only transacts business in states where it is properly registered or is excluded or exempted from registration requirements. This content was produced by Fermata Advisors, LLC, d/b/a Sonoma Wealth Advisors, d/b/a Fermata 401k, d/b/a Fermata Tax. The opinions expressed by Fermata Advisors, LLC on this show are their own. Information presented on this program is believed to be factual and up to date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy, and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed.  Discussions and answers to questions do not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice but are limited to the dissemination of general information.  A professional advisor should be consulted before implementing any of the options presented. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Information expressed does not take into account your specific situation or objectives, and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for any individual. Viewers and listeners are encouraged to seek advice from a qualified tax, legal, or investment adviser to determine whether any information presented may be suitable for their specific situation. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

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Oil, Gold and Conflict

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This episode was published on June 14, 2025.

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Conflict in the Middle East, oil on the rise, gold’s up too.  Sadly, that could be a sentence accurately used in many different decades through time, and this week those all took center stage once again.  We take a look at their impact on the market...

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