OpenAI Backtracks on Superintelligence + Altman Brings His Timeline Forward

Sam Altman unexpectedly brings his timelines to AGI forward, while OpenAI backtrack on superintelligence. None of these changes were heralded, but they are significant. Plus the new year brings new assessments of the true capability of models to automate 'large swathes of the economy'. I'll give my prediction on that front for 2025, announcement a new Simple Bench competition, and showcase Kling 1.6 vs Veo 2 vs Sora, and much more. wandb.me/simple-bench(Colab): https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1AVijcPnEkl8Gy_754XbRdG5m7Q5-9slg?usp=sharingTheAgentCompany Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2412.14161v1Sam Altman Major Interview: https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2025-sam-altman-interview/?srnd=phx-aiOpenAI Agent Coming Jan 2025: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/why-openai-is-taking-so-long-to-launch-agents?rc=sy0ihqAltman Singularity: https://x.com/sama/status/1875603249472139576Altman Original Timeline: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7dCPytNTnjk&t=621shttps://www.ft.com/content/34a7a082-e685-4e02-bca7-61ff89d99ed2OpenAI Original Emails: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5jjk4CDnj9tA7ugxr/openai-email-archives-from-musk-v-altman-and-openai-blogDeepMind Sky News 2014 Article: https://news.sky.com/story/google-buys-uk-intelligence-firm-deepmind-10419783Altman Blog Reflections: https://blog.samaltman.com/reflectionsOpenAI Changes Who Gets AGI: https://openai.com/index/why-our-structure-must-evolve-to-advance-our-mission/?s=09OpenAI 5 Levels: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-11/openai-sets-levels-to-track-progress-toward-superintelligent-aiAltman 2015: https://blog.samaltman.com/machine-intelligence-part-1OpenAI React to Anthropic: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/how-anthropic-got-inside-openais-head?rc=sy0ihqMicrosoft $100B Definition: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/microsoft-and-openai-wrangle-over-terms-of-their-blockbuster-partnership?rc=sy0ihqEpoch Scramble for Task Benchmark: https://x.com/tamaybes/status/1876692639363612919GPQA Progress: https://epoch.ai/data/ai-benchmarking-dashboardTask Length Crucial for ARC-AGI: https://anokas.substack.com/p/llms-struggle-with-perception-not-reasoning-arcagiRL Environment Tweet: https://x.com/vedantmisra/status/1876327518157807990Jason Wei Talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhpjpNXJDcoMiles Brunda