One BTC Monthly Close Decides Whether The Bear Market Is Over | Ep 49📈🤑

Good now revolutionaries— Market Watch 049 with Will hosting solo. Doug's on vacation at the Jersey Shore, so it's Will in a Pokemon shirt walking the whole book of charts and opening a live pack on Collector Crypt mid-show. The macro read heading into Wednesday's FOMC: bearish. Will opened a 25x BTC short on the 15-minute during the show — and immediately admitted "I wish I'd done that with less leverage just to not get stomped out."The line to remember on Bitcoin: **$63,686**. That's the 55-month exponential moving average. If BTC's monthly candle closes above it, Will says the bear market has turned. If not, expect a lower low before this is over. Ethereum target: $900 (about a 22% drop from where we are). Hyperliquid target: $45 — the 12-month EMA — with the near-term short setup from $71 down to $64. Gold is a short too. The S&P and NASDAQ look particularly ugly heading into the FOMC — NASDAQ already broke both the 12- and 21-week EMAs and has another 6.6% down to reconnect with the 55-week.The big education segment: Aavenomics. Roberto asked about Aave's new buyback policy — Will pulled up the announcement and the chart. Aavenomics ISN'T new. Same $50M/year buyback that's been running since October 2025, now hardened into an immutable protocol-level mechanism. Aave is still down 66% since that policy went live. Roberto later shared sources showing the cap increases to $117M annually with ~$134M in protocol + GHO revenue backing it (per Kulkachov). Will's rule of thumb: buyback programs under $100M/year don't move price. Under $50M really doesn't get the market excited.Also this episode: Ondo chart walk-through (bearish divergence on RSI, support at $0.288 or lower), HBAR adoption question (Will knows the Hedera team, calls them great people, but adoption's falling off on DeFi Llama), Cardano called "a dead project" and just removed from the Bitwise altcoin ETF, the Coinbase stock case ("the Clarity Act's importance is overblown but it'll certainly help Coinbase"), and Will shouting out Doug's trading Twitter — @ZeroXTrendDrift — "crazy good trader, posts his charts totally for free." Plus the live Pokemon pack open on Collector Crypt (Charizard common, sold back).Powered by Arculus Wallet — getarculus.com, promo code ARCURUMS10.Powered by Jito — stake your SOL at https://www.jito.network/staking/.RUMS Purple WalletWant the safest way to store your crypto? The Arculus cold storage wallet keeps your assets completely offline, away from exchanges, away from hackers, and fully in your control. Get your exclusive RUMS x Arculus cold storage wallet today!Crypto Payment · Card PaymentSupport the show— Want to hang out with us after the show, get live answers to your questions, or join future giveaways? Join our free community where the show lives 24/7: community.rumshq.com—☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️LIVE Monday - Thursday @ 7a centralHelpful web3 news, commentary, & answers to your crypto questions.🍻RISE UP AFTER DARK🌗 LIVE Wednesdays @ 7p centralDYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.📈RISE UP MARKET WATCH🤑LIVE Mondays @ 7p centralTechnical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.⚖️ TRUST ISSUES 🧐 LIVE Tuesdays @ 6:30p centralBreaking down U.S. crypto policy, regulation, and legislation—what they mean for the industry and what comes next.—WANT MORE?👉Connect w/us on your favorite social: https://rumshq.com👉Become a guest or sponsor: [email protected]👉Join our free community: https://community.rumshq.comFOLLOW OUR HOSTS:☮️ Evan Mann: https://beacons.ai/conversationswithevan🤬 Alex Popovic: https://alexpopovic.info🐬 Will Watson: https://c...