[Outlook-in-Five] Fleeting USD strength

Speaker: Sim Moh Siong, Currency Strategist, Bank of Singapore Since Liberation Day, global markets have experienced significant shifts driven by trade uncertainty, fiscal risks, geopolitical tensions, and concerns over the US Federal Reserve’s independence. What does this mean for the US dollar and global investors?AI-driven optimism in US equities and the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts have supported the dollar for now, with foreign investors still favouring US assets. However, slowing US growth and political pressure on the Fed could undermine the dollar’s stability. History shows that weaker central bank autonomy often accelerates USD declines and lifts gold’s safe-haven appeal.For more market insights, go to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Bank of Singapore Insights⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ to check out our Chief Investment Office's research publications.