People, Reason, & Reality Part I: Reason, Module 2: The Real Role of Evidence episode artwork

EPISODE · Feb 23, 2026 · 6 MIN

People, Reason, & Reality Part I: Reason, Module 2: The Real Role of Evidence

from Conjecture Institute · host conjectureinstitute

Evidence-based anything is an illusion. There is no evidence-based science, evidence-based policy, evidence-based argument (see this very paragraph).   In reality, a mind first guesses—conjectures—an idea. This could be a scientific idea, a moral idea, an economic idea, a political idea, an idea about beauty—anything.   One then criticizes it: is it internally consistent? Does it cohere with our other ideas about how the world works? Is it arbitrary? Is it consistent with our observations?   Read: https://www.conjectureinstitute.org/courses/people-reason-reality/Logan%20%E2%80%93%20Reason%20Module%202%20-%20Google%20Docs.pdf   Visit Conjecture Institute: https://www.conjectureinstitute.org/   Donate to Conjecture Institute: https://www.every.org/conjecture-institute-inc#/donate/card   Follow Conjecture Institute on X: https://x.com/ConjectureInst

Episode metadata supplied by the publisher feed · Published Feb 23, 2026

Evidence-based anything is an illusion. There is no evidence-based science, evidence-based policy, evidence-based argument (see this very paragraph).   In reality, a mind first guesses—conjectures—an idea. This could be a scientific idea, a moral idea, an economic idea, a political idea, an idea about beauty—anything.   One then criticizes it: is it internally consistent? Does it cohere with our other ideas about how the world works? Is it arbitrary? Is it consistent with our observations?   Read: https://www.conjectureinstitute.org/courses/people-reason-reality/Logan%20%E2%80%93%20Reason%20Module%202%20-%20Google%20Docs.pdf   Visit Conjecture Institute: https://www.conjectureinstitute.org/   Donate to Conjecture Institute: https://www.every.org/conjecture-institute-inc#/donate/card   Follow Conjecture Institute on X: https://x.com/ConjectureInst

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People, Reason, & Reality Part I: Reason, Module 2: The Real Role of Evidence

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Evidence-based anything is an illusion. There is no evidence-based science, evidence-based policy, evidence-based argument (see this very paragraph).   In reality, a mind first guesses—conjectures—an idea. This could be a scientific idea, a moral...

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