PE11: Exponential trend percentiles on gold price episode artwork

EPISODE · Jan 23, 2023 · 27 MIN

PE11: Exponential trend percentiles on gold price

from Crypto Voices · host Matthew Mezinskis

Check out show sponsor Coinkite: https://coinkite.com/ Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ This is the eleventh video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast. Contents 00:00 Intro 01:30 Gold fits exponential trendline (75% R-squared) 02:20 'Brown's Bottom' 04:15 Exponential regression trendline 05:30 Standard deviation basics 06:34 Exponential regression trendline 07:50 One sigma around trendline (66th percentile) 13:10 Two sigma around trendline (95th percentile) 15:30 Log scale 24:41 Gold price suppression? 26:31 Compound annual growth rate of gold price (7.7%) Here we run and explain an exponential trendline over the last 50+ years of gold price data, and run percentile bands (standard deviations) around the regression. Coefficients: y = a * EXP (b * x) y = y-intercept * EXP (slope * x) y = 133 * EXP (0.41% * x) https://porkopolis.io https://twitter.com/crypto_voices Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.

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