Pay Less Attention to the News | Getting the Markets Right with JC O'Hara

In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by JC O'Hara, Chief Technical Strategist at Roth Capital Partners. Recorded June 4th 2026. JC shares his deep institutional experience to help investors understand why current market valuations aren't the ultimate timing tool and how trailing stops must adapt to volatile momentum trends. We dig into why quantitative trend-following models (CTAs) are the "secret rockstars" of this market, the danger of letting media headlines dictate your portfolio, and how to use short-term tools like the NYSE Tick Index to gauge intraday buying pressure. The conversation also explores the massive upcoming SpaceX IPO, looking back at historical analogs like Facebook's shaky debut to understand how to handle the hype of a new listing.📈 Topics Covered• Why broad valuation metrics are better suited for bear market bottoms rather than timing bull market tops• Adapting trailing stops for momentum markets: Why a static 7% stop-loss will shake you out of a 1,000% gain• Understanding the "boogeyman in the room": Why quantitative trend-following systems (CTAs) are driving current market rotations• Being comfortable with uncomfortably narrow market leadership in year four of a bull market• Using the NYSE Tick Index (and its 20-day smoothed average) to spot intraday institutional buying pressure and market tops• Evaluating the massive upcoming SpaceX IPO by looking at historical analogs like Meta/Facebook's initial public offering• Debunking the "Sell in May" seasonality myth in favor of pure, immediate price action• Why trading based on news headlines (tariffs, COVID, geopolitics) is a surefire way to get the market wrong🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/freecourse📘 Check out Dave’s recommended reading list: https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/readinglist👉  Follow Dave on X: https://x.com/DKellerCMT👉  Follow Dave on Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/dkellercmt.bsky.social👉  Follow Dave on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/marketmisbehavior👉  Follow Dave on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/marketmisbehaviorThe content in this presentation should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is intended for educational purposes only and in no way should be considered as investment advice.