EPISODE · Mar 23, 2021 · 1H
Paul Schoemaker: Vigilance, Foresight, and Business Schools - 4Sight Chats Ep. 9
from 4Sight Chats · host Alex Fergnani
9th episode of the 4Sight Chats Series, with Paul Schoemaker. Paul is an internationally renown expert, an entrepreneur, and an educator in the fields of strategy, innovation and decision-making. Alex is PhD candidate at NUS Business School (Singapore), and Associate Editor of the journal "World Futures Review" Chat outline: -What is organizational vigilance? -What is the difference between vigilance and foresight? -Why are organizations not vigilant? -Why is vigilance not taught in business schools? -Advice on how to research/teach vigilance in business schools -Paul's journey though scenarios at Shell and how to excel at scenarios Also available in video format: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DdtmJUPePNY Books and articles mentioned: Day & Schoemaker (2020). See Sooner, Act Faster (book): https://www.amazon.com/See-Sooner-Act-Faster-Turbulence/dp/0262043319/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=see+sooner+act+faster&qid=1616238607&s=audible&sr=1-1-catcorr Schoemaker & Gunther (2016). Profiting from Uncertainty (book): https://www.amazon.com/Profiting-Uncertainty-Strategies-Succeeding-Matter/dp/150116175X Day & Schoemaker (2008). Are You a ‘Vigilant Leader’? (article, MIT Sloan Management Review): https://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/are-you-a-vigilant-leader/ Schoemaker (1993). Multiple Scenario Development: Its Conceptual and Behavioral Foundation (article, Strategic Management Journal): https://www.researchgate.net/publication/220041993_Multiple_Scenario_Development_Its_Conceptual_and_Behavioral_Foundation Fergnani & Chermack (2021). The resistance to scientific theory in futures and foresight, and what to do about it (article, Futures & Foresight Science) https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/ffo2.61 Schomaker (2021). Theory Development in Foresight Research: Commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021 (upcoming article, Futures & Foresight Science). Schomaker & Tetlock (2012).Taboo Scenarios: How to Think about the Unthinkable (article, California Management Review): https://www.researchgate.net/publication/289661696_Taboo_Scenarios_How_to_Think_about_the_Unthinkable Schomaker (2008).The Future Challenges of Business: Rethinking Management Education (article, California Management Review): https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.2307/41166448 Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani
What this episode covers
9th episode of the 4Sight Chats Series, with Paul Schoemaker. Paul is an internationally renown expert, an entrepreneur, and an educator in the fields of strategy, innovation and decision-making. Alex is PhD candidate at NUS Business School (Singapore), and Associate Editor of the journal "World Futures Review" Chat outline: -What is organizational vigilance? -What is the difference between vigilance and foresight? -Why are organizations not vigilant? -Why is vigilance not taught in business schools? -Advice on how to research/teach vigilance in business schools -Paul's journey though scenarios at Shell and how to excel at scenarios Also available in video format: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DdtmJUPePNY Books and articles mentioned: Day & Schoemaker (2020). See Sooner, Act Faster (book): https://www.amazon.com/See-Sooner-Act-Faster-Turbulence/dp/0262043319/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=see+sooner+act+faster&qid=1616238607&s=audible&sr=1-1-catcorr Schoemaker & Gunther (2016). Profiting from Uncertainty (book): https://www.amazon.com/Profiting-Uncertainty-Strategies-Succeeding-Matter/dp/150116175X Day & Schoemaker (2008). Are You a ‘Vigilant Leader’? (article, MIT Sloan Management Review): https://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/are-you-a-vigilant-leader/ Schoemaker (1993). Multiple Scenario Development: Its Conceptual and Behavioral Foundation (article, Strategic Management Journal): https://www.researchgate.net/publication/220041993_Multiple_Scenario_Development_Its_Conceptual_and_Behavioral_Foundation Fergnani & Chermack (2021). The resistance to scientific theory in futures and foresight, and what to do about it (article, Futures & Foresight Science) https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/ffo2.61 Schomaker (2021). Theory Development in Foresight Research: Commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021 (upcoming article, Futures & Foresight Science). Schomaker & Tetlock (2012).Taboo Scenarios: How to Think about the Unthinkable (article, California Management Review): https://www.researchgate.net/publication/289661696_Taboo_Scenarios_How_to_Think_about_the_Unthinkable Schomaker (2008).The Future Challenges of Business: Rethinking Management Education (article, California Management Review): https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.2307/41166448 Support Alex's videos: https://www.patreon.com/alexfergnani
NOW PLAYING
Paul Schoemaker: Vigilance, Foresight, and Business Schools - 4Sight Chats Ep. 9
No transcript for this episode yet
Similar Episodes
May 7, 2026 ·8m
Apr 23, 2026 ·12m
Apr 16, 2026 ·12m
Apr 9, 2026 ·15m
Apr 2, 2026 ·13m