PJM Is Dead

PJM is dead. Long live PJM. If you already know about capacity markets, skip to the secret ending at 26:15. Otherwise, hope you enjoy the episode! And to future me listening back - remember VRR curve for demand. Timestamps: 00:00-Intro 02:00-Hello and Goodbye 03:10-Fundamentals Start Here 05:10-Restructuring the Market 06:15-Basic NERC Reliability Standard 07:15-Market Power and Price Caps 10:00-Probability of Reliable Capacity (ICAP, ELCC, UCAP) 12:00-Balancing payment with penalties 13:00-Data Centers 17:45-Renewables and Capacity 18:00-Epilogue 22:40-Complications in Responsibility 24:00-PJM IS DEAD, Long Live PJM 25:10-Capacity Markets are All Made Up 26:15-Secret ending Suggested reading: Analysis of the 2026/2027 RPM Base Residual Auction (October, 2025) For reliability standards - look up EUE; LOLH; and LOLE all coming together for risk. Bidding rules - look up MOPR for old utilities that owned a lot of generation but had a ton of customer demand, so they underbid their capacity to distort the price and save money on consumer purchases. For accreditation - look up EFORd and ELCC will probably be changed in the future, so check out slice of day vs seasonal vs marginal and so on.